Igorsky

Does Al Gore Finally Get It?

Fitzman. The equivalent energy we use daily of all oil, gas and coal is 200 million bbl of oil. For non-global warming believers and the scientifically challenged, here are are some Q & A to ponder. This equivalent 200mm barrels daily, when combusted creates 10 times plus amount of CO2 that plants and trees can photosynthesize daily. The unused amount accumulates in our atmosphere daily. I takes years to feel the effect but it is there creeping up at all of us slowly.

To put it in undestandable terms. When you run your car inside a closed garage, CO will accumulate and in about 20 to 30 minutes you will die from carbon monoxide poisoning.

The earth is like a big super duper enclosed garage enclosed by the forces of gravity. At the rate we are burning fossil fuels, it will be about 80 to 100 years before most animals (includes humans) on earth will choke and die. However, this will never happen. why? Because in a few years time, within the next 10-20 years, the climate pattern on earth would have changed so much that our ciites will experience more and more extreme weather like more powerful typhoons, tornadoes and hurricanes, more dry weather in formerly moderate areas and more extremely wet in other areas causing flooding and drought where there it has not happened before. There will be extreme snow fall but for short periods in some areas. Weather patterns will change at a rate much faster than people can adjust. The result - less harvests in farm lands, flooded cities, destroyed man made structures everywhere. This has been happening for a number of years now. An example of this is the Mississippi which is flooding again only 13 years after the last one. The cycle is getting shorter all the time as we continue to burn hydrocarbon.

With all these changes comes changes in insects and diseases. More of them are moving north as the weather pattern shifts. Diseases will cause more people to get sick and/or die.

I other words, the people population on earth (the root cause of climate change) will start to decline and the CO2 generation will decline with it. The earth will self correct our man generated excesses.

How do we prolong the good living on earth as we know it today and pass it on to our next generation? Start reducing our consumption of hdrocarbons fast and bring down the population growth to a more sustainable level. Who decides where the sustainable level is? Mother nature will determine that of course!

What Can Possibly Explain the Price of Oil?

When, not if, the Israeli's attack the nuclear facilities in Iran two things may happen ---

1) Fanatics in Iran sink one or two tankers in the Persian Gulf cutting off oil exports from Gulf oil producers -- Kuwait, Iran, UAE and Qatar. But not completely. Shallow draft small tankers can still go through. Crude oil goes up to $200 or more, temporarily. The Saudis will ship 5 million bbls/day of their oil via pipeline to the red sea. Iraq ship via Turkey. Iran and Kuwait have no such alternative for exporting their oil. Consumers are already cutting back on their use so a price spike will not hurt the world economy too badly. Non-oil producing countries but oil dependent, with large populations like Pakistan, Egypt will hurt most.

2) Level headed Iranian Mullahs prevail and tankers continue plying the gulf. The leadership figures that if they blockaded the gulf, Iran will be the first to suffer. Their oil revenue will plummet, people lose their means of earning a living and revolt, and the mullahs lose power. Surely, with strong self interest in mind, the level headed Mullahs will not allow blockage of the Straight of Hormuz.

However, whether it is scenario 1 or 2, bombing of Iran will send shock waves to the market and oil will spike to $200+ for a few days and come back down. Nothing to worry about long term. Suicide bombers will try to do damage to the world but the world security forces are already operating around to world now so damage will be limited unlike pre-911.

In the long run the world will benefit from this sir strike. If there is a good time for this event, it will be after the Olympics.

Is Oil a Bubble? Part Two

Facts:
1)The end of cheap oil started with Katrina.
2)The world's rapid unsustainable population growth is accelerating
3)Human activities is dumping CO2 into the atmosphere so much global warming is accelerating.

How can mankind sustain human existence on Earth?
1) Start reducing population growth -- one child per family for everyone.
2) Switch power generation from coal to nuclear; accelerate research into long term handling of nuclear waste.
3) Start switching to electric power for cars, heating, cooking, office HVAC
4) Accelerate installation of wind and solar power generators
5) Accelerate development of fast breeder reactors
6) Eliminate extreme religious beliefs to make the world a safer to live in.