R. Richard Schweitzer

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152 Comments

    • Wed May 14th 14:25 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Under The Radar News - Wednesday
      Hey, Eli is only reporting the news of others views on this.

      Besides, you might look at the technicals for AMSC; esp. on balance volume.
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    • Wed May 14th 11:29 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
      Eli - is it hard to compose the "Under the Radar" segments?

      We miss it.
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    • Wed May 14th 10:16 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Seeking Equity-Like Returns, Outside of Equities
      All decisions are made with less than perfect (or even complete) information.

      I think something like that was the basis for award of a Nobel.

      But, all information is not to be found in "financial" research. There is much to be observed.

      For example, what has been the difference in the expenditures or redeployment of oil and gas revenues between Norway and Al Saud?
      Does Norway buy arms, does it need to. When the oil is gone, or very much more difficult to extract, what will Norway have in its place?

      Most of that extra info would come from general reading, listening or from being sufficiently curious.

      It requires being curious enough to read Roger's pieces; to see what others have done and are doing - and - how it has worked out. Then, trying to gain some understanding as to why the results occurred.

      A suggestion for reflection: Why should there be rewards for those who "invest wisely?" What service are they providing to some overall economy by virtue of investing?

      Took this writer (83) many, many years of reasonably successful investing (and some dank periods) to come to a personally satisifying answer. But, each has to find his own.
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    • Tue May 13th 10:46 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Under The Radar News - Monday
      Looking at the 10Q of BG, it's not clear how they price the inventory of hard soy they carry. It is possibly understated at resale values, which may give them some fall-back on hedging. Big question?
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    • Tue May 13th 10:23 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Myriad Options on Alzheimers Disease
      sorry, that should have been ELN of which I am long
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    • Tue May 13th 10:20 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Myriad Options on Alzheimers Disease
      You might also look at the work of CLN
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    • Tue May 13th 09:09 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News
      By time anything is in Fortune, is it "news?"
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    • Mon May 12th 08:02 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Why You Should Short Companies Doing Share Buybacks
      In the words of a thousand lawyers:

      "It all depends..."

      Take the almost classic case of AFL, which borrowed funds for cash flow to cover buy-backs, at a particular period.

      Consider: interest deduction; cap gains rates (in that era) to investors looking to the liquidity positions of portfolios; classic shift to "cost of capital" approach (the absolute measure of quality of operations); greater ROE. Interest rate lower than net earnings rate (i.e., AFL surplus rising at greater rate than interest rate).

      A thing to look out for is the a big build up in cash position that may indicate that the enterprise can not deploy its assets profitably, or at least, if so, at a less profitable rate.
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    • Mon May 12th 07:42 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Baltic Dry Index Almost Back to Record Highs
      In the previous link to shipping.capitallink, there should be the prefix:

      http://
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    • Sun May 11th 14:35 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Can Investors Still Rely on a Stock's P/E Ratio?
      There is a huge misconception and thus reliance on "Earnings per share" which are the divisors of share prices for this long worshiped ratio.

      It is worth the price to go to the archives of the WSJ for a copy of the 6/2/03 re-run of the 8/3/76 Peter Drucker article " The meaninglesness of 'earnings per share.' "

      His view? Look to return on capital (sound like someone else we have heard of? Omaha?)

      My view: What P/E of a particular stock may indicate is the real cost of capital to that enterprise. Of course when you get that cost down to darned near zero (like Omaha) you can do other things, and let the public pay for "earnings" priced at a ratio (based 0n life expectancy at normal maturity?).
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    • Sun May 11th 14:15 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Baltic Dry Index Almost Back to Record Highs
      sorry got cut off : shipping.capitallink.c.../
      View article »
    • Sun May 11th 14:14 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Baltic Dry Index Almost Back to Record Highs
      For a broader, in-depth look at ocean transit:

      shipping.capitallink.c.../
      View article »
    • Fri May 9th 09:20 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      FINRA Arbitrations on the Increase?
      In the words of the sage of Omaha:

      "There is no limit to the amount of money you can lose by investing in something you do not understand."

      Similar to these has been the entire Muni Market.
      Assume one had an account with the trust department of a bank. With your ok they buy for your account 200K of City XX, yield of 3.3%, YY maturity. In reporting the assets in your account, they give it a purported value as part of the total assets (on which their trustee fee is based), but, if you give an order to sell at any point, the purported value is not what you get - they do not "mark to market" for account valuations.
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    • Thu May 8th 11:13 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Companhia Siderurgica Nacional: Global Growth Story
      Missing here are comments on: Principal markets (mostly export?) and sorces of smelting components other than ore, as well as energy for rolling and fabricating.

      Good selection. Divesre products, many with excellent margins.
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    • Thu May 8th 10:12 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Fannie's Cut-Off Shorts - Stop Trading! (5/7/08)
      I would like to see S A provide, by link or otherwise, and preferably with some commentary (factual as usual), daily information on the "short positions," particul;arly the changes in specific sectors.
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