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SB-tiger
68 Comments
Is VMware the Next Netscape?
5 Reasons Why the U.S. Dollar Will Weaken Further
Commodities are holding up the indexes giving a false picture. There seems to be no place to run or hide. Be defensive - sell rallies.
Financials ETFs: Seven Weeks After 'Cramer's Bottom'
Fed has been pandering to wall street (that is their main mandate since Greenspan). Ill timed Fed cuts hamper smooth functioning of the market and are highly disruptive - give out wrong signals - false hopes and the base for the next bubble.
Regarding Cramer - he loves to make calls - he does not care if he right or wrong. If wrong - blame the Fed, else gloat in any temporary glory. Lots of financials jumped - 20 (JPM) - 40% (COF) even 100% in case of WAMU. All are obviously coming back.
Nobody has called any kind of bottom in housing - everyone is predicting protracted doom-n-gloom - but lot of big housing stocks jumped more than 100%. Fed/Cramer inspired irrational exuberance '08.
Stay away from toxic waste, bide your time.
Greenspan's Latest: Oil Boom Will Likely 'Go on Forever'
Oil prices would be governed by the $ and US deficits (Fed money printing) not as much by fundamentals. Chinese/Indians etc now have infinite reserves of dollars to buy oil. Once upon these countries were $ starved and could not have bought any oil. So the $ supply in the world will cause oil price rise (in dollar terms). McCain wants to continue and increase war efforts – that would contribute to the oil prices (if he wins – seems unlikely)
Greenspan was instrumental in both the .com and housing bubble. He is shameless and corrupt and shrugged is shoulders- what bubble! Now he wants to create the commodity bubble. The commodity bubble is inevitable – the world will have to invest their vast currencies ($) somewhere – if not treasuries that earn negative interest returns it would be Oil, Gold,…
Buy commodities on dips.
Bubble Economy Endgame
I certainly agree just by lowering interest rates banks will not get motivated to lend – risk aversion has set in to some extent. Except the reckless borrowers (there are a many), the rest of the borrowers my also stay away. So the deflation camp my win out.
Rick Santelli Takes Down Jim Cramer
So to be fair to Cramer (I have no love for him) - pick him if you like his style - which is all about momentum and is hence fraught with high risk. That is NOT my style.
Rick Santelli Takes Down Jim Cramer
However Cramer is a perma bull - "there is a bull market somewhere…". His MO is buy high sell higher - may work well in a bull market but a disaster in 'normal' markets. That strategy is strictly for nimble experienced traders - not for newbies - that his show is supposedly about. Touting stocks like Under Armor, Crox, Lulu, Sears (because Eddie Lampert is his friend) - this is utter madness. He is simply trying to hype the stocks. I am a value/conservative investor - all Cramer picks lost me money - HAL, VLO, JCP, ACAD, CVTX,... (I was quick to get out a long time ago with minimal damage). Don't tune to his show anymore.
Cramer is strictly about momentum (recommends IBD - momentum only). He states all this in his book - he was bullish on .com but was smart to get out in time, making a ton of money. Anyone who was bullish on .com (and is proud of it), a 7 Trillion massacre for common investor - is simply intellectually corrupt and represents the Wall Street greed.
His horsemen are dying not to mention the CROX's and the like.
Santelli always the voice of reason and common sense - extremely uncommon in the financial media - I love is views.
Lennar's Insolvency: Enron Redux?
However if the market turns around, not likely in the near future, all the values will go up. So the question is can the home builders hang on for a while?