Rodney Johnson works closely with Harry Dent to study how people spend money as they go through predictable stages of life, how that spending drives our economy and how readers can use this information to invest successfully in any market.
Rodney began his career in financial services on Wall Street in the 1980s with Thomson McKinnon and then Prudential Securities. He started working on projects with Harry in the mid-1990s.
He’s a regular guest on several radio programs and is featured on television where he discusses economic trends ranging from the price of oil to the direction of the U.S. economy. He too is a regular guest on fox Business’s “America’s Nightly Scorecard.” He holds degrees from Georgetown University and Southern Methodist University.
Hello SA. I'm happy to be a part of this great website. I have been a market watcher for many years, and have been a trader for 6 years back in the late 1980's and early 1990's. I have been a long-term investor since my early teens. I study and apply technical analysis, and I use common sense. I am a student of fundamental analysis, but I have a long way to go. That being said, I am very impressed with the trading style of some of the members here and have successfully incorporated some of their techniques into my toolbox. I hold a diversified portfolio of common stocks and mutual funds. I utilize many strategies at buying and holding long, and I have sold short as a trader and did fairly well with it. I endeavor to see the stock market in various ways. I study the general market outlook, but usually do not try to time the market as I believe that it's nearly impossible. I am holding issues such as Apple, McDonald's, Proctor and Gamble, Chevron, and Coca-Cola long-term.
I am an analyst and 2017 Level III Candidate in the CFA Program that has gained experience in the investment industry through positions as a proprietary trader and a portfolio management administrator. I began contributing to Seeking Alpha as a way to share my thoughts on the biopharmaceutical industry. I discussed ways to minimize risk in biopharmaceutical investing through conservative pipeline valuation and balance sheet analysis to identify companies presenting a compelling valuation to potential investors. I also touched on ways to apply knowledge of the markets to improve personal finance. My pieces included either stock-specific analysis or general biopharmaceutical investing discussion through my Biotech Weekly blog. My research appeared on the websites of CNBC, Seeking Alpha, Reuters, Google Finance, Morningstar, NASDAQ, and MarketWatch.
Note: Articles and comments are my own opinions, are not related to the opinions of my employer, and should not be considered investment advice. Make sure to do your own due diligence before making an investment decision. Thanks!
I focus on the microcap space (market cap below $250 million) because it is one of the most inefficient and "alpha rich" areas of the global equity market, which provides the greatest opportunity to generate alpha through fundamental research.
I use a bottom up, investment decision making process. The ideal investment has an asymmetric risk/return profile with a limited downside (e.g. high net cash balance, strong cash flow) and significant upside (e.g. asset value extraction, overlooked business model transition).
Microcaps are particularly attractive to the following groups:
Activist investors. A small absolute investment (on a dollar basis) can be leveraged into a relatively large position (as a percentage of shares outstanding), which provides a greater ability to demand change.
Private equity firms. The persistent microcap discount can be “arbed away” via an LBO with the new owners accruing all of the gains for themselves. The small absolute size of many microcaps on an EV basis significantly expands the number of firms able to pursue this strategy.
This inefficiency exists for several reasons.
A lack of analyst coverage due to lower trading volume (less soft dollars from HF/MF), the global settlement that permanently severed the link between research/banking and the rise in electronic trading/decimalization. Moreover, none of these trends are likely to reverse for the foreseeable future (if ever).
A lack of institutional products given the natural capacity constraint for new/existing managers.
An inability to effectively implement a passive approach (e.g. ETFs, index funds) due to the lower liquidity and wider bid/ask spread. However, each of these obstacles can be overcome by using a combination of electronic trading tools (e.g. algos) and patience in building a positive size.
Inaccurate and persistent misconceptions about microcaps (e.g. they are riskier than larger cap stocks).
I currently trade for my personal account but would like to move into the investment management side of the industry.
Having been both a reader and a contributor on SA, I had a realization. Widely-known investment ideas are not very useful. This is because by the time general public knows about an opportunity, the inefficiency that caused it is usually gone. Fund managers who share their ideas, often do it after a rise in price, as they are trimming or selling their positions. And now, good ideas are often hidden behind a paywall.
