Mongoose's Comments Mongoose's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/123427/comments Larkin: Gold's Stealth Bull Market http://seekingalpha.com/article/168557-larkin-gold-s-stealth-bull-market?source=feed#comment-729348 729348 KNC), thanks for the heads up. My stable of gold miners are as follows: GG, KGC, AUY. JAG, EGO, GSS, AZK, NGD, NXG, UGX, RBY, NSU.
OTHER METALS: CDE, SLW, PAL,HL. GOOD LUCK and don't weaken now. JR]]>
Sun, 25 Oct 2009 12:29:57 -0400 KNC), thanks for the heads up. My stable of gold miners are as follows: GG, KGC, AUY. JAG, EGO, GSS, AZK, NGD, NXG, UGX, RBY, NSU.
OTHER METALS: CDE, SLW, PAL,HL. GOOD LUCK and don't weaken now. JR]]>
Canary in the Gold Mine http://seekingalpha.com/article/161143-canary-in-the-gold-mine?source=feed#comment-674222 674222 Sun, 13 Sep 2009 08:54:50 -0400 The Gold Standard: As Relevant as Ever http://seekingalpha.com/article/160780-the-gold-standard-as-relevant-as-ever?source=feed#comment-670414 670414 Thu, 10 Sep 2009 11:51:17 -0400 Gold Is Still the Opportunity of a Lifetime http://seekingalpha.com/article/160262-gold-is-still-the-opportunity-of-a-lifetime?source=feed#comment-665014 665014 Mon, 07 Sep 2009 09:53:46 -0400 Gold Resumes Its Reign http://seekingalpha.com/article/156735-gold-resumes-its-reign?source=feed#comment-634595 634595 Tue, 18 Aug 2009 09:31:42 -0400 Fundamentals Are in Place for Silver to Move Higher http://seekingalpha.com/article/154700-fundamentals-are-in-place-for-silver-to-move-higher?source=feed#comment-620395 620395 Fri, 07 Aug 2009 16:45:47 -0400 With a Small Pullback Behind Us, Precious Metals Are Ready to Shine Now http://seekingalpha.com/article/153344-with-a-small-pullback-behind-us-precious-metals-are-ready-to-shine-now?source=feed#comment-614450 614450 Tue, 04 Aug 2009 10:07:10 -0400 Gold's Next Move Will Come from Inflation Figures http://seekingalpha.com/article/153529-gold-s-next-move-will-come-from-inflation-figures?source=feed#comment-614406 614406 Tue, 04 Aug 2009 09:54:57 -0400 What's CNBC's Problem with Gold? http://seekingalpha.com/article/153548-what-s-cnbc-s-problem-with-gold?source=feed#comment-614385 614385 Tue, 04 Aug 2009 09:45:35 -0400 Is Black Gold Worth More than Real Gold? http://seekingalpha.com/article/148215-is-black-gold-worth-more-than-real-gold?source=feed#comment-584251 584251 Sun, 12 Jul 2009 09:55:33 -0400 Will Gold Rush to 1,000? http://seekingalpha.com/article/145411-will-gold-rush-to-1-000?source=feed#comment-563679 563679 Fri, 26 Jun 2009 11:55:33 -0400 Gold Downgraded to Underweight - National Bank Financial http://seekingalpha.com/article/145122-gold-downgraded-to-underweight-national-bank-financial?source=feed#comment-563052 563052 Thu, 25 Jun 2009 22:51:27 -0400 Three Reasons to Invest in Yamana Gold http://seekingalpha.com/article/145131-three-reasons-to-invest-in-yamana-gold?source=feed#comment-563043 563043 Thu, 25 Jun 2009 22:41:03 -0400 Silver Options for the Next Two Weeks http://seekingalpha.com/article/142262-silver-options-for-the-next-two-weeks?source=feed#comment-540825 540825 Wed, 10 Jun 2009 13:28:58 -0400 A Novice's Guide to Precious Metals (Part II): The Miners http://seekingalpha.com/article/140009-a-novice-s-guide-to-precious-metals-part-ii-the-miners?source=feed#comment-521965 521965 Thu, 28 May 2009 17:15:01 -0400 A Bear in Bull's Clothing: We're Not Buying This Rally http://seekingalpha.com/article/129586-a-bear-in-bull-s-clothing-we-re-not-buying-this-rally?source=feed#comment-454148 454148 Mon, 06 Apr 2009 19:29:27 -0400 Can Selling Options Make You a Better Trader? http://seekingalpha.com/article/127097-can-selling-options-make-you-a-better-trader?source=feed#comment-435431 435431 Sun, 22 Mar 2009 13:00:41 -0400 Gold Traders Whipsawed http://seekingalpha.com/article/127010-gold-traders-whipsawed?source=feed#comment-434494 434494 Sat, 21 Mar 2009 12:20:44 -0400 Three Ways to Take Profit in Gold as Inflation Props Up Prices http://seekingalpha.com/article/126975-three-ways-to-take-profit-in-gold-as-inflation-props-up-prices?source=feed#comment-434043 434043 GG), and Kinross (KGC). I own each one listed.]]