I think you need to take a math course. "Oil at $30/bbl is high in inflation adjusted terms". Adjusted for inflation today's $30 oil is worth about $8 bbl in 1974 dollars (time of the last oil embargo). Or put another way gas pump prices today at $1.75 are the equivalent to .35 cents a gallon. If you find that expensive you are out of your mind. Oil is extremely undervalued even in the $45-50 range.
On Mar 15 12:33 PM MDLGTO wrote:
> Good starting point. I agree with other posts that cash flow per > share would be a helpful measure AND that Net Cash/Debt is more important. > > > With regard to specific stocks: > AAPL garners a majority of revenue from Laptops and Ipods (macworld > pie chart www.macworld.com/artic...) > -IMHO these sales will evaporate along with other consumer disc. > purchases. I think will crash hard. AND without Jobs, even more so. > > > MSFT, as noted, cash rich for a long time--have really not gotten > any traction with new products svcs-dependent on win/office. Some > possible good news is that I THINK that companies will prefer to > bleed a little w/ new licenses rather than take a large capital investment > on low cost solutions (linux/google apps)--cap ex is in training/IT > that can handle these jobs > > GOOG is VERY interesting 0 debt. Still a bit overpriced, But will > continue to innovate (lots of blah blah about innovation in crisis > type articles are around), advertising continue to shift to web (more > cost effective and goog owns this arena). GOOG is the microsoft of > tomorrow. > > I think PHARM is much maligned. Think about it people. For all the > flak that Obama gets (I'm a liberal), He won't be able to change > the system--look what happened under Clinton--A lot of talk, no change. > AND Boomers are just now striding into their peak Medication years!!! > > > BRK is, I think, a Buffet/munger vehicle-old guys whose active investing > longevity won't outrun this downcycle. > > XOM etc. Great company, probably overvalued. I'd look at historical > Oil prices--Even $30/bbl is avg/high in inflation adjusted terms. > > > INTC-Not sure how their other lines stack up, but i'd guess worldwide > chip demand is going to be neg/flat for a while. > > CSCO-Not great equipment, but Corps will need to maintain network > status quo. > > HQP odd chimera of IT. Consumer sales will be neg/flat. I'd think > their best days are over > > IBM as a friend wrote to me "we're outsourcing everything that's > not bolted down" IBM should be able to capitalize on that > > TOM-Think consumer capital expenditures will not be great for some > time. > > So, This is my 2 min Cramer exercise--look at IBM, GOOG, and pharm. > I'd also be interested in Consumer Staples that have strong balance > sheets/ low debt/equity ratios--Help me people!! Most consumeer staples > seem to be too highly leveraged.
The 15 Most Cash Rich Companies [View article]
On Mar 15 12:33 PM MDLGTO wrote:
> Good starting point. I agree with other posts that cash flow per
> share would be a helpful measure AND that Net Cash/Debt is more important.
>
>
> With regard to specific stocks:
> AAPL garners a majority of revenue from Laptops and Ipods (macworld
> pie chart www.macworld.com/artic...)
> -IMHO these sales will evaporate along with other consumer disc.
> purchases. I think will crash hard. AND without Jobs, even more so.
>
>
> MSFT, as noted, cash rich for a long time--have really not gotten
> any traction with new products svcs-dependent on win/office. Some
> possible good news is that I THINK that companies will prefer to
> bleed a little w/ new licenses rather than take a large capital investment
> on low cost solutions (linux/google apps)--cap ex is in training/IT
> that can handle these jobs
>
> GOOG is VERY interesting 0 debt. Still a bit overpriced, But will
> continue to innovate (lots of blah blah about innovation in crisis
> type articles are around), advertising continue to shift to web (more
> cost effective and goog owns this arena). GOOG is the microsoft of
> tomorrow.
>
> I think PHARM is much maligned. Think about it people. For all the
> flak that Obama gets (I'm a liberal), He won't be able to change
> the system--look what happened under Clinton--A lot of talk, no change.
> AND Boomers are just now striding into their peak Medication years!!!
>
>
> BRK is, I think, a Buffet/munger vehicle-old guys whose active investing
> longevity won't outrun this downcycle.
>
> XOM etc. Great company, probably overvalued. I'd look at historical
> Oil prices--Even $30/bbl is avg/high in inflation adjusted terms.
>
>
> INTC-Not sure how their other lines stack up, but i'd guess worldwide
> chip demand is going to be neg/flat for a while.
>
> CSCO-Not great equipment, but Corps will need to maintain network
> status quo.
>
> HQP odd chimera of IT. Consumer sales will be neg/flat. I'd think
> their best days are over
>
> IBM as a friend wrote to me "we're outsourcing everything that's
> not bolted down" IBM should be able to capitalize on that
>
> TOM-Think consumer capital expenditures will not be great for some
> time.
>
> So, This is my 2 min Cramer exercise--look at IBM, GOOG, and pharm.
> I'd also be interested in Consumer Staples that have strong balance
> sheets/ low debt/equity ratios--Help me people!! Most consumeer staples
> seem to be too highly leveraged.
Schumer Is Way Off [View article]
And Schumer doesn't either. He is nothing more than an egotistical ham. He makes my skin crawl he is such a shill.