@VIC: A Radically Different Context for Value Was Going On Outside [View article]
"So, at what point do we find "value"?"
One idea that comes to mind from reading Vitaliy Katsenelson's thesis about secular range-bound/bear markets: instead of considering a stock a value because it trades at a discount to market-average P/E multiples, look at what the market average P/E multiples were at the end of previous range-bound/bear markets. For example, after the range bound market ended in about 1950, the one year trailing P/E ratio on the S&P was 7x. So, theoretically, if you could find a stock trading at 7x today, and you thought that company's earnings were sustainable (a key point), that might be a value.
Greenlight Capital: Cautious over Q2 [View article]
Greenlight Capital: Cautious over Q2 [View article]
@VIC: A Radically Different Context for Value Was Going On Outside [View article]
One idea that comes to mind from reading Vitaliy Katsenelson's thesis about secular range-bound/bear markets: instead of considering a stock a value because it trades at a discount to market-average P/E multiples, look at what the market average P/E multiples were at the end of previous range-bound/bear markets. For example, after the range bound market ended in about 1950, the one year trailing P/E ratio on the S&P was 7x. So, theoretically, if you could find a stock trading at 7x today, and you thought that company's earnings were sustainable (a key point), that might be a value.