> Fri, 20 Mar 2009 17:27:27 -0400 GG), and Kinross (KGC). I own each one listed.]]> Gold: Not a Bubble http://seekingalpha.com/article/125995-gold-not-a-bubble?source=feed#comment-426772 426772 golddealer.com , which is California numismatics. I have always had a good experience and fair prices. they ship and insure free if the order is $2000.00 or more. JR]]> Sun, 15 Mar 2009 16:01:42 -0400 golddealer.com , which is California numismatics. I have always had a good experience and fair prices. they ship and insure free if the order is $2000.00 or more. JR]]> Is the Dollar Rally Over Now? http://seekingalpha.com/article/125554-is-the-dollar-rally-over-now?source=feed#comment-422954 422954 Thu, 12 Mar 2009 09:17:29 -0400 February Wrap-Up: 252 Banks on FDIC Watch List, Gold Pull Back, Dow Declines (Again) http://seekingalpha.com/article/123318-february-wrap-up-252-banks-on-fdic-watch-list-gold-pull-back-dow-declines-again?source=feed#comment-407635 407635 Sun, 01 Mar 2009 08:48:05 -0500 Barrick Gold Nails the Hedge http://seekingalpha.com/article/123205-barrick-gold-nails-the-hedge?source=feed#comment-407003 407003 Sat, 28 Feb 2009 11:46:58 -0500 Will Silver Now Outperform Gold? http://seekingalpha.com/article/120796-will-silver-now-outperform-gold?source=feed#comment-392002 392002 Tue, 17 Feb 2009 10:41:10 -0500 Gold Will Shine in 2009 (Part II) http://seekingalpha.com/article/116252-gold-will-shine-in-2009-part-ii?source=feed#comment-365479 365479

On Jan 24 08:05 PM Roger Knights wrote:

> Rolex18K wrote:
>
> "it is weird to predict 1 year in advance."
>
> Nonsense--looking ahead to where long-term macro-economic trends
> are heading is commonplace and respectable. Buffett does it all the
> time. (He doesn't predict exact upside price points and dates, of
> course, but neither did this article.)
>
> "Regarding mining stocks, the insiders of the precious matals mining
> companies don't agree with the price of Gold at this level and the
> [low] stock prices reflect it very precisely."
>
> Ridiculous. The prices of mining stocks reflect market forces, not
> their executives' opinions. Only if there was an unusual level of
> recent insider selling by such executives would such a statement
> that "insiders ... don't agree" be warranted.
>
> "[See] where are they now compared to where they were when Gold was
> 900$ in 2008, you will see the facts. I always say, numbers don't
> lie."
>
> Ridiculous. "The facts" don't come bundled with their implications--the
> latter is a separate matter. No one's disputing that mining stocks
> are sharply off their highs of 2008. But they were high then because
> of speculative excess--it was thought that gold's price would soon
> go "to da moon," and that miners would benefit disproportionately
> thereby. That's because the cost of mining an ounce of gold is a
> large fraction of gold's price, so any increase in that price is
> has a leveraged effect on the miners' profits.) with the deflation
> of that irrational exuberance, miners have declined more sharply
> than the price of gold.
