I am a 32 yr old San Diego-based, private investor always looking for new investments. I like boring companies no one cares about and I just wait for the price to make sense. All of my most successful investments have been the easiest. I read about 6-8 hours a day, mostly investor relations websites and news. I use no financial modeling other than looking at financial statements and crunching a bunch of numbers in my head. I pride myself on efficiency, so I have taught myself to analyze businesses extremely quickly with just a few simple questions. I find merger arbitrage to be a great way to generate additional returns when I carry excess cash.
I am a scratch golfer who gets into plus handicap territory if I play a few times a week. I enjoy beaches, vacations and skiing. Life is pretty good.
How it all started:
Like most of you I lost a large chunk of my savings in the financial crisis of 2008-2009. During that period I was working hard to get my master degree in Biomolecular sciences. As most people I watched a lot of messages pass by on the news about the stock market and how deep it was going. Those messages never got trough to me as I didn't care because I didn't see the relevance to my own life. It was beyond my world! My good old father took care of my money and I didn't have to worry about anything!
One day it hit me like baseball bat:
I got a letter from my good old trusted bank. It showed the variance on the value of my saving accounts. Surprisingly I saw a large part of my money was evaporated. How did this happen? How did they lose my money? Well,... a large chunk of my savings was invested in a 'defensive' fund, but nevertheless value plummeted. In a moment of panic I called my bank. They told me I should just wait and sweat this one out and not to worry. Going up and down is all stock markets are doing. I started following, not really understanding the dynamics of the stock market.
Then the bug bit me:
Opportunity hit me as I watched the market recover in 2010. Watching industrial stocks rise 500% above their bottom in 2009 was a real eye opener. After my master in molecular sciences, I did an MBA in management in 2010. During this studies I had courses in basic accounting and macro economics. Bit by bit the economic puzzle was getting more clear in my head. Accompanied with a lot of reading I started to get some "fingerspitzengefühl" in the fundamentals.
The final push:
Making the switch from letting your money rest in peace on your bank account to actively managing your money is a big step. The final push came in 2011 when stock markets crashed as the European dept crisis started. It remembered me that stocks can rise as much as 500% after crashes and I first pressed the buy button!
My investement strategy:
1.40 % in businesses that are reasonably priced and have very stable income/dividend.
2.30% in businesses that are priced well below their intrinsic value (Buffet style)
3.10% in businesses with a speculative side
4.10 % in securities
5.10 % in cash
Dables in stocks in a small-way during my spare time with my spare change. Very small holdings in under-valued stocks and commission-free ETFs. Hopefully this will grow. Main investment is in real estate rentals, which has been doing pretty well.
I follow a (hopefully) disciplined value investing philosophy in my investments. I am always looking out for good businesses trading at a discount to fair value due to temporary market stress or investor panic.
I hold a B.S. in Accounting.
"[T]he function of the margin-of-safety is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the future. If the margin is a large one, then it is enough to assume that future earnings will not fall far below those of the past in order for an investor to feel sufficiently protected against the vicissitudes of time."
"Needless to say, the analyst must take possible future changes into account, but his primary aim is not so much to profit from them as to guard against them. Broadly speaking, he views the future as a hazard which his conclusions must encounter rather than as the source of his vindication."
"[F]inding the really outstanding companies and staying with them through all fluctuations of a gyrating market proved far more profitable to far more people than did the more colorful practice of trying to buy them cheap and sell them dear…These opportunities did not require purchasing on a particular day at the bottom of a great panic."
The son of an award-winning gold panner, Jeff Clark has been around the gold sector since 2005. His family has owned mining claims in California, Arizona, and Nevada. As an active investor with strong writing skills, it was natural for Jeff to become an analyst and editor in the mining industry.
Jeff has since become a popular writer, first as editor of Casey Research’s popular BIG GOLD newsletter, and now as Senior Metals Analyst for the Hard Assets Alliance. He’s been a speaker at numerous conferences, including Cambridge House, Sprott Resources events, the Silver Summit, and others. His goal is to provide original research and analysis of the precious metals sector, for both capital preservation and capital.
General O/G Partner, Industry Commentator, Consultant, Business Owner, Entrepreneur, and published author of "Fundamentals of Investing in Oil and Gas" that is available on amazon, itunes, barns and noble, etc.
First, the good stuff. Here's my portfolio ...
Consumer Discretionary: MCD, NKE, SBUX, TGT
Consumer Staples: COST, GIS, KHC, KO, MO, PEP, PG, PM, WBA
Energy: CVX, KMI, XOM
Health: ABBV, AMGN, GILD, JNJ, MCK
Industrial: BA, DE, EMR, LMT, MMM
REITs: HCN, NNN, O, OHI, VTR
Technology: AAPL, MSFT, QCOM
Telecom: BCE, T, TU, VZ
Utilities: AVA, D, SCG, SO, WEC
ALSO: small stakes in 23 additional companies held in the Dividend Growth 50 portfolio (http://seekingalpha.com/article/2764265-its-new-its-nifty-its-the-dividend-growth-50): ADP, AFL, BAX, BDX, BXLT, CAT, CL, CLX, COP, GE, GPC, HCP, HSY, IBM, KMB, MKC, NEE, SJM, UTX, V, WFC, WMT.
