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Thu Jan 3rd 06:10 AM | Rating: 0 0
Commented on:
Black Swans, Real Estate and Financial Stocks

ceteris paribus - This might hold true when all the remaining things r constant. If it is not then what?
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Thu Jan 3rd 06:01 AM | Rating: 0 0
Commented on:
Black Swans, Real Estate and Financial Stocks

The beauty lies in the eyes of the beholder

The way you look at the market you can be insane or sane.

Accept that one cant predict all the things and try to take advantage of the black swans.

For that you need lot of patience finally that makes the difference between bleed or blowing up

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Thu Jan 3rd 05:01 AM | Rating: 0 0
Commented on:
Black Swans, Real Estate and Financial Stocks

Mr. Geoff Considine :

After reading your article i found the article suffers from
1. cognitive dissonance
2. Framework dependence
3. Heuristic-driven bias
4. Confirmation bias
5. Round trip fallacy

and the following things might also apply

Empty-suit problem
Future blindness
Locke’s madman
Reverse-engineering problem
Black Swan blindness

and

Finally we are all fooled by randomness
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