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    • Energy Conversion Devices: An Amorphous Gem [view article]
      Energy Conversion Devices,
      Inc. - Company Report

      Redmond, R.W.


      1 August 1985
      PIPER, JAFFRAY & HOPWOOD INC.


      (ENER - OTC)



      ENERGY CONVERSION DEVICES, INC.



      HIGHLIGHTS:



      * Energy Conversion Devices' lock on amorphous materials

      technology is beginning to pay off. The Company's extensive patent

      portfolio is forcing increasing numbers of large corporations to form

      alliances with ENER in order to access its technology.



      * ENER has excellent technological capabilities and is assembling

      a capable management team to help manage the growth.



      * Several products are in the process of being commercialized that

      have billion dollar market potentials.



      RECOMMENDATION: Buy



      Recent price: (7/26/85) 17 1/4

      DJIA: 1353.61



      INVESTMENT CONCLUSION


      Concept/'kan-,sept/ n 1: something conceived in the mind. 2: a

      complex product of abstract or reflective thinking. 3: an abstract or

      generic idea.



      Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. is truly a concept. Formed over

      25 years ago by Stanford Ovshinsky, the Company today has over 75 Ph.D.

      physicists and chemists who are all working on "the last frontier of

      solid state physics," the technology of amorphous materials. Amorphous

      materials are solids that do not have a crystal structure. Ovshinsky

      discovered that under certain conditions these materials have physical,

      chemical and electrical properties equal, or superior to, crystalline

      materials. What makes this significant is that crystals are often

      limited in size and very expensive to create, while amorphous

      materials, because of their random nature, are inexpensive to produce

      and device sizes are not limited. In addition, amorphous materials can

      be synthesized to possess properties that are unavailable in

      crystalline substances. Until recently this technology had not been

      widely embraced by the scientific community. In fact, it was only

      within the last ten years that scholars accepted the concept of

      amorphous materials, with a Nobel prize being awarded for work in this

      area in 1977. ENER currently has about 190 U.S. patents with another

      175 pending.



      Energy Conversion Devices Inc. is in the process of evolving from

      a pure research organization into accelerated commercialization. To

      fund this evolution, the Company has licensed parts of its technology

      and has entered into joint ventures with several large corporations.

      The most significant of these are with Sohio, American Natural

      Resources (ANR), Matsushita Electric, Hitachi, Nippon Telegraph &

      Telephone, Nippon Steel, Sharp and Canon.



      The Company is centering its product development on three primary

      industries: energy, information and synthetic materials. The products

      that are being developed range from high contrast flat panel computer

      displays to high efficiency photovoltaic cells, optical memories,

      copier drums, rechargeable batteries, thermoelectric generators and nth

      generation computers.



      Energy Conversion Devices should really be viewed as a large

      development stage company. As such, the stock does not trade on

      fundamental valuations but on long-term earnings expectations.

      Therefore, this security should only be considered by the most

      aggressive investors.



      For the year ended June 30, 1984, ENER lost $8.85 million on

      revenues of $29.23 million. We anticipate that for the year ended June

      30, 1985 the Company will lose $11-$12 million on $28 million in

      revenue. Our preliminary estimates for fiscal 1986 and fiscal 1987 are

      for losses of $3-$4 million on revenues of approximately $45 million

      and earnings of $1-$2 million on revenues of about $70 million,

      respectively.



      We think that at current levels ENER stock is a good Buy for both

      the trader and the long-term investor. The stock is currently trading

      at 17 1/4 per share, down from the 40's within the last 18 months. One

      of the reasons for this is a delay in a unit offering to shareholders

      for the development of flat panel displays. Initially, the SEC decided

      to conduct an informal inquiry into whether or not ENER did, in fact,

      have exclusive rights to the flat panel technology because of all the

      joint ventures it is involved in. Although the inquiry is continuing,

      when resolution does occur a major cloud overhanging the stock will be

      removed and the potential exists for significant appreciation. The

      Company has been able to secure intermediate-term financing, so the

      delay has not seriously affected the project. Long-term we think that

      amorphous materials have significant potential. Ultimate success in

      only a few of its projects could catapult ENER into considerable

      profitability. Therefore, because of the significant potential

      associated with amorphous materials, we think the depressed stock price

      gives aggressive investors an opportunity to participate in a

      technology that could revolutionize all industry.