Despite a plethora of well-written investment articles on SA, I rarely find a true investment gem here. My best ideas have mostly been my own. I suspect this is true for many of us.
Therefore, I began to work on a project to help me generate my own, original investment ideas. Reading is key to investing success, and reading about what works in investing should be even better. Having just started, I decided to share the project with SA readers. To check out the very early efforts, please go to www.readvest.com.
If you have any ideas or suggestions, please let me know and I will implement them.
CYNICONOMICS is run by F.F. Wiley and Ginger Snap – professional names for two veterans of the asset management industry. Our blog is based on our portfolio management experience and F.F.'s ongoing research, and motivated by our respective, midlife crises. Most people drive around in convertibles and reinterpret their wedding vows. We made up new names and started the blog. And F.F. has drafted a book, which one day he’ll finish up and publish.
David Warsh is proprietor of EconomicPrincipals.com (http://www.EconomicPrincipals.com), an independent, reader-supported, Web-based weekly that he started in 2002. Before that, he covered economics for The Boston Globe for 20 years and, earlier, reported on business for Forbes Magazine and The Wall Street Journal; from Vietnam for Pacific Stars and Stripes and Newsweek Magazine; and for the City New Bureau of Chicago. A two-time winner of a Gerald Loeb Award, he is the author of three books: The Idea of Economic Complexity (Viking, 1984); Economic Principals: Masters and Mavericks of Modern Economics (The Free Press, 1993); and, most recently, Knowledge and the Wealth of Nations: a Story of Economic Discovery (Norton, 2006).
Doug Smith is a semi-retired former financial exec, CPA, MBA, etc. managing my own retirement portfolio in my spare time. My career was in media and telecommunications services and high tech as a C-level exec for over 25 years, mostly in small- to medium-sized firms (up to $1B).
Whitney Tilson is the founder and Managing Partner of Kase Capital Management, which manages three value-oriented hedge funds. Mr. Tilson is also the co-founder of Value Investor Insight, an investment newsletter.
Mr. Tilson has co-authored two books, The Art of Value Investing: How the World's Best Investors Beat the Market (2013) and More Mortgage Meltdown: 6 Ways to Profit in These Bad Times (2009), was one of the authors of Poor Charlie’s Almanack, the definitive book on Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, and has written for Forbes, the Financial Times, Kiplinger’s, the Motley Fool and TheStreet.com. He was featured in two 60 Minutes segments in December 2008 about the housing crisis (which won an Emmy) and in March 2015 about Lumber Liquidators. He served for two years on the Board of Directors of Cutter & Buck, which designs and markets upscale sportswear, until the company was sold in early 2007.
Mr. Tilson received an MBA with High Distinction from the Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar (top 5% of class), and graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College, with a bachelor’s degree in Government.
Mr. Tilson spent much of his childhood in Tanzania and Nicaragua (his parents are both educators, were among the first couples to meet and marry in the Peace Corps, and have retired in Kenya). Consequently, Mr. Tilson is involved with a number of charities focused on education reform and Africa. For his philanthropic work, he received the 2008 John C. Whitehead Social Enterprise Award from the Harvard Business School Club of Greater New York. He is a member and past Chairman of the Manhattan chapter of the Young Presidents’ Organization. Mr. Tilson lives in Manhattan with his wife and three teenage daughters.
Liu is currently the CEO of Capitol Isle Partners LLC a media consulting business focusing on corporate restructuring and new business development. He is a partner in Information Central, a newsletter content provider and web marketing company. He also serves as a Senior Advisor to Goldmark Advisors, an investment banking boutique specializing in media situations. Liu has been a successful start-up and turnaround specialist in the media and publishing industry. He has spent his career advising companies in the fields of publishing, direct marketing and web-partnership marketing. In the past several years, he has consulted via Capital Isle Partners with well-known clients such as TV Guide, Primedia, Evercore Partners, Boardroom Reports and Willis Stein Partners. Before becoming a consultant, Liu has held several prestigious assignments. He was the Vice President of Consumer Marketing for American Media, Inc., publishers of The National Enquirer, STAR Magazine. Liu served as the Executive Vice President and co-founder of Lear Publishing, a consumer magazine company founded by Frances Lear (Norman Lear's ex-wife). He was also the President and Publisher of Network Publishing, the magazine division of the Providence Journal Company, and executed the hugely successful turn around of Soap Opera Digest. Liu is a long time investor focusing on value and strategic plays where his business experience in turnaround and restructuring work can be used to find and define opportunities in the market.
