Asia/U.S. Deep-Value Wide-Moat Stocks is a research service for value investors seeking value stocks with a huge gap between price and intrinsic value, leaning towards deep value balance sheet bargains (i.e. buying assets at a discount e.g. net cash stocks, net-nets, low P/B stocks, sum-of-the-parts discounts) and wide moat stocks (i.e. buying earnings power at a discount in great companies like "Magic Formula" stocks, high quality businesses, hidden champions and wide moat compounders).
Those who believe that the pendulum will move in one direction forever—or reside at an extreme forever— eventually will lose huge sums. Those who understand the pendulum's behavior can benefit enormously. ~ Howard Marks
Investment ideas for Asia/U.S. Deep-Value Wide-Moat Stocks are generated from screens, insider trades, 13Fs, fund manager letters, analyst reports, blogs and forums. The initial ideas sourced are subsequently evaluated using The Cheapness-Safety-Quality (CSQ) framework, applying customized investment checklists to ask the right questions of the investments in question, along the dimension of cheapness, safety and quality. Asia/U.S. Deep-Value Wide-Moat Stocks' value investing philosophy borrows from the wisdom of value investing gurus, using both quantitative screens and qualitative inputs to filter the global stock markets for investment ideas.
Asif Suria is an entrepreneur and investor with a focus on event driven strategies including merger arbitrage and insider trading. He publishes a weekly post that includes the latest mergers and highlights the largest spreads. He also publishes a weekly post that highlights the top 5 insider purchases and sales of the week. Asif is also one of the earliest contributors at Seeking Alpha and has been regularly contributing content since 2005.
I am an experienced individual investor who has been trading merger arbitrage stocks and options since the 90's. I am a writer with a Master of Science from Northwestern University and I truly enjoy writing articles about the stock market. I try to look for opportunities where the odds are in my favor and there is a definite edge. On Seeking Alpha my articles will aim to provide insight and favorable risk/reward for the readers.However, I am not an investment advisor so any recomendations or ideas I write about in my articles, blogs, or comments shouldn't be taken as investment advice. I recommend using my writings as a starting point to which you should add your own research or that of an investment advisor.
"Any time you make a bet with the best of it, where the odds are in your favor, you have earned something on that bet, whether you actually win or lose the bet. By the same token, when you make a bet with the worst of it, where the odds are not in your favor, you have lost something, whether you actually win or lose the bet."
-David Sklansky, "The Theory of Poker"
The Sova Group is a private investment fund managed by Matt Brice. As principal of The Sova Group, Matt Brice has been managing investments since 2009. Prior to founding The Sova Group, from 2007 until 2009 he worked as an associate attorney in the Mergers and Acquisitions group of Debevoise & Plimpton LLP, an international law firm based in New York City. Mr. Brice holds a B.A. in Philosophy from Brigham Young University and received his law degree from Columbia Law School.
PhD in chemical engineering with a bachelor degree in economics with proffesional experience as scientist and as patent examiner. I have a fairly strong mathematical background in statistics and, due to my broad professional and educational background, I am generally capable of understanding substantial issues in a number of technical fields, including biotech and drugs. I have more than 15 years experience as a non-professional investor. In the last years and after extensive backtesting research, I started investing almost exclusively in net-net companies (trading under net current assets minus total liabilities). Combining my selected stock screening models with due diligence I have consistently outperformed the market under both bull and bear market conditions.
I am a 'deep value' investor/analyst mainly focused on the US small-cap universe. I started out with a long-only bias (stocks trading close to NCAV etc.), but I have now started to focus on the short side as well. I am especially interested in instances of aggressive accounting and earnings manipulation. I am always looking to connect with fellow investors/analysts so do not hesitate to contact me! I am also passively looking for a job on the buy-side.
I have written 2 dutch books on value investing: "Aandelen selecteren als waardebelegger" and "Beleggen in bull- en bearmarkten". See bol.com (search for the titles). As a mathematician (Ph.D.) I am most interested in investment strategies with statistically favorable returns. In particular I invest in net-nets (20-30% average annual returns). I find companies with low Enterprise Value/Earnings before Tax and Interest (EV/EBIT) and strong balance sheets (20% average annual returns) also very interesting. Since such stocks are rare I invest globally. Send me a message with your email address to get example articles of my premium research on Seeking Alpha.