>
> And their price decline hardly implies a forecast that gold's price
> will fall further, or move sideways. On the contrary, when miners'
> stocks are undervalued for a long period in relation to the price
> of gold, as they are now, it suggests that their price is set to
> rise--or at least that a shrinking of the spread is likely. Two or
> three recent articles have pointed this out--see for instance this
> SA article by Andrew Mickey, "Could Gold be 2009's 'Trade of the
> year'?", at seekingalpha.com/artic...
>
> "I don't want to predict 1 year from now but the price of Gold stocks
> reflects price of Gold at 600-700$."
>
> Just because miner's stocks are oversold doesn't mean that gold is
> over-valued.
>
> Toeser wrote:
> "I can see the possibility of a gold rally from a collapsing dollar,
> but not from inflation - at least for quite a while."
>
> I can see a gold rally arising from other causes, such as foreign
> recessions, currency declines, bond rating cuts, or inflationary
> prospects. If such occur, foreign investors will seek a safe haven.
> It's happened in the past week in Europe, with a collapsing pound,
> down-rated foreign bonds, and bad economic news resulting in a skyrocketing
> gold price (up 10% from its low the prior week to $897). It's a parochial
> mistake, but a nearly universal one, even by gold-bugs, to think
> that the price of gold depends on what happens here in the US, or
> to the dollar. If banks, bonds, stocks, and currencies abroad are
> failing or threatened, overseas money will bid up gold's price, and
> that will be reflected in its price in dollar terms. It doesn't matter
> where the money comes from. Gold's price is not just an inverse-dollar
> play. (Recent dollar-divergent price action bears this out.)
>
> I agree that inflation may not occur for quite a while, but the price
> of gold isn't strictly tied to the inflation rate. It can rise when
> alternative places of stashing ones cash (bonds, stocks, and commodities)
> look risky. That's the case today. Even a bank account or a mattress
> (i.e., cash) looks risky to foreigners, because of the chance of
> their currency declining against the world's reserve currency.<br/>
>
> Please note that foreigners don’t have to start buying gold to cause
> its price to rise. They merely need to stop selling it, or reduce
> their rate of selling. European central banks have been scheduling
> sales of about 500 tonnes per year for about a decade. They haven’t
> yet fulfilled their recent quota, or so I’ve read. Why shouldn’t
> they start to feel that moving out of gold and into bonds is no longer
> justified in terms of risk/reward? (There is a major threat of default
> of emerging nations’ bonds. And there is now an eight-year trend
> of rising gold prices. And interest rates on newly issued bonds are
> unattractive.)
>
> In gold’s action this past week, it rose right through the $885-890
> price level without a hitch. This was the level at which a European
> central bank supposedly had placed a huge sell order (according to
> an influential, Swiss-based pundit). Perhaps they cancelled their
> sell order. (Indeed, perhaps the cancellation of their sell order,
> once traders got wind of it, is what prompted most of the price rise.)
>
>
> Even if only China were to reduce its rate of gold sales, the supply/demand
> equilibrium would reset at a higher price level. Increased investment
> demand for gold isn’t required as a driver for there to be a major
> gold bull market.
> ]]>
Sun, 25 Jan 2009 09:37:26 -0500

On Jan 24 08:05 PM Roger Knights wrote:

> Rolex18K wrote:
>
> "it is weird to predict 1 year in advance."
>
> Nonsense--looking ahead to where long-term macro-economic trends
> are heading is commonplace and respectable. Buffett does it all the
> time. (He doesn't predict exact upside price points and dates, of
> course, but neither did this article.)
>
> "Regarding mining stocks, the insiders of the precious matals mining
> companies don't agree with the price of Gold at this level and the
> [low] stock prices reflect it very precisely."