In 2001, I retired and now permanently reside in Mexico. After 5 years of managing my own affairs, I resumed my career in 2007 as a financial analyst / asset manager. My career began while in University as a – manual chartist for some wealthy Investors, who had a fancy math formula from Wharton School of Finance that required an advanced background in math – that was in 1957. I have kept those old books of Charts, and the basic formula still produces profits. I'm pleased to say that the formula / algorithm is now calculated by computer, but I still get to draw fancy lines.
If you would like to have further information about my work / analytics or perhaps my Professional Services - - asset management, mentoring or consulting – services . . . just send me an Email, click here, ( firstname.lastname@example.org ) and I will respond promptly. Please understand that this offer is for serious investors. I expect you to share just a bit about yourself and your investment objectives - that is important to me.
Furthermore, I never read or respond to the Seeking Alpha generated Messages or any Comments on my articles. Unfortunately, my experience has been very unsatisfactory. If you are seriously interested in learning more about what I do - - please Email me. email@example.com
I write a bi-weekly personal blog you might like. click here. http://twitter.com/#!/Invest Rotation
Education: I have several degrees, i.e. post graduate degrees and two doctorates. And a great deal of (too much) continued financial education. For seven years, I was a University Professor of Finance and Economics. No question, I learned more than I taught!
Licenses: I had all that were needed / required and more.
Designations: Over all those years, there were many initials after my name!
Business Experience: I owned a privately held asset-management firm and managed individual investor and corporate accounts as a Registered Investment Advisor - for over 40 years.
Published Articles: I have written and published over 400 papers / articles for both local and national circulation.
Current Status: In late 2007 I came out of retirement and re-entered my writing financial commentaries in various financial blogs. I began a Weekly, Commentary / Update for the ex-patriot locals here in Mexico. In my first issue, October 2007 – I recommended - Holding 100% Cash and forecast that the Marketplace was at a Top that was meaningful. To date, within this Weekly – Commentary / Update I have accurately identified all Inflection Points, i.e. the 2009 February and subsequent Lows. The December and the recent April Highs were also forecasted and identified.
I have resumed offering Asset Management and Consulting / Mentoring services as a Boutique Research Firm Financial Analyst. Email me if you might be interestes. click here.
I am currently also Blogging with SafeHaven.com / Community.Nasdaq.com and of course here in SA. I also maintain a Private Blog, click here ( http://twitter.com/#!/InvestRotation ). For twelve years, I maintained an International Website - Called: "The MoneyDr."
Something to Ponder for those of you that might choose to "Follow" - - or choose Not to "Follow":
A little monolog to set myself apart from those who call themselves - "traders":
Over all these, many years of managing assets, I have witnessed a large number of tragic situations as told to me by scores of Investors. It quickly became clear to me, early on in my career, that the financial industry is wrought with many divisive ways to separate you from your money. It takes advantage of words and emotion like: greed, fortune, comfortable retirement, etc. while at the same time restricting, if not preventing the you the Investor from understanding how to make money at a fair rate of return and to do so consistently. Over the recent years, "they" (Wall Street) has upped the requirements (complexity) for the average guy or gal to become a successful Investor. That's tragic!
Perhaps the biggest lie and sales pitch and flow of miss-leading information is the “Buy and Hold” philosophy, "they" (Wall Street, Mutual Funds, the Media, and Financial Salespersons) continuously pro-pound. B & H has not been a path to successful investing and profits for several decades, and I am sure, never will! I have written many articles with the secondary title: “Why Most Investors and Nearly All Traders Lose Money." It hits hard, and the brokerage community has made life tough for me (retaliation wise) on many occasions over these years. My continuous debunking of their ways and personal goals to a lush financial lifestyle, using your money, is simple not on their agenda.
The reality regarding Wall Street is that they want to make money off you, not With or For You! They are smarter (within their field) than the average Investor, in particularly by just knowing how things work, but never sharing the simple – How To - with YOU. I continue to believe that these truths and facts should be well understood by Investors, but unfortunately, and apparently it/they are not! For me, simple logic says that any professional is better trained, within their given field, then the lay or inexperienced person. Investors seeking only a fair and honest flow of profits as well as information and data are frequently disappointed.