Please note that the article that you are reading here was originally written on my blog and is republished in Seeking Alpha and other forums. Consequently, I neither track nor respond to comments here. I am sorry! ================ Editors' Note: Seeking Alpha monitors Dr. Damodaran blog and posts relevant articles on his behalf.
Mr. Axler is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Spruce Point Capital Management, an activist hedge fund manager. Mr. Axler also co-founded Prescience Point Research Group (2012-2014). Mr. Axler specializes in activist short-seller, forensic financial research, and has exposed over $1.0 billion of alleged listed frauds on Nasdaq and the NYSE. Prior to founding his company in 2009, Mr. Axler spent eight years as an investment banker with Credit Suisse and Barclays Capital where he structured and executed billions of dollars of financing, derivative risk management, and M&A deals for leading Fortune 500 clients.
Mr. Axler is a contributing writer to Seeking Alpha, and has been profiled in Barrons and in the book "The Happiness Advantage: The Seven Principles of Positive Psychology That Fuel Success and Performance at Work." Mr. Axler's short research has been profiled by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) in an analysis entitled "How Constraining Are Limits to Arbitrage? Evidence from a Recent Financial Innovation," and shown to produce superior investment returns. In addition, according to a research study from Sumzero analyzing 12,000 analysts recommendations since 2009, Mr. Axler ranked #1 globally for idea performance.
Mr. Axler graduated from Yale University with a masters degree in Statistics, and received both a Bachelor of Arts degree in Statistics and a Bachelor of Science in Marketing and Business Administration from Rutgers College, where he graduated with Summa Cum Laude and Phi Beta Kappa honors.
I am an individual investor managing a small sum of money.
I hold a concentrated portfolio with 2-4 companies representing about 50% of my portfolio. These companies have in common:
- A good downside protection
- Potential to double in a 2 year timeframe
The other 50% of my portfolio is build up of 5-15 other positions, these include:
- Special Situations (mostly simple tender offers)
- Riskier bets
- Stocks with the potential to become a top 4 position (they require more research, or I need more evidence/certainty that the thesis is playing out)
At 26% return a year, your invested money doubles every 3 years. That's what I aim for.
Andrew Walker, CFA, is a portfolio manager at Rangeley Capital LLC with a focus on small cap special situations investments. Mr. Walker also contributes to Sifting the World, a value investing forum.
Investor, Entrepreneur, always looking for value.
Founded CompleteBankData to create powerful and easy to use tools that gives bank investors an edge.
Bloomberg Terminal: APPS BANKS
Founded the Oddball Stocks Newsletter (http://www.oddballstocksnewsletter.com) as a way to highlight attractive out of the way investment opportunities.
CompleteBankData is the ultimate edge for bank investors. It pulls fresh data from bank filings into a simple, powerful interface so you can find profitable trades faster. Spend your time making decisions. Not finding them.
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Jon Heller, CFA, CFP® is a 25 year veteran of the financial services industry, with a background in equity fundamental analysis and publishing. His focus is on discovering special deep value situations such as companies trading below their net current asset value, or NCAV, or situations where there are undiscovered and/or undervalued assets. He shares his research with others via his blog Cheap Stocks (http://stocksbelowncav.blogspot.com/) . He launched KEJ Financial Advisors, LLC (http://www.kejfinancial.com/), a fee-only financial planning firm in 2008. Jon has an MBA from Rider University, where he has been an adjunct faculty member, and a BA in Financial Planning/Economics from Grove City College.
Great ideas are the lifeblood of the investment business and the exclusive focus of The Manual of Ideas. Authored by investment and finance professionals who have grown up on the teachings of Ben Graham, Warren Buffett and Joel Greenblatt, and have studied under or worked with luminaries such as Yale Chief Investment Officer David Swensen and Economics Nobel Laureate James Tobin, MOI delivers timely, differentiated investment ideas. In a market flooded with data and opinion, we deliver clarity.
"One of the best ways to do well in this business is to go to areas that have been unexploited by research capability and work them for all you can." -Julian Robertson Managing partner of the Schildpad & De Haas partnerships. Seeking Alpha PRO contributor since the library's inception in 2013. A special selection of investment ideas is available through the Exclusive Research service.
