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Mmarrkk
257 Comments
The Grand Nigerian Oil Scam
Sorry, the $5B investment is not made "well after" the "functioning field" has been identified. In deepwater, you get a few wells drilled and a few hours of production testing. You then have to make a scientific estimate and a reasoned risked assessment of reserves and then you plop all of your $5B into building the structure and drilling the wells. YOu then get to turn it on and watch it produce and see if what you thought was there was really there.
On the depreciation, we don't make the rules, we just abide by them. Same rules apply to mining companies.
I'll be willing to lay down $100 that no major oil company or upper level executive will be found guilty of anything related to price fixing, market tampering, etc. There is none so I'm confident that even misguided vengeful hater's like the Dem's won't even be able to conjure something that will hold water in court. And that 5-4 Supreme Court wouldn't let it happen (wink wink with an evil snicker).
The Grand Nigerian Oil Scam
You are right, oil companies COULD have invested in alternative energy years ago. However, these companies are OIL and GAS companies and have focused on OIL and GAS, not solar, wind, etc. The shareholders of these companies buy shares because these companies explore for, produce, transport, refine and market oil and gas and their derivities. That's what they do and who they are. Would you suggest that WalMart go into the medical field? Or should McDonald's start a new exercise center division of their company? Focus is the name of the game; know what you do, and do it well. And I believe that XOM's $40B in profits shows that they do what they do very well.
The depreciation figure is cute. Do you know that oil companies have to book depreciation, depreciation and amoritization for every barrel of crude or MCF of gas produced? So whenever we produce more barrels, we have to take a charge for DD&A. It runs around $4 per barrel, sometimes much more. Do you realize that one field development in the Gulf of Mexico can cost upwards of $5 billion? Or LNG facilities, plants, ships, etc can run in the multi-billion dollar range?
If you are so dead set convinced that we are up to no good, do a couple of things: get an investigative arm to FIND wrongdoings. Not crow about it, gather headlines, yell and scream but actually FIND firm hard admissable evidence that a crime has been committed. Second, if you don't like XOM, boycott them. I say that with a snicker as I read these all the time. Yes, that will work. Don't buy XOM gasoline for a day, week, month. Buy it from Wal Mart. That will teach those bad guys at XOM. Of course, XOM yields a very small portion of their "obscene" profits from selling gasoline at the retail level in the US. A very small portion so it won't even be a bother.
Or better yet, get some rich folks who believe like you, take your money and invest in the business. Then, run it like you think XOM, BP, COP, etc. should be run. I'm sure folks will be lined up to pay you for your efforts. If investing in refineries and alternative energy is such a darned good idea and a good investment, why not get Buffet, Gates and Soros to chip in a few bucks to start the Phil Davis oil company. You know why?? Refineries are horrible investments. Horrible. And retail gasoline outlets are even worse.
The Grand Nigerian Oil Scam
And oil companies do not know the interactions and contract terms of other companies. We actually work very hard to keep these secret.
Oil-Rich Canada Inspires Investor Confidence
BP and Shell in Merger Talks -- Times of London
Crude Oil and Gasoline: The Illusion of Equality
Duke Energy Pays Royal Dividends
Land-Based Drillers Extremely Mispriced
Why Investors Should Be Interested in Shale Oil
This is a long term opportunity. 10 years may be about right. For instance, the Shell pilot is on a micro fraction scale relative to a commercial plant and it will take 2 years or more for the in-situ retorting to yield oil. Then evaluations will occur, then they will enter into large scale build ups. That will take at least 3 more years. Then on a large scale, I'm guessing another 3-year heat cycle for retorting before the oil starts to flow. Whew. And that is assuming the greenie weenies don't get their panties in a wad which we know won't happen, right?? I think we may, may see gas from Alaska before Shale Oil. But heck, my guess on gas from Alaska is 10 years + as well. And if the Dem's maintain control of Congress, add 5 years to that as they are anti-investment, anti-oil and anti-prosperity. See Kudlow and Company on the tube.
US Oil Companies Borrow A Page From OPEC's Playbook
US Oil Companies Borrow A Page From OPEC's Playbook
US Oil Companies Borrow A Page From OPEC's Playbook
So, Mr. Cooper, what say ye??
US Oil Companies Borrow A Page From OPEC's Playbook
And how do you nationalize a company that has over 75% of its assets located outside of your borders? And I'm sure in the constitution you can find something that gives this legal standing??????
US Oil Companies Borrow A Page From OPEC's Playbook
Thanks for taking pot shots at the oil companies. But by including that comment in your post you reveal yourself to be lacking in credibility.
Oil Companies That Haven't (Yet) Capitalized on MLPs - Barron's