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NOT a sucker
1 Comment
VanceInfo IPO Off To Strong Start
This report factually states that they are Microsoft and IBM puppets, jumping at every little thing that comes their way from either company. ("Puppets" isn't the word I'm thinking of, really. It beings with a "W" and rhymes with "shore".)
They've made acquisitions to boost their headcount leading to their IPO, but they haven't had much (if any) success in each of their endeavors to move up the IT food chain. They're still stuck in relatively low margin testing and localization, unable to do much in software development or ADM for end users.
And now they're trading at a P/E of over 100! Boy, they must be happy that they've suckered a lot of people. A P/E ratio of 10 is more appropriate. Oh, and it's funny that their market cap is only $112 million; when I was there, $400-500 million was what they were aiming for.
I've written about how their senior management totally screwed up what is the most important project going on in China. It's for BT (British Telecom) and it's for a play similar to what BT did in India with MBT and their successful IPO. I don't follow what happened, don't really know what BT ultimately did, but Worksoft (oops, VanceInfo) lost what was clearly the most important deal in China circa 2006.
Their management style can be described by a "shoot first, ask questions later" approach. Shooting from the hip can be expected, though, when virtually nobody on their senior management team has any training in strategic planning. (MBAs in China are worthless except for networking purposes. Ask a newly minted MBA in China the difference between Porter, Prahalad and Ghemawat and they'd be clueless.) Frankly, there's very little positive that I can say about the company except for one thing: I believe they do their best in servicing their customers.
BTW, they play a cost leadership game in a country known for cost leadership. This means that they're HIGHLY susceptible to losing on price from competitors based in second, third and fourth tier cities in China. Yes, Worksoft/VanceInfo (who came up with this stupid name, "VanceInfo"; "Worksoft" was bad enough) has ops in second tier cities, but they have the bulk of their ops in Beijing, NOT a cheap city, with their second largest operation in Shanghai, also NOT a cheap city. (BTW, I might be wrong about this. One of their latest acquisitions might give them a higher headcount in Xi'an, but I doubt this.) So a company comprised of sea turtles (overseas returnees) who have had SENIOR management experience and who are willing to start from day one in Xi'an, Chengdu, Wuhan, Jinan, ..., might be able to beat them at their own game, beat them with their cost leadership strategy.
At this point, it doesn't appear that Augmentum or Achievo want to play this game. Chinasoft might be willing to play this game, though. Also, let's not forget iSoftStone, who surpassed Worksoft/VanceInfo in quality and where they play in the China ITO food chain. And let's not forget HiSoft or Freeborders, either.
Anyway, it appears that the (mostly) American public has been suckered ... once again.
FYI, I left Worksoft/VanceInfo after they blew the BT deal. I was gone for a couple of weeks to attend a conference at Stanford and their COO pulled a totally dumb ass move, sent a proposal without having anyone check it, and made it seem as if Worksoft was asleep during our discussions with BT.