Whitney Tilson is the founder and Managing Partner of Kase Capital Management, which manages three value-oriented hedge funds. Mr. Tilson is also the co-founder of Value Investor Insight, an investment newsletter.
Mr. Tilson has co-authored two books, The Art of Value Investing: How the World's Best Investors Beat the Market (2013) and More Mortgage Meltdown: 6 Ways to Profit in These Bad Times (2009), was one of the authors of Poor Charlie’s Almanack, the definitive book on Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, and has written for Forbes, the Financial Times, Kiplinger’s, the Motley Fool and TheStreet.com. He was featured in two 60 Minutes segments in December 2008 about the housing crisis (which won an Emmy) and in March 2015 about Lumber Liquidators. He served for two years on the Board of Directors of Cutter & Buck, which designs and markets upscale sportswear, until the company was sold in early 2007.
Mr. Tilson received an MBA with High Distinction from the Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar (top 5% of class), and graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College, with a bachelor’s degree in Government.
Mr. Tilson spent much of his childhood in Tanzania and Nicaragua (his parents are both educators, were among the first couples to meet and marry in the Peace Corps, and have retired in Kenya). Consequently, Mr. Tilson is involved with a number of charities focused on education reform and Africa. For his philanthropic work, he received the 2008 John C. Whitehead Social Enterprise Award from the Harvard Business School Club of Greater New York. He is a member and past Chairman of the Manhattan chapter of the Young Presidents’ Organization. Mr. Tilson lives in Manhattan with his wife and three teenage daughters.
Victor Wendl, CFP®, ChFC, is president of Wendl Financial, Inc., a registered investment advisory firm located in St. Louis, MO. A magna cum laude graduate of the University of Missouri – St. Louis, Wendl holds degrees in both mathematics and business administration. After completing his MBA with an emphasis in finance at the University of Illinois – Champaign Urbana, Wendl worked at Prudential Financial Services where he provided financial planning and investment advice to both corporate and individual clients. He is both a Certified Financial Planner™ and a Chartered Financial Consultant. As president of Wendl Financial, Inc. he continues to emphasize the value investment philosophy when managing clients’ assets.
Greenbackd is dedicated to unearthing undervalued asset situations where a catalyst exists likely to unlock the value. Greenbackd focuses on assets for three reasons:
1. Assets are simpler to value than earnings: Earnings are often difficult to forecast with any degree of accuracy and we can't value a security based on unknown future earnings. Assets, on the other hand, are known quantities at filing. This is not to say that the value of the assets recorded in the filing is the value we ascribe to them. We disregard intangible assets, heavily discount long-term and fixed assets, and apply a modest discount to current assets. We take only cash at face value. For these reasons, we prefer that each security is predominantly backed by cash, hence our name: Greenbackd. 2. Assets anticipate the downside, the liquidation value, first: This forces us to be conservative in our assessment of value.
3. Assets are a contrarian measure of value: To the extent that Wall Street makes any assessment of value, it is obsessed with earnings. It pays little attention to assets. This creates an opportunity where a valuation based on a company's earnings underestimates the company's asset value.
Our favorite stocks are those trading at a substantial discount to liquidation value with an activist investor pushing the company to undertake some corporate action (for example, return capital, pay a special dividend, buy back stock, sell a key asset or the entire company). Greenbackd is penned by a former securities lawyer now working in value-oriented activist funds management
Visit his website: Greenbackd (http://greenbackd.com/)
We seek value plus multiple overlapping catalysts, sourced using proprietary tools. We will create our own catalysts with the fundamental goal to put assets to their highest and best use with the optimal financial structure to maximize long term business value.
Founded in 2009 by Ryan J. Morris - as a founder of a bootstrapped software company prior to being a full time investor, I have a great appreciation and respect for the operational details and entrepreneurial efforts underlying the financial numbers of a business.
Zack Buckley is the founder and President of Buckley Capital Partners, a value-focused long/short equity hedge fund. BCP employs a fundamental approach that is research intensive and concentrated, generally with 10-15 core positions focused primarily in small cap equities. While BCP is long-biased, the fund occasionally shorts companies in situations with highly asymmetric risk-reward potential. Mr. Buckley is a contributing writer for Thestreet.com and Seekingalpha.com. Prior to launching Buckley Capital Partners, Mr. Buckley was an analyst at Baker Street Capital Management.
