Crude Oil and Gasoline Prices: Like Déjà Vu All Over Again [View article]
Dream on. And one other thing. It is NOT correct what you said about gasoline demand going down. In the past two months gasoline demand has INCREASED considerably over year-ago levels. Hoping for lower oil prices does not make it so. And the USD will continue to head lower.
Please provide solid proof that the Bush Admin was "anti-science". And leave out all the global warming garbage which thousands of reputable scientists still dispute. The Obama Admin is a complete disastewr whethe rits econ policy, scientific, or otherwise. We may not survive as a country until 2012. The Great "O" is a charlatan. A fraud, plain and simple. If you can't see that you are a moron.
On Apr 27 10:33 AM charliezap wrote:
> Comments from the top of my head, which could be disproved by research > or facts. > > 1. I don't think that Big Oil is much interested in looking for oil > onshore the lower 48 any more. Their main interest within the US > is potential fields offshore or in Alaska. Virtually all of the smaller > E & P companies are already focused on gas. > > 2. There's lots of gas out there. The issue is cost. You have to > go deeper, into deeper water, or use new technology fracturing to > get it out of the shale formations. > > 3. Let the market decide, yes, but we do need tax incentives and/or > disincentives to steer usage away from energy sources that pollute, > contribute to global warming, or lack security of supply. A carbon > tax (or cap and trade) would solve a lot of problems. A) It would > encourage conservation in the use of transportation fuels, B) it > would push more power plants toward natural gas, C) it would reduce > carbon dioxide emissions, D) it would push demand toward domestic > natural gas and other domestic sources (including wind and solar), > and would reduce reliance on imported oil, including from countries > such as Venezuela, Nigeria, and Saudi Arabia, E) it would improve > the US trade balance, and, F) it would reduce the US federal budget > deficit. > > 4. SemiFinal Comments: I don't think it is feasible to switch over > to natural gas in the time frame proposed. It would take enormous > amounts of capital for drilling and infra-structure. And there are > so-called "environmentalists" who oppose everything that does not > conform to their "ideal". Environmental opposition will slow down > any solution. > > Final Comment: I don't see any point if firing Chu. I think the Obama > administration has as good a grasp of the situation as any administration > could. In fact, they will push science as part of the solution, in > contrast to the prior administration, who were anti-science.
The Slippery Slope of Declining Petrochemical Demand [View article]
over 85% of the total products manufactured in the world are petroleum-based. So much for your comment that oil will go the way of the dinosaur. Some advice for you. Think before you speak.
On Apr 08 10:00 AM The Greatest Rip Off of our Time wrote:
> Oil needs to go the way of the dinosaur, it is a relic fossil of > the past. New alternative fuels and energy sources are becoming more > readily and affordable everyday and will replace oil as our energy > source if we are smart as a species.
If we ever hit $9/bbl you can "turn the lights out" on the global economy. At $9 NO oil production makes any sense whatsoever. So if you were surprised to see the oilsands come to a screeching halt at $35, you ain't seen nothing yet. $9 is a sheer fantasy number and if it happens we will all be living in a cave somewhere.
On Jan 06 10:30 AM 1977°C wrote:
> I agree only with 10-20$ Oil as 40-75$ that you project seems weird > long term.You all forgot that in 1997 Oil was 10-15$ and nobody cared, > then in 2008 many WORLD'S TOP ANALYST were predicting 250$ in a matter > of days and we all witnessed where it all finished, sorry, it is > not over yet. > I promise all of you, that till 2015 we will hit 9$ a barrell. <br/>Yeah, > Oil is now 50$ and I make money both buying/selling it day by day, > but I would never buy December 2017 Crude Oil at 80$, the market > traders of all kind predict such a price for 2017 and I have no idea > how they come into this 60% above now price call, but may I remind > you that in 1999 longest dated futures then for December 2008 were > tading, well at around 20-25$.
OPEC and Production Cuts: Why Now's the Time to Buy [View article]
""Valuations might get better"- You have to be kidding right? RIG, NOV, and others are trading at P/Es of 3 or 4, with a PEG ratio of 0.3 It doesn't get any cheaper than that. Basically, these cos are being valued at $15 oil. As you say that will never happen. Yes sentiment is poor. But much of that is tied to the strong US dollar (USD). I cannot see the current rally in the USD as being sustainable. When it cracks oil prices will adjust upward.