Now, a little about me:
I am a 50-something former sportswriter who was sent on a permanent vacation during the Great Recession. That sucked, but my story is not a sad one. Unlike many folks who lost their jobs, I am not in financial distress, I am not depressed and I am not bored.
My wife is a pediatric nurse with a bullet-proof job and decent benefits. So after supporting her and our two kids (now grown) for most of three decades, the least she can do is support my semi-retired keister!
Because of Roberta's job situation, because we have zero debt (not even mortgage debt), because we no longer have any dependents and because we have been pretty diligent savers over the years, we are comfortable (though nowhere near rich).
Although we hold some funds, bonds and cash, my investing philosophy leans heavily toward Dividend Growth Investing. By early next decade, we want to live entirely off of our income stream, Social Security and pension payments - and therefore will not have to spend down the principal one iota. To accomplish this, we invest mostly in blue-chip companies with long track records of growing dividends. As of mid-2016, we are well ahead of pace to reach our goal.
When not researching investments and writing for Seeking Alpha and other Web sites, I coach middle-school girls basketball at Metrolina Regional Scholars Academy, the top charter school in the Charlotte metro area; in March 2016, we won the first conference championship in school history! I also umpire youth baseball and referee youth basketball.
My wife and I dote on our 5-year-old pup, Simmie, and keep up on the doings of our now-grown kids, Katie and Ben. And we love to cheer on the basketball team of our alma mater, Marquette University, where we both majored in Journalism. Go Warriors! Also big fans of the Carolina Panthers.
I still occasionally post to the blog I initiated in 2007 -- lots of sports stuff, some politics, some personal junk -- at www.TheBaldestTruth.com.
Sorry I hide my true identity but I'm a physicist/engineer, native contrarian and idea generator. I am an eclectic dividend investor with motto "In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash" applied to companies I invest in.
I like to read /and read a lot - did you look on my SA photo 8-)? / including popular and academic investment books and papers. After 200+ books I concluded that many (but not all) finance academics failed to delivery a good science because they usually are more concerned about match between their models and limited (in time and place) data-sets than about underlying assumptions of their models. On another hand, finance practitioners such as fund managers have different goals than I (for example, they want to outperform or replicate market each single year while my goal is to have smooth income from my investment and I don't worry to underperform in a bull market) and to some extend more limited in their choices than I (for example, with micro- and nano-cap stocks). It gives a chance for me as amateur investor to compete successfully with professionals in niche strategies such as dividend investment (see http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/725729-sds-seductive-dividend-stocks/266502-why-i-m-a-dividend-zealot-jan-31-2012).
My real portfolio consists of more than 100 dividend growth (DG) and high yield (HY) high quality stocks of USA and foreign companies with good history of dividend payments. I cherry-picked these stocks from the end of XX century in accordance with my ideas on diversification for income-equity investors ( http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/725729-sds-seductive-dividend-stocks/4183595-an-estimation-of-dividend-growth-portfolio-size). I also maintain artificial so-called "poor"folio of dividend stocks I use for self-education about market.
I understand that DGI is mostly trust in company's Board of Directors consistency and that HYI is mostly disagreement with market sentiment but both styles fit my goals and mentality,
My investor edges are
i) critical scientific approach (used in natural science rather than in liberal sciences) to finance academics ideas and strong selection between useful and worthless findings;
ii) quite predictable proprietary model of dividend reductions forecast in near future (couple years) that I have delivered from mix of hardware engineering ideas and physics concepts with finance data and behavior signals that allows me to sell stocks before such unpleasant event, and that I continue to polish;
iii) independence in time frames and market exposures forbidden for many finance practitioners;
iv) analyses of companies that are too small for institutional investors.
I have couple excellent ideas in dividend investing I'd like to capitalize, so serious requests are welcome.
I rather put my thoughts and ideas in SA Instablog and comments than in articles (I'm pretty busy/lazy/English-incompetent to perfect an article) but in all cases all standard disclaimers are applied. One of good things I have learned in Intel, that decision should be data driven. So I try to supply my ideas and thoughts with most relevant data. I love old Russian writer and dramatist Anton Chekhov principle "Brevity is the sister of talent" and think it is even more important nowadays with ocean of information in front of any investor. So, I try to follow this principle in my SA instablog and comments but please remember that "If I have more time, I would have written shorter".
Being a scientific journals referee I have a bad habit to find few weak points in almost any manuscript, so I probably too critical in some comments but I hope the article authors excuse me. I prefer communicate via SA email rather than inside comments (I usually turn off "Track new comments on this article" feature SA has). So send me a SA email if you have a question or would like to discuss my point of view.
I run the long-term dividend investing website: www.theconservativeincomeinvestor.com
I spend most of my time reading through annual reports looking for a small-cap stock to feature in my monthly edition of "The Conservative Investor Digest." That is where you can find my best work, and that is where I focus my research.
You can become a subscriber here: https://gumroad.com/l/HmqJx
I believe in dividend growth, but as a young investor take a higher-risk approach and do not focus on the blue-chips. I like dividend payers that are small and rapidly growing, in market sectors that have distinct durable competitive advantages. I do not consider myself an acolyte of any guru, however I believe in learning from everyone who has had great market performance in recent history.