>
> Ridiculous. The prices of mining stocks reflect market forces, not
> their executives' opinions. Only if there was an unusual level of
> recent insider selling by such executives would such a statement
> that "insiders ... don't agree" be warranted.
>
> "[See] where are they now compared to where they were when Gold was
> 900$ in 2008, you will see the facts. I always say, numbers don't
> lie."
>
> Ridiculous. "The facts" don't come bundled with their implications--the
> latter is a separate matter. No one's disputing that mining stocks
> are sharply off their highs of 2008. But they were high then because
> of speculative excess--it was thought that gold's price would soon
> go "to da moon," and that miners would benefit disproportionately
> thereby. That's because the cost of mining an ounce of gold is a
> large fraction of gold's price, so any increase in that price is
> has a leveraged effect on the miners' profits.) with the deflation
> of that irrational exuberance, miners have declined more sharply
> than the price of gold.
>
> And their price decline hardly implies a forecast that gold's price
> will fall further, or move sideways. On the contrary, when miners'
> stocks are undervalued for a long period in relation to the price
> of gold, as they are now, it suggests that their price is set to
> rise--or at least that a shrinking of the spread is likely. Two or
> three recent articles have pointed this out--see for instance this
> SA article by Andrew Mickey, "Could Gold be 2009's 'Trade of the
> year'?", at seekingalpha.com/artic...
>
> "I don't want to predict 1 year from now but the price of Gold stocks
> reflects price of Gold at 600-700$."
>
> Just because miner's stocks are oversold doesn't mean that gold is
> over-valued.
>
> Toeser wrote:
> "I can see the possibility of a gold rally from a collapsing dollar,
> but not from inflation - at least for quite a while."
>
> I can see a gold rally arising from other causes, such as foreign
> recessions, currency declines, bond rating cuts, or inflationary
> prospects. If such occur, foreign investors will seek a safe haven.
> It's happened in the past week in Europe, with a collapsing pound,
> down-rated foreign bonds, and bad economic news resulting in a skyrocketing
> gold price (up 10% from its low the prior week to $897). It's a parochial
> mistake, but a nearly universal one, even by gold-bugs, to think
> that the price of gold depends on what happens here in the US, or
> to the dollar. If banks, bonds, stocks, and currencies abroad are
> failing or threatened, overseas money will bid up gold's price, and
> that will be reflected in its price in dollar terms. It doesn't matter
> where the money comes from. Gold's price is not just an inverse-dollar
> play. (Recent dollar-divergent price action bears this out.)
>
> I agree that inflation may not occur for quite a while, but the price
> of gold isn't strictly tied to the inflation rate. It can rise when
> alternative places of stashing ones cash (bonds, stocks, and commodities)
> look risky. That's the case today. Even a bank account or a mattress
> (i.e., cash) looks risky to foreigners, because of the chance of
> their currency declining against the world's reserve currency.<br/>
>
> Please note that foreigners don’t have to start buying gold to cause
> its price to rise. They merely need to stop selling it, or reduce
> their rate of selling. European central banks have been scheduling
> sales of about 500 tonnes per year for about a decade. They haven’t
> yet fulfilled their recent quota, or so I’ve read. Why shouldn’t
> they start to feel that moving out of gold and into bonds is no longer
> justified in terms of risk/reward? (There is a major threat of default
> of emerging nations’ bonds. And there is now an eight-year trend
> of rising gold prices. And interest rates on newly issued bonds are
> unattractive.)
>
> In gold’s action this past week, it rose right through the $885-890
> price level without a hitch. This was the level at which a European
> central bank supposedly had placed a huge sell order (according to
> an influential, Swiss-based pundit). Perhaps they cancelled their
> sell order. (Indeed, perhaps the cancellation of their sell order,
> once traders got wind of it, is what prompted most of the price rise.)
>
>
> Even if only China were to reduce its rate of gold sales, the supply/demand
> equilibrium would reset at a higher price level. Increased investment
> demand for gold isn’t required as a driver for there to be a major
> gold bull market.
> ]]>
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