There is now a new and equally serious problem as is the Buy and Hold philosophy. It’s the Investor backlash to B & H, which is called Day Trading. DT is the new "" In "" answer, but once again people are not taking time to realize that "Investing" is much different than Day or Fast Trading.
Since Day Trading began the statistics complied by Lipper Analytical Services and Yankelovich Partners clearly show that this too (Day Trading or Fast Trading) is a Big Loser for the average guy or gal. These two companies are highly regarded in the field of providing statistical information and data as well as offering excellent articles on and about the financial industry. See Google regarding these companies.
"Investing Wisely" is kind of my handle and the methodology I have developed over the years is quite unique. I publish information about - how I go about making money, which is available upon request.
I would like to ask you to ponder / think for a minute or so about the following question:
Who and What is your current broker or financial advisor?
Sure, many if not most have great credentials, and often a great deal of charisma, but it remains an undesirable fact that these people are simple “Salespersons." Is your medical Doctor or are your best friends – salespersons? In baseball talk, that’s (strike one through strike three all in a pitch - or did I mean sales-pitch?). You as an Investor have little choice or alternative but to deal with these highly motivated financial representatives. That's tragic.
Understanding these facts and concepts is the first step to your positive financial future and peace of mine.
Next on the list is finding an advisor / mentor, who will teach and share facts and truth with you, on a personalized basis, before you invest, not after you have lost a great deal of money.
I'm sure that we all understand that the cyber world has been permanently injected into our lives and lifestyle. Financial Blogs abound with an over-flowing supply of information and opinions. Most of which is often incorrect and filled with very persuasive salesmanship! Therefore, I regret to say / agree that, it is clearly difficult to find such an experienced and trustworthy professional to mentor and assist in guiding you through a profitable process of "Investing Wisely."
My advice is - keep digging until you find such a professional. Ask tough and direct questions to what appears to be an experienced and trustworthy advisor and, over time, see if his or her answers and communication have substance and give you a feeling that this professional honestly cares about YOU. Don't forget, the job description - it is to make money, and this is serious stuff.
I think you will find that the time you give to the consideration and evaluation of my work / analytics will be very profitable for you.
Thanks for taking the time to read my bio, I hope you can find the "right" professional "just for you" in all the important disciplines of life, and you can prosper financially with a smile.
Steven H. Bauer, Ph.D.
Ph.D in the Faculty of Life Sciences, Bar Ilan University, Israel
Post Doctorate, Weizmann Institute of Science, Israel
Program Manager at Peerion ltd.
publisher of 14 research articles in professional journals.
Junior Staff, Instructor in Academic Courses.
studies in Economics, Israel.
Independent trader and investor over 6 years.
2 years of managing professional investors bio forum in Israel.
2 years at Aradial technologies in. Aradial Converged Billing Software - ARCB - Convergent Billing
Founded in 2008, we are the general partner of two private investment vehicles (closed to new investors) with a total of $83 million in assets under management. We are not an investment adviser; please do not contact us regarding investment advisory services. If you are an institutional investor who wishes to discuss a shared position, we welcome the opportunity.
Team StockMatusow.com research and writers are:
Scott Matusow; Team Leader, owner and founder of StockMatusow.com and Dan Cohen, partner, and independent investor/scientist/inventor/trader and lead contributor at stockmatusow.com.
Scott is an independent investor/writer/trader and team leader of StockMatusow.com.
He has have about 17 years of stock market experience which include trading, investing, and managing his family’s trust as well as his personal account.
Scott has had the most success in trading/investing in smaller cap growth companies. Because Scott is not 'officially trained' in the markets, he see things outside the box, using his experience to provide clarity and alpha. Scott uses his ability to read situations, emotion, charts, times and sales, historical data, and macroeconomic and other market forces to predict stock price movements, in both short and longer terms situations.. Using these acquired allowed for him to completely divest his own and family's money near the top of the market before the 2008 financial crisis.