      BUSINESS SUMMARY


      Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. has pioneered research on

      amorphous and disordered materials. The Company is currently involved

      in developing products for the energy, information and synthetic

      materials markets. This is being accomplished primarily by the

      formulation of alliances with several large, well-established

      companies, primarily in the form of joint partnerships and nonexclusive

      technology licenses.



      The Company currently has approximately 476 employees of which

      over 75 are Ph.D researchers. More importantly though, ENER has

      recently been complementing this "brain trust" with proven business

      managers who previously held high level management positions in large,

      multinational corporations.



      OVONIC TECHNOLOGY

      ----------------------...


      ENERGY INFORMATION SYNTHETIC MATERIALS



      Sovonics Solar Ovonic Display Systems (*) Ovonic Synthetic

      Systems (A partnership - Flat Panel Displays Materials Company (*)

      with Sohio) and Imagers - Coatings

      Sovonics Solar - Magnets

      Technology (A Matshushita Electric - X-Ray Mirrors

      partnership with Industrial Company (a) - Atomic

      Sohio) Hitachi, Ltd. (a) Ceramics (TM)(b)

      Sharp-ECD Solar IBM (a)

      (A joint venture of - Optical Memories

      Sharp and Sovonics

      Solar Technology) Raytheon Corporation (a)

      - Solar Cells - PROMs



      Ovonic ThermoElectric Nippon Telegraph &

      Company (*) Telephone Corporation (b)

      ThermOvonics (*) - Ultra High Density

      - Ovonic ThermoElectric Electronic Memories

      Generators

      Major International

      Ovonic Battery Company Corporation (b) (Name

      (A partnership with withheld for competitive

      American Natural reasons)

      Resources) - New Computer Applications

      - Rechargeable (N-Gen (TM))

      Batteries - Optical Fibers



      Electrophotographic Drums



      (*) Wholly-owned by ECD

      (a) Licensee

      (b) Research & Development Agreement



      Source: Energy Conversion Devices, Inc.



      AMORPHOUS OR DISORDERED MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY


      Amorphous or disordered materials are a unique type of synthetic

      solid. They can be best understood as the antithesis of ordered or

      crystalline substances.



      CRYSTALLINE (ORDERED) MATERIALS


      These are solids that have precise mathematical order. That is,

      each molecular cluster or atoms within a material is exactly like every

      other cluster. Therefore, all chemical bonds and bond angles are

      equivalent and physical properties are predictable. Another way to

      describe it is in a crystal each atom is surrounded by equidistant

      neighboring atoms (short range order) and there is a correlation

      between the positions of the atoms over macroscopic distances (long

      range order). The problem is that to obtain the long range order a

      crystal must be in absolute form. That means impurities and bond

      disclocations cannot be tolerated. Therefore, crystals must be prepared

      or grown in ultra-pure conditions and controlled environments. This

      usually involves considerable expense and puts practical constraints on

      substrate sizes. For example, the semiconductor industry has been

      working with crystalline silicon for over 30 years and still can only

      grow crystals with approximately a six-inch diameter. One other

      limitation is that not all chemical compounds will form crystals. As a

      result, only certain physical and electrical characteristics are

      readily available from existing materials. Therefore, even though a

      certain chemical formulation may possess desired microscopic qualities

      it may not be producible in crystalline macroscopic form.



