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Ryan Freund
41 Comments
Beware the Financials Value Trap [view article]
The last sentence of this document was butchered.... see the full version here:freundinvesting.com/20.../
May 13 01:49 PM
Still Too Early For Banks [view article]
Good article. Thanks for sharing your insights. I happen to agree with everything you said! Apr 29 10:10 AMSell Into the Financials Rally - Morgan Stanley [view article]
Thanks for the comments, everyone. Great discussion! Apr 29 10:08 AMBlood in the Streets: Buy and Hold GE, For Now [view article]
bds,GE is a global player, which partially shields it from inflationary pressure here in the US. Are there better plays out there? Sure, but GE, after getting the crap kicked out of it, might be one of the safest and best plays. Apr 29 10:06 AM
Blood in the Streets: Buy and Hold GE, For Now [view article]
Capgain,No problem! I wish I had a grandfather that planned ahead like that! Good luck, though investors like us don't really need luck... :) Apr 28 02:45 PM
Blood in the Streets: Buy and Hold GE, For Now [view article]
Norman,Even if the stock price doesn't change for another 10 years, the dividend will continue to be paid and increased. Virtually no downside risk and, if the stock does start to get out of its rut, there's significant upside. Apr 28 12:18 PM
Subprime Mortgage Losses: Not as Bad as Advertised [view article]
If those in the $282 billion bucket are indeed refi's, this article is quite misleading and should be clarified! Hopefully that wasn't the author's intent! Apr 23 11:09 AMThe Impending Mortgage Crisis [view article]
MByington,It could be that banks are overrun by foreclosures and simply do not have the manpower to respond. That would be my guess. That or they're holding out for the markets to improve, which would be a terrible move. Apr 23 10:35 AM
The Impending Mortgage Crisis [view article]
By the way - do you have any short positions? Just curious... Apr 23 10:33 AMSubprime Mortgage Losses: Not as Bad as Advertised [view article]
After reading the comments - IanB has an excellent point. How were these loans paid? If it's through refis, then doesn't that mean that $282 billion is still at risk? Apr 23 10:30 AMSubprime Mortgage Losses: Not as Bad as Advertised [view article]
With house prices declining and cost of living skyrocketing, I believe your $100 billion estimated losses, of the $306 billion, is inaccurate. Only time will tell, though, as it's really up in the air.I am particularly curious as to how you seem to think CNBC has been all doom and gloom. They have been pumping bank stocks and saying "the worst is over" louder and more often than anyone else.
As a sidenote, I agree that the subprime mess is getting cleared up. Prime, Alt-A, auto loans, and commercial loans are not out of the woods yet. If those perform well, your analysis that everything is OK now is probably correct. If they don't perform well (and honestly, I don't see how they can), then everything is about to get much much worse. Apr 23 10:28 AM
The Impending Mortgage Crisis [view article]
Great article, thanks. I agree with everything you've said. Apr 23 10:15 AMRail Carrier Trinity Appears Undervalued [view article]
I agree that the structural wind tower and barge industries are very promising for TRN. It's basically a mutual fund of the best industries out there, without the management fee! TRN should be selling in the mid $40's.Thanks for the comments. Apr 23 10:00 AM
Libor Jump Means More Pain for Financials [view article]
Take solace in the fact that bank earnings have been severely hampered by the reduction of business. Add to that the reduction in leverage (and the resulting increase of reserves) and banks are still too richly valued. Future quarters will reveal the truth that the market makers are trying to hide. Apr 21 04:33 PMHow To Solve the Housing Crisis Tomorrow [view article]
Oh and to clarify, don't help those who have multiple properties, only those with one - their primary residence. Apr 16 02:27 PM