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36 Comments
Fox Business News: The Anti-CNBC?
This is like the lady that stood up at my school early in the Watergate scandal days and asked why the media was so concerned about these two Congressmen who were asking for Nixon's impeachment, when there were lots of other Congressmen out there.
The well-known reporter responded, "Ma'am, when two congressmen want to impeach the president, it's news."
Why The Dollar Hasn't Collapsed Amidst The Trade Deficit
If the margin on Widget A is a bit more and/or the invested capital is a bit less, than the profit is also much more on widget A. Successful economies run on return on invested capital and productivity.
China grows quickly because they can obtain great returns on capital, furthermore, Huawei is an example of a Chinese firm that produces telecom equipment that looks like widget B's above.
So this widget argument is misplaced and simplistic. Comparative advantage is a better way to look at the distinctions between particular widgets produced by particular countries.
There are reasons the dollar hasn't dropped further: Higher relative interest rates, the reserve currency status in a dollar-based global trading system that grows faster than total world GDP, etc.
But the dollar has dropped and is in a bear trend since the year 2000. The future may see the dollar rise or fall. Just remember that Japan had the low margin lending market cornered during the late eighties with the top seven or eight of ten banks in the world financing "assets" all over the world.
What are banks and the repackaged markets of the US finance is housing. This may turn out to be very un-productive investments. When our house-price-dependent "financing" system feels the pain of all of those homes that do not provide a return, our finance-based system will show its true colors.
On The Cusp of a New Phase in Option Backdating
Do you think any of this restating would have happened without the public humiliation and fear of lawsuits? Not since it's been going on since 1997.
Why Timber Outperforms Stocks, Bonds and Even Commodities
What reason is there to expect outperformance of this asset class to continue?
While it's amusing the the sum total of all US equity capital markets is beat by commerical foresty, there's no reason that proves this outperformance will continue.
Is the U.S. Going Bankrupt?
The idea that Moody’s or S&P or Fitch knows more than the market is interesting. They have had some many failures, some big ones like Enron, Russia, East Asia to name a few. The question is not which pop song simile to use to repackage the neo-Rightist spin that always finds that “America is great in all things”
The question is: are the rating agency’s success/failure ability to rate bonds better than the markets. IT’s a simple back test. Do it, then you may have a statistical data point. But that’s a different query than the one than the author set out to make . I certainly wouldn’t want a big hunk of my portfolio dependent on a bunch of analysts. I certainly wouldn’t want to bet a big chunk of my portfolio on one regression for the rating agencies versus the market,
If we’re generating 40% return on equity, why isn’t the “the wealth” increasing? It isn’t increasing by 40% (certainly not in dollars where it can be argued it’s decreasing.) We consume, and that’s why the problem of the budget is a big one.
The truth is Washington, will one day have to cut benefits and or raise taxes. The Bush deficits bring that day forward. The neo-Rightists head-in-the0sand on the deficits will be mocked. Washington will adapt and the problem will get repackaged, then, kicked down the road. Odds are they’ll go after your 401(k) since they can change the rules about their deductibility, so don’t think you’re safe Middle Class voter.
I’d be looking for an Index on the government raiding the private pension system, the $01(k)s and the SEP etc. There would be something to put a little money into.
A New iTunes Rip-Off? Microsoft Reinventing Itself in all the Wrong Ways (MSFT)
The Gates / Balmer business model is to copy and extend. They are doing exactly what they know how to do, the only thing they’ve ever done, and the US government let's them get away with it.
All the talk about inventiveness and creativity from entreprenurial ventures is stifled or stolen by Microsoft. We’re still using the same operating system, the same word proecessor etc etc they they ripped off of Apple and Word perfect a decade and a half ago. MSN? A clone. Internet Explorer? C’mon!
One day Microsoft will be superfluous, it will be soon, in the mean time their sclerotic management would be hard-pressed to operate a real company in a competitive market.
I bet: their iPod clone will be late, poorly functioning, non-interoperable, and with limited selection.