Seeking Alpha

Ryan » Comments |

Sort by:
Latest | Highest rated
  • 3 Signs of a Bottom for Sovereign Bancorp  [View article]
    Correction: the dividend was suspended. Sorry for the confusion
    May 22 10:51 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Beware the Financials Value Trap [View article]
    who knows helpless... apparently they're too smart for their own good! it's very wise of you to see through it. i tip my cap to you.
    May 13 19:25 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Sell Into the Financials Rally - Morgan Stanley [View article]
    No, CNBC is the ultimate contrarian indicator. The Morgan Stanley analysts, along with Warren Buffett have this one right.

    In 5 years, bank and Ibank earnings will be nothing like their earnings up until mid 2007. If we look 5 years down the line, they might be slightly undervalued at todays levels, but 1 year down the line, they're overvalued. That's what Morgan Stanley is saying. I commend them for recognizing that the bottom has not been seen yet. Everyone else is just pumping.

    If you're honestly looking 5 years out, you are truly a wise investor. However, I think there are better plays out there for long-term investment. For example, agriculture, like ADM, and established biotechs like Genzyme, Novartis, etc...
    Apr 28 22:06 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Financial Stocks: Where Will They Go Once Investors Sober Up? [View article]
    Financials are in for some trouble. This is a case of "blood in the streets", yes, but not enough blood has been spilled. Expect a 20% haircut on current bank valuations before I'm willing to get in.
    Apr 28 18:12 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Rail Carrier Trinity Appears Undervalued [View article]
    WAB is an excellent company as well.
    Apr 28 18:09 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Libor Jump Means More Pain for Financials [View article]
    I'm with ya Walt. They are on life support from the Fed and preferred offerings. Earnings will decline dramatically and eventually the market will value these companies much lower.
    Apr 23 06:30 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Libor Jump Means More Pain for Financials [View article]
    You're wrong. Short selling kills bad companies quickly.
    Apr 22 13:03 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Earnings Preview: Will Google Perform? [View article]
    Oops, it was in the Wall Street Journal today. If you can get your hands on one...
    Apr 17 16:52 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Earnings Preview: Will Google Perform? [View article]
    Wrong link... will find the one I meant to link.
    Apr 17 16:50 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Earnings Preview: Will Google Perform? [View article]
    I never said people are stopping clicking. I said that competition is heating up and the money made with AdSense is pathetic. This is what I'm seeing: biz.yahoo.com/ap/08041...

    I just moved 1/4 of my advertisements to a different ad network, from Google. I maintain that Google will face increased pressure and is too richly valued at $510 (or even $450). My opinion, but then again I often disagree with Wall Street.

    Degu, congrats on the $100k.
    Apr 17 16:50 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Earnings Preview: Will Google Perform? [View article]
    Global, as I've said many times now, I have no stake in Google, short or otherwise. Seeking Alpha is a place where people share their views, deal with it.
    Apr 17 16:29 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Earnings Preview: Will Google Perform? [View article]
    Degu,

    I also rely on adsense. I understand that many individuals and businesses rely on adsense. What I'm seeing, though, is an exodus to other advertising venues. Time will prove me right.

    As for reducing false positives - I know they're succeeding at doing that, but that certainly isn't the only reason behind their reduced paid clicks. Something like 28% growth in Q4, now we just learned it's 2% growth in Q1 08? That's horrendous. And it's not just the reduction in false positives.

    I don't have any vested interest in Google. I call it like I see it, and we will see what happens.

    Good luck to everyone.
    Apr 16 10:51 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Earnings Preview: Will Google Perform? [View article]
    Misterdan, my company is not taking advertising away from Google. I do not compete with them at all. In fact, I use their service. That's my point. The ad revenue generated from AdSense is pathetic and many other options exist for generating better advertising revenue.

    Freakyguy666, online marketing technology is a rapidly growing space with many competitors lining up to take a piece of the pie. Many many options are available to website owners (such as me) and Google is rapidly becoming a second choice play. Furthermore, a forward P/E means nothing, as does the 30% growth rate. Both of those are guesses, and analysts themselves say that it's nearly impossible to know what Google will report. Basing advice on that is not a good bet.

    Globalmacro, while its true the market is pricing in a tough quarter, I'm simply saying I think it will be worse than expected, hence worse than what is priced in.

    I am merely stating my observations, both as a Google customer and as a value investor. Take it with a grain of salt and do your own DD.
    Apr 15 23:16 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • 35 Stocks That Ben Graham Would Like Here [View article]
    User 164820 - I agree 100% and that's why this isn't a list of buys, rather a list of companies to research further. Perhaps I'll try to add EPS accuracy to the screener.

    Thanks for the feedback!

    Ryan
    Apr 11 14:15 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • 35 Stocks That Ben Graham Would Like Here [View article]
    I would do the same, Metal27. FMD is not a good play right now, unless, of course, you like gambling.
    Apr 09 19:19 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
Comments by Ticker
Ryan's
Comments Stats
62 comments
Rating: 1 (5 - 4 )