Commercial Real Estate Time Bomb Ticking for REITs [View article]
Thanks
On Apr 17 11:38 AM Mad Hedge Fund Trader wrote:
> Totally. George Soros says that it is “inevitable” that commercial > real estate falls another 30%. Rents are falling, tenant bankruptcies > are rising, there is tons of debt to be refinanced for which there > is no market, so cap rates are rocketing and “ghost mall” has joined > the recessionary lexicon. This all adds up to lower prices. Some > credit default swaps are trading at levels suggesting that a major > REIT bankruptcy is imminent. I know George is sometimes prone to > extreme statements, but this time he may be on to something. If you > want a short play, or if you have an existing long position in commercial > real estate which you can’t get out of and want to hedge, try a short > position in the (seekingalpha.com/symbo...), although it > has already dropped from $85 to $21. You can also play one of the > sicker REIT names like Brookfield Properties (seekingalpha.com/symbo...). > >
Commercial Real Estate Time Bomb Ticking for REITs [View article]
On Apr 17 11:38 AM Mad Hedge Fund Trader wrote:
> Totally. George Soros says that it is “inevitable” that commercial
> real estate falls another 30%. Rents are falling, tenant bankruptcies
> are rising, there is tons of debt to be refinanced for which there
> is no market, so cap rates are rocketing and “ghost mall” has joined
> the recessionary lexicon. This all adds up to lower prices. Some
> credit default swaps are trading at levels suggesting that a major
> REIT bankruptcy is imminent. I know George is sometimes prone to
> extreme statements, but this time he may be on to something. If you
> want a short play, or if you have an existing long position in commercial
> real estate which you can’t get out of and want to hedge, try a short
> position in the (seekingalpha.com/symbo...), although it
> has already dropped from $85 to $21. You can also play one of the
> sicker REIT names like Brookfield Properties (seekingalpha.com/symbo...).
>
>