Jesse is an experienced buy-side analyst. published author, and Chartered Financial Analyst. Previously working as an investment banking analyst with a focus on restructuring while concurrently attending the University of Connecticut (Storrs). After graduating in 2012 he wrote and published his thoughts on investments in the U.S. equities markets, which led to recruitment as a Research Analyst at Iridian Asset Management (2013 - 2016). Jesse also has professional experience analyzing legal dockets and finding special situation investment opportunities and is currently seeking new employment opportunities with Equity Investment Funds (October 2016). He is located in Stamford, CT.
Andrew Shapiro is Founder, President and Portfolio Manager of Lawndale Capital Management, an investment advisor that has managed activist hedge funds focused on small- and micro-cap companies for over 23 years, one of the longest periods of experience deploying an activist/relational investment strategy today. Mr. Shapiro’s proactive ownership approach has been effective in directly creating and unlocking shareholder value in Lawndale’s portfolio companies and has contributed to Lawndale’s activist funds often being ranked among the top event-driven and small-cap value funds in peer databases for long-term performance. In addition to leading Lawndale, Mr. Shapiro has also served as a Director or Observer on portfolio company boards and debt and equity bankruptcy committees. Mr. Shapiro is a member of the National Association of Corporate Directors (NACD) and, via Lawndale, has been a long-time Sustaining Member of the Council of Institutional Investors (CII).
Mr. Shapiro has more than two decades of portfolio management and analytically varied experience from a number of "buy-side" positions, employing a rare combination of credit, legal and equity analytic and workout skills. Prior to founding the Lawndale organization in 1992, Mr. Shapiro managed the workout and restructuring of large portfolios of high-yield bonds, distressed equities and risk arbitrage securities for the Belzberg family's entity, First City Capital. Before joining First City, Mr. Shapiro was involved in numerous highly leveraged corporate acquisition and recapitalization transactions for both Manufacturers Hanover Trust and the Spectrum Group, a private equity firm.
Mr. Shapiro received his JD degree from the UCLA School of Law where he was an Olin Fellow, an MBA from UCLA's Anderson Graduate School of Management where he was a Venture Capital Fellow and a BS in Business Administration from UC Berkeley's Haas School of Business, where he has taught finance courses and frequently guest lectures.
Mr. Shapiro was recently selected to the 2012 NACD Directorship 100, a list of the most influential leaders in the boardroom and corporate governance community. He is often quoted on matters of corporate governance, fiduciary duty and activist investing and has been the subject of several articles, including a Business Week article in 2000 calling him “The Gary Cooper of Governance”. Mr. Shapiro frequent speaks and panels on corporate governance and activist investing issues at a broad range of prestigious forums that include the Council of Institutional Investors, National Association of Corporate Directors, American Society of Corporate Secretaries, SEC Advisory Committee on Small Public Companies, and the Director’s education programs of Stanford Law School, UCLA Anderson Grad. School of Mgmt., the Wisconsin Business School and Yale’s Millstein Center for Corporate Governance, among others. Mr. Shapiro is a Contributing Author at Seeking Alpha.
Mr. Shapiro started Lawndale’s funds in 1993 with only $188,000 under management and through performance and added capital has grown the firm’s managed assets substantially. Lawndale applies a private equity approach through active and relational ownership of public company securities. In most investments, Lawndale plays a constructive relational role by actively working with boards and management teams to help them achieve their strategic and operating goals. In other instances, Lawndale is a direct value-unlocking catalyst, utilizing a range of tools that include aggressively promoting improvements in a company's governance and operational structures, proxy actions, asserting shareowner’s legal rights and taking active roles in restructuring and buyout proposal negotiations..
The Rational Walk was created to provide a platform to publish equity research based on value investing principles. We believe that diligent and thorough security analysis has the potential to identify opportunities in the financial markets for the small number of investors who truly have long time horizons and the appropriate temperament to ignore short term market fluctuations. The Rational Walk’s extensive coverage of Berkshire Hathaway has been mentioned in several news articles.