      AMORPHOUS (DISORDERED) MATERIALS


      As contrasted with crystals, amorphous materials have constituent

      molecules arranged in disordered fashion without repetitive,

      mathematical patterns. Therefore, even though an amorphous material

      may have a chemical formula equivalent to a crystalline substance it

      would not possess long range order. That means the molecular clusters

      would not line up in an orderly fashion across the solid in the same

      way crystalline solids do, even though the microscopic or short range

      order is nearly identical. For a long period of time it was thought

      that this characteristic would inhibit the practical use of disordered

      materials. The surprise came when it wa discovered tha amorphous and

      crystalline substances in many respects exhibit comparable properties.

      That meant the essential properties of a substance are determined

      primarily by chemical bonding or short range order, rather than by the

      macro structure. This being the case, there was one other important

      implication. Freedom from crystalline constraints allows one to design

      completely new materials. Researchers can create new materials with

      physical, chemical and electrical parameters that were heretofore

      unavailable with crystalline materials. This is significant because

      now materials can be tailor-made for specific applications.



      WHY ARE AMORPHOUS MATERIALS COMMERCIALLY SIGNIFICANT?


      1. COST ADVANTAGES: Amorphous materials are created by using

      methods such as plasma deposition, cathode sputtering and thermal

      evaporation. These techniques are significantly cheaper than growing

      crystals of an equivalent substance. Therefore, even if crystalline

      materials can perform a task equally, the economic benefits of

      amorphous materials can be significant.



      2. MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS: Because amorphous materials are free

      from crystalline constraints, materials can be created with unique

      physical, chemical and electrical characteristics. This may allow

      companies to produce products that were previously impossible with

      crystalline substances.



      3. SIZE ADVANTAGES: Devices can be fabricated with amorphous

      materials that do not have the size limitations of crystalline solids.

      An example of this are traditional semiconductor devices versus ENER's

      work on the N-Gen computer, which is literally an entire computer on a

      very large substrate.



      ENERGY DIVISION


      In the Energy Division ENER is involved principally in the

      development and commercial production of photovoltaic solar cells and

      thermoelectric generators. The Company is also preparing rechargeable

      batteries for commercialization. In addition, research is under way on

      specialty catalysts and superconductivity.



      Photovoltaic solar cell development is currently under way via

      operating and technology partnerships with Sohio. The operating

      partnership, called Sovonics Solar Systems, was formed to continue

      research and development on photovoltaic technology and to

      commercialize solar products. As of March 1985 ENER owned

      approximately 33% of the Company subject to restoration up to 49% if

      funding requirements are met. Energy Conversion's share of the

      operating partnership cannot drop below 25% even if the Company fails

      to make all required cash calls. The technology partnership, named

      Sovonics Solar Technology, holds all the patent rights to the

      technology and is responsible for all licensing agreements.



      Major Fields For Ovonic Commercialization
      MAJOR FIELDS FOR OVONIC COMMERCIALIZATION



      ENERGY -- Photovoltaics

      Thermoelectrics

      Batteries

      Hydrogen



      INFORMATION -- Optical Memories

      Solid-State Memories

      Flat Panel Displays

      Copier Drums

      Microelectronics (large area)



      ENGINEERED MATERIALS -- Coatings

      X-Ray Optics

      Superconductors

      Catalysts

      Magnets



      ENER holds a 51% interest in the technology partnership which is

      not subject to dilution. Currently the partnerships are involved in

      producing multi-layer, amorphous silicon alloy solar cells. The

      emphasis is to produce high-efficiency cells on very light substrates.

      The theoretical efficiency available from a multiple layer amorphous

      device is 60%. However, a realistic upper limit is probably about 30%,

      with a 15% conversion rate necessary to make solar cells commercially

      competitive with other energy forms in large central power stations.