Dan Cohen is a partner at stockmatusow and entrepreneur in the fields of nanotechnology, medical diagnostics, and energy storage. Additionally, Dan is a Scientist and inventor. He has 7 years of experience investing and trading biotechnology focused equities with a specialty in identifying under-appreciated value in small caps. Dan utilizes his experience reading and reviewing scientific literature to evaluate prospects for success. His work with diagnostics development give him a strong background in immunology which is leveraged in evaluating immunoncology focused approaches. As well Dan has 5 years trading futures, specializing in E-minis and Treasury products. He utilizes a combination of technical analysis, deep scientific research, and macro views to generate alpha for the team.
Places you can follow Scott are:
Places to follow Dan are:
Upon receiving my Masters degree in Music from Connecticut's Hartt School of Music, I took a job at a local Friendly's serving ice cream, where I perfected the disgruntled, comatose look, as seen in the photo at left. As a first-time participant in the American economy by way of fast-food, I noted the vileness and squalor into which our country was plummeting.
Now, as an SA commentator, I look forward to multiplying my earnings, once I get some, and settling down as a prime member of society, living out my remaining years in the luxury every red-blooded American deserves.
I currently live in a barn with my saxophones, watching America decline around me.
I am an individual investor and an RIA for a small group of elite clients. I have over 30 years experience in the markets from a stint as a stockbroker to individual investor. I like to look beyond any headline number to figure out what is really going on behind the scenes whether it is a government report or a company earnings statement. Too many times the public in general and investors in specific run with the headline information and this can produce bargains to be snapped up by others with patience and foresight. My style is to use all inputs fundamental, Technical and Political\Geopolitical to formulate opinion based on what these items tell me.
I spent 15+ years in accounting and finance, mainly in financial analysis, reporting, auditing, and some tax preparation. I have a degree in finance and a CPA certificate, but no, I am not licensed to practice anymore. It was a personal choice. I was never thrilled with bean-counting, and my real interest was in meteorology. Plus, the commitment to keeping up my license and dealing with the ridiculous changes in the tax code, financial reporting, and other aspects has me keeping my distance. Case in point, SOX, did wonders to stop our banking execs from defrauding and crashing our financial system. Yeah, right. How much did the legislation and enforcement cost the taxpayer vs. what the taxpayer received in return? Besides, I found out I am a better trader. Not quite meteorology, but on the west coast, I am done by 1pm, which leaves plenty of time for hiking and other outdoor activities. If you can appreciate nature, you will get more out life, and appreciate the things that matter to you the most. This is a perfect compliment to the rat-race and greed that envelope our markets on a daily basis.
I am a small/micro-cap investor that focuses on Health Care, Life Sciences, Biotech and Pharmaceutical companies that have solid revenue growth profiles, where the equity is undervalued vs its peers and, generally speaking, the stock is off the radar screen.
At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
For the past 30 years, I have been involved in startups, as a founder, and active investor. My first company was purchased by Johnson & Johnson, which set the foundation for future investments.
My level of trading escalated after graduating from college, primarily as a result of my relationship with the founder of the Silicon Valley venture capital firm, Institutional Venture Partners, (Netflix, Twitter, Oracle). By focusing on VC backed companies, I soon learned the advantage of investing in promising companies before they became household names. My interest in startups has never waned, and has become my primary focus today.
Gemstone Equity Research provides in-depth and research driven trading insight to individuals and institutional investors. Our team constantly looks for companies to cover in technology and services sector, which enables us to provide timely and actionable investment ideas to our clients.
We achieve our goals through intense focus and discipline. We hope to share our knowledge through this platform.
Stephen Aniston is an investment advisor who focuses on the CBOE VIX futures market and related exchange traded products. He runs VIXCONTANGO.com - the best investment analysis service of the VIX futures market and is a sub-advisor to MRPAX, a managed short volatility mutual fund. Before becoming an investment advisor, Mr. Aniston was a technology manager and software architect with over 10 years of experience in the financial industry. He was Technical Architect for the Merchant Bank at Goldman Sachs and Technology Vice President for the Investment Bank at the Royal Bank of Scotland. He also had stints at hedge fund investment firms (commonly called fund-of-funds) K2 Advisors and Ivy Asset Management. He graduated from Stanford University with an engineering degree in the late 90s