Ridiculous assessment. "There might be a better time to buy oil companies". When exactly ? When their p/e is at ZERO? You have profit machines like OXY, CVX, and DVN trading at p/e's of 3. Are you kidding me? These companies are growing EPS 30-35% per year and trading with a PEG as low as 0.3 AS Peter Lynch often said, it doesn't get any better than that. Any company growing earnings trading with a PEG below 0.5 is a "steal". Waiting for a better entry into energy companies is foolhardy indeed.
Crude Oil and Gasoline Prices: Like Déjà Vu All Over Again [View article]
Is There Enough Natural Gas? [View article]
On Apr 27 10:33 AM charliezap wrote:
> Comments from the top of my head, which could be disproved by research
> or facts.
>
> 1. I don't think that Big Oil is much interested in looking for oil
> onshore the lower 48 any more. Their main interest within the US
> is potential fields offshore or in Alaska. Virtually all of the smaller
> E & P companies are already focused on gas.
>
> 2. There's lots of gas out there. The issue is cost. You have to
> go deeper, into deeper water, or use new technology fracturing to
> get it out of the shale formations.
>
> 3. Let the market decide, yes, but we do need tax incentives and/or
> disincentives to steer usage away from energy sources that pollute,
> contribute to global warming, or lack security of supply. A carbon
> tax (or cap and trade) would solve a lot of problems. A) It would
> encourage conservation in the use of transportation fuels, B) it
> would push more power plants toward natural gas, C) it would reduce
> carbon dioxide emissions, D) it would push demand toward domestic
> natural gas and other domestic sources (including wind and solar),
> and would reduce reliance on imported oil, including from countries
> such as Venezuela, Nigeria, and Saudi Arabia, E) it would improve
> the US trade balance, and, F) it would reduce the US federal budget
> deficit.
>
> 4. SemiFinal Comments: I don't think it is feasible to switch over
> to natural gas in the time frame proposed. It would take enormous
> amounts of capital for drilling and infra-structure. And there are
> so-called "environmentalists" who oppose everything that does not
> conform to their "ideal". Environmental opposition will slow down
> any solution.
>
> Final Comment: I don't see any point if firing Chu. I think the Obama
> administration has as good a grasp of the situation as any administration
> could. In fact, they will push science as part of the solution, in
> contrast to the prior administration, who were anti-science.
The Slippery Slope of Declining Petrochemical Demand [View article]
On Apr 08 10:00 AM The Greatest Rip Off of our Time wrote:
> Oil needs to go the way of the dinosaur, it is a relic fossil of
> the past. New alternative fuels and energy sources are becoming more
> readily and affordable everyday and will replace oil as our energy
> source if we are smart as a species.
Crudomania Is Over [View article]
On Jan 06 10:30 AM 1977°C wrote:
> I agree only with 10-20$ Oil as 40-75$ that you project seems weird
> long term.You all forgot that in 1997 Oil was 10-15$ and nobody cared,
> then in 2008 many WORLD'S TOP ANALYST were predicting 250$ in a matter
> of days and we all witnessed where it all finished, sorry, it is
> not over yet.
> I promise all of you, that till 2015 we will hit 9$ a barrell. <br/>Yeah,
> Oil is now 50$ and I make money both buying/selling it day by day,
> but I would never buy December 2017 Crude Oil at 80$, the market
> traders of all kind predict such a price for 2017 and I have no idea
> how they come into this 60% above now price call, but may I remind
> you that in 1999 longest dated futures then for December 2008 were
> tading, well at around 20-25$.
OPEC and Production Cuts: Why Now's the Time to Buy [View article]
You have to be kidding right? RIG, NOV, and others are trading at P/Es of 3 or 4, with a PEG ratio of 0.3 It doesn't get any cheaper than that. Basically, these cos are being valued at $15 oil. As you say that will never happen. Yes sentiment is poor. But much of that is tied to the strong US dollar (USD). I cannot see the current rally in the USD as being sustainable. When it cracks oil prices will adjust upward.
What's Oil's Future? [View article]