      To date, this Company has produced a device in the laboratory with an

      11.7% efficiency. Crystalline solar cells currently operate at

      approximately a 10% efficiency. A very distinctive characteristic of

      Sovonics solar cells is that they are produced on lightweight flexible

      substrates. All other solar cells, amorphous or crystalline are

      currently manufactured on glass or other rigid substrates. This

      characteristic will become increasingly important as larger and larger

      modules are built in commercializing the product. In addition, the

      Company is currently able to manufacture its solar cells with a 99%

      yield. Furthermore ENER's solar cells are very stable, while other

      amorphous silicon devices are not. ENER is currently involved in

      preliminary discussions with a government agency as to potential

      applications of ultra light flexible solar cells in space.



      Sovonics Solar Technology is currently involved in a joint venture

      with Sharp in Japan for the production of tandem amorphous silicon

      alloy solar cells utilizing Energy Conversion's proprietary

      roll-to-roll production equipment. These cells are used in Sharp's

      solar-powered-calculat... To date, SOHIO has invested approximately

      $75 million in the partnerships and Sharp about $6 million. Sharp has

      also invested approximately $20 million for manufacturing facilities in

      Japan. The industry estimates the current photovoltaic market to be

      approximately $300 million, growing to $2 billion by 1990 and $10

      billion by the year 2000.



      The Ovonic ThermoElectric Company (OTC) is now wholly owned by

      ENER subsequent to the Company's purchase of ANR's interest in March

      1985. OTC operates as a Division and develops and produces devices that

      convert heat into electricity, called Ovonic thermoelectric generators

      (OTEGs). These are solid state devices (without moving parts) which

      make use of the Seebeck effect to cause electrons to migrate toward the

      cold end of a device when heat is applied to the opposite end. The

      Company is currently developing devices for a variety of applications

      ranging from remote power generators to commercial cooling systems. To

      date the Division has sold approximately 300 units at an average cost

      of $900, primarily for use as remote power generators. The major

      competitor for this device is Teledyne, however, ENER believes its

      device operates at lower temperatures and has a substantial cost

      advantage. The Company is also working on several large volume

      applications.



      The Ovonic Battery Company, (OBL), a partnership with ANR

      (recently acquired by Coastal Corp.) was formed to develop lightweight,

      nontoxic, high energy density batteries. OBL is initially developing

      secondary, or rechargeable batteries targeted at the high end of the

      nickel-cadmium market. The batteries will be sold primarily to OEMs

      manufacturing portable, battery-driven products. OBL has to date

      developed preproduction prototypes that exhibit 2.0 AH (ampere-hour)

      capacity as compared to 1.2 AH for nickel cadmium. There is currently

      some question as to whether or not ANR, subsequent to being acquired by

      Coastal Corp. will continue with the partnership. The Company believes

      that, in the event this does happen, other partners can easily be

      found. To date ANR has contributed over $6.5 million to the Ovonic

      Battery Company. Contributions of $20 million would represent 50%

      ownership. ENER believes the addressable market for the Ovonic Battery

      to currently be in the range of $250-$500 million and growing at 10%

      annually. Some studies have placed the market at $1 billion by 1990.



      Other projects in the Energy Division center primarily on

      efficient, low cost catalysts and superconductors which carry very

      large electrical currents and produce extremely large magnetic fields

      without dissipation of energy. Conventional superconducting materials

      only operate at very low temperatures which limits practical

      application. ENER's ultimate goal is to create superconducting

      materials which can operate in an extended temperature range, thereby

      stimulating commercial application.



      INFORMATION DIVISION


      The Information Division is involved in the development of

      products for the telecommunications and computer industries. Primary

      products are flat-panel computer displays, optical memories,

      electrophotographic drums (copier drums), programmable read-only

      memories (PROMS), optical fibers, a microfiche system, large scale

      circuit interconnect technology and nth-generation computers.



      In May of 1984 ENER formed Ovonic Display Systems, Inc.

