jegan ;-)

Total Rating:
+11 / -11

670 Comments

    • Sat Oct 18th 17:10 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      AIG: How It Spent Your Tax Money
      I posted this to another site, but it's interesting.... The Wikipedia entry under 'Credit Default Swaps' is worth reading if you'd like to see the variety of ways that these swaps can be gamed... Anyway, this paragraph references Warren Buffet and it is pertinent:

      Warren Buffett famously described derivatives bought speculatively as "financial weapons of mass destruction." In Berkshire Hathaway's annual report to shareholders in 2002, he said, "Unless derivatives contracts are collateralized or guaranteed, their ultimate value also depends on the creditworthiness of the counterparties to them. In the meantime, though, before a contract is settled, the counterparties record profits and losses--often huge in amount--in their current earnings statements without so much as a penny changing hands. The range of derivatives contracts is limited only by the imagination of man (or sometimes, so it seems, madmen)." The same report, however, also states that he uses derivatives to hedge, and that some of Berkshire Hathaway's subsidiaries have sold and currently sell derivatives with notional amounts in the tens of billions of dollars.[21] Berkshire Hathaway, with a market capitalization of $196 billion[22], certainly does have enough equity to collateralize or guarantee these contracts.
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    • Fri Oct 17th 15:54 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Oil Heading for $150 a Barrel, Gold for $1500 an Ounce - Merrill
      jhm47... Kinda curious why you're worried about Barack .. Just thank God Bush's term is near an end. Anyone has got to be better than this.. I'd welcome Idi Amin in office over the present loser...

      jegan

      GOP for Obama
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    • Thu Oct 16th 15:51 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Seven Stocks for an Impending Apocalypse
      Yeah... I held my nose and bought CHK, MOS the day before yesterday ..

      Not sure if I'd be looking at palladium miners.... Why not consider something more mainstream like copper (PCU or FCX)... Not only are they down more than the two above, but each pay a healthy dividend, both will ramp up, if we ever see anything like a recovery as not only are they necessary for automotive use, but also any form of construction, and if you are looking at a move to hybrid or electric cars, what is the major component of electric motors .... Not palladium.

      Having said that, just because I'm stupid enough to bottom fish, it doesn't mean that anyone else should jump in and buy anything right now. In fact, I expect FCX and PCU to drop some more.... I'll buy then...

      jegan ;-)

      (Insert picture of me here, lookin' phat in my white Panama)
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    • Thu Oct 16th 15:42 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Baltic Dry Shipping Index: If It Really Is a Proxy for the Economy, We're in Trouble
      gjg49: This from an article regarding Fortesque Mining:
      ----------------------...
      Concerns over demand for the ore were sparked last week after Australian rival Mt. Gibson Iron Ltd. reported Chinese customers asked it to postpone deliveries because of slowing steel sales and a lack of credit. Contract iron ore prices may drop 20 percent in 2009, the first decline in seven years, Patersons Securities Ltd. said in an Oct. 10 report.
      ----------------------...

      And <b> sM4r7Y_P4n7z <b> ..... It didn't work.....

      jegan ;-)
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    • Thu Oct 16th 15:37 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Some Encouraging Developments in the Economy
      Re: "let me separately suggest that the recent dramatic drop in stock prices means that equities are more reasonably priced today than they have been at any time in the last decade" ....

      Yes. And when a patient dies in a hospital, the 'silver lining' is that a bed has just been freed up for the next ICU patient.

      Someone just stole my half-full glass of water!

      jegan ;-)
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    • Thu Oct 16th 15:34 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      NVIDIA Chosen for New MacBooks: Verdict and Prospects
      If this is going to be a bad Xmas season for Apple, and as it is pretty well accepted that Apple normally works a goo deal for themsleves (consider the AT&T deal) leaving everyone else to fend for themslelves, then does this bode well for NVDIA .... Doesn't look like it to me...

      jegan ;-)

      Disclosure : Got stopped out of NVDA twice in the past year... At much higher values.
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    • Thu Oct 16th 15:21 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Three Reasons the Stock Market Rally Won't Last
      Well, gee! Where were you the day before yesterday when I needed you?

      jegan ;-)
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    • Thu Oct 16th 15:20 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Where's the Smartest Money Investing?
      And Heebner's CGMFX actually posted a healthy 8% gain on a big down day... But, you (Yes! You!) never know what Heebner is doing. He does play shorts and buys and sells at a horrendous rate ... I'm guessing Heebner has been showing on TV more lately to keep his investors from jumping ship as many other funds are seeing cash outflow. I doubt that he really has time right now to wasting as a talking head.

      jegan ;-)

      Disclosure $20K in CGMFX
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    • Thu Oct 16th 15:12 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Financial Storm: Is it Over?
      I sincerely agree that the market is oversold... I looked at the weekly RSI. Stochastics look good and the VIX is at it's highest peak. All contrarian indicators were saying buy!. So I bought about 7 various equities between yesterday and today. .... Well.. Actually, I shook my plastic 'Magic 8 Ball' and it said 'Go for it!' ... Which seemed to be just as effective as any technicals right now...

      jegan ;-)
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    • Thu Oct 16th 15:08 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Another 'Root Cause' That Isn't: Tumbling Home Prices
      Belvedere Research..... You mean Carly Fiorina and Kudlow are wrong??? Are you saying we shouldn't be sending all our production overseas??? Seems .. Well almost Democratic left coast!!!

      jegan ;-)

      GOP for Obama
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    • Thu Oct 16th 12:44 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      China's Shrewd Long-Term Oil Plan: What America Can Learn
      I remember reading that China had signed the first oil contract with Iraq. At the time, I noted that China had been very busy signing contracts in many parts of the world, tieing up commodities.

      Am I the only person that wonders if the 'non-emergence' of China after the Olympics is a means of beating down prices on shipping and ore?

      Bear in mind that they are playing hardball with Vale (RIO) right now, and steel prices have plummeted. Fortesque (FSMPF.PK) is busy as a beaver renegotiating their ore prices with 'hard hit' Chinese founderies and is passing on shipping savings in order to keep ore going out. Meanwhile, Iran has finally sold off it's stored crude at sale prices. Also, consider all the stockpiles of commodities that they had before the Olympics.

      Lets see; Ore is down, oil is down, shipping is down, and the Chinese seem to be the only people running around contracting, negotiating and setting themselves up????

      Either, they are taking advantage of a down market, or perhaps, it was engineered???

      jegan ;-)
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    • Wed Oct 15th 22:15 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Vale: Still No Acquisition, But Flush With Cash
      Bought it **again** this morning, only to lose some in the last hour selloff... This is ridiculously cheap.. Well, until I get stopped out again..

      jegan ;-)
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    • Wed Oct 15th 22:12 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Now It's the Manufacturing Collapse
      I can understand manufacturing dropping in a global slowdown.. I just don't understand consumer staples doing the same. (Yeah, I know that hedgies are dumping..but still). So much for safe boring stocks...

      jegan ;-)
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    • Tue Oct 14th 19:41 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Bernanke and Paulson: Butting Heads?
      The chatter is that Bernanke is on the outs with McCain and Obama... jegan
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    • Tue Oct 14th 18:10 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Brazil Is the Best of BRIC
      Brazil is export driven.. Where's the growth? Internal? Doubt it. Why not buy Brazil when the market turns up rather than while it is still tanking. In fact, 'artogish' seems to offer a valiid approach buying any of the BRICs.. If you want to buy Brazil, India or China, (I left off Russia as they seem to have issues outside their control right now...) why