      ("DISPLAY"), a wholly owned subsidiary, to complete development and

      market high contrast LCD flat panel displays. Initial work is focused

      on developing an "active matrix" technology for LCDs which will offer

      extremely good contrast and a wide viewing angle. Conventional LCD

      displays utilize a multiplexed signal technology which compromises

      contrast, viewing angle and resolution due to the effects of cross talk

      and lack of sharpness in the liquid crystal voltage threshold. ENER's

      product will initially be marketed as a replacement for a cathode ray

      tube (CRT) monitor. Eventually the Company also plans to develop solid

      state electronic image processing technology for devices, such as page

      readers and facsimile machines. These devices would not have moving

      parts like traditional machines, and hence could be much cheaper to

      build and substantially lighter. The Company believes that this could

      eventually be incorporated in its LCD flat panel displays, such that it

      serves a dual role, display or page reader. ENER also anticiptes the

      development of touch sensitive and color LCD displays. In September

      1984, Energy Conversion Devices filed a registration statement with the

      Securities & Exchange Commission for a rights offering to ENER

      shareholders. Proceeds were to be used to continue product development

      and to build a semi-automated production facility. However, the SEC

      delayed the offering to conduct an informal inquiry, which initially

      revolved around the question of whether or not ENER did in fact have

      exclusive rights to the active matrix technology, because of its large

      number of joint ventures. It appears that the inquiry is without

      merit. In order to continue development until this measure is resolved,

      ENER entered into two business agreements in April of 1985. One was

      for $3 million with a large institutional investor and the other was $1

      million from a large multinational Japanese corporation. There does not

      appear to have been any significant delays in product development

      because of this inquiry. The Company believes it is only about two

      months behind schedule. The potential market for LCD flat panel

      displays has been projected to reach approximately $3.2 billion by

      1992.



      More than a decade ago Energy Conversion Devices developed an

      optical memory technology for the storage and rapid retrieval of

      massive amounts of data. This technology revolves around a reversible

      bistable switch which is activated by amorphous-to-crystalli... and

      crystalline-to-amorpho... phase transitions. The driving mechanism for

      this transition is a laser beam with 1 uM resolution. Until recently

      this has been the inhibitor to the extensive commercialization of the

      product. However, recent advances in solid state laser technology have

      removed this barrier. IBM, Matsushita Electric and Hitachi are

      currently licensees of optical memories with additional licenses under

      negotiation. To date Matsushita has invested approximately $2 million

      and Hitachi approximately $0.8 million. Some market researchers

      believe demand for this type of device could reach approximately $10

      billion by the year 2000.



      Electrophotographic copier drums have been developed by ENER which

      utilize an amorphous silicon alloy to produce a photoconductive coating

      that is extremely hard, scratch-resistant and long lived. These

      properties are significant because approximately 90% of all copier

      problems are currently related to the copier drum. ENER believes that

      its amorphous silicon drum will have a usable life over 10 times longer

      than conventional drums. Although many companies have understood the

      desirable characteristics of amorphous silicon copier drums, they have

      been uneconomical to produce. However, ENER has perfected a deposition

      technique that very substantially reduces manufacturing costs and

      creates the hardness required to make its proprietary material a viable

      option. In September 1983 a Japanese firm, Shindengen Kogyo Co.,

      invested $400,000 in a research agreement for development of this

      technology. Shindengen is the largest OEM copier drum manufacturer in

      Japan. On June 19, 1985, ENER and Canon of Tokyo, Japan signed an

      agreement whereby ENER will license certain technologies to Canon for

      manufacturing amorphous silicon copier drums in Japan. In addition,

      the two companies will establish a joint venture in the U.S. which will

      be 51% owned by ENER and 49% by Canon who will have management control.

      The terms are structured such that ENER will receive $7 million as soon

      as Japanese government approval is obtained and an additional $3

      million over the next 18 months.



      Programmable read-only memory (PROM) technology is being developed

      via a license agreement with the Raytheon Corporation. Energy

      Conversion Devices developed an amorphous silicon switch as a

      replacement for the metallic fuse link elements used in conventional

      PROM devices. This will ultimately result in a 50% size reduction in

      the PROM cell.



      Raytheon has completed a two-year engineering program and is in

      the process of gearing up for production of the devices. It is not

      known when manufacturing will commence. The PROM market has been

      forecasted to grow approximately $650 million by 1988.



      Energy Conversion Devices patented "amorphous silicon antifuse

      technology" used in the PROM device is also evolving into another

      application. In January 1983 ENER transferred a nonroyalty bearing

      license to this technology to a new corporation, Mosaic Systems, Inc.

      In return ENER received approximately 10% of the original stock.

      Mosaic Systems is involved in the development of discretionary wiring

      for wafer scale integration. What this will do is to connect

      programmatically crystalline chips that reside on monolithic wafers.

      Therefore, instead of breaking a silicon wafer into small chips and

      then reconnecting them by packaging them on a printed circuit board,

      manufacturers will be able to do everything electronically at the wafer

      level. Mosaic Systems anticipates this will reduce cost and size while

      increasing speed.



      A revolutionary area of research that is proceeding at ENER is

      called the N-Gen (nth generation) computer. Conventional

      semiconductors are based on single crystal silicon, which after years

      of research and millions of dollars still can only be practically

      produced in six-inch diameters. This puts a limit on device sizes,

      allowing researchers to only go so far in full wafer scale integration.

      In contrast, Energy Conversion Devices utilizes amorphous silicon

      semiconductors which can be produced on substrates a number of times

      larger and in multiply layers. The implication is that by using

      amorphous silicon, one could literally design a computer more powerful

      than today's mainframes on a single chip. ENER has received $4.3

      million from Nippon Telegraph & Telephone and another major

      international firm to proceed with this research.



      The other major areas of work in the Information Division revolve

      around topical fibers and a microfiche system. In optical fibers the

      Company is developing ultra low loss fibers for use in

      telecommunications and ultimately in devices such as optical computers.

      A major international corporation has recently invested $750,000 in

      preliminary research. Energy Conversion Devices has also developed an

      instant, dry development process into a microfiche system. In November

      1983, ENER licensed the technology to Memcom International for $1

      million and royalties.



      SYNTHETIC MATERIALS


      The Synthetic Materials Division, or the Ovonic Synthetic

      Materials Company, OSM, is working primarily in the areas of

      specialized coatings, hard magnets and x-ray optics.



      Specialized coatings are being developed for a number of different

      industrial applications. OSM has been able to develop coatings, again

      based on amorphous materials technology, with the ability to withstand

      high temperatures, abrasion and corrosion. The underlying basis of

      this business is the Company's ability to create materials for specific

      tasks. This again is due to the nature of amorphous materials. OSM is

      currently involved in a two-year development contract with the Nippon

      Steel Corporation for the development of corrosion resistant coatings

      for the steel industry. To date Nippon Steel has contributed

      approximately $800,000 to this project.



      The hard magnet project has developed a permanent magnet with a

      large magnetic energy capacity in relationship to its size and weight.

      The emphasis will be to replace rare earth and ferrite magnets with

      magnets superior in performance as a function of weight and size.

      Potential applications would include computer disk drive motors,

      automobile starters and other home appliances.



      OSM's Xray mirror project has developed materials that can be used

      to reflect and focus X-rays. X-rays, of course, penetrate most all

      substances. The only substances currently available that will reflect

      or disperse X-rays are certain single crystal materials. OSM has

      developed a thin-film multi-layer technology or "super-lattice&qu...

      material that overcomes many of the shortcomings involved with current

      materials. OSM believes this will enable X-ray instrumentation

      manuacturers to design increased functionality into future machines.

      This is already a profitable product with sales currently over $1M

      annually to customers such as Philips.



      Nov 30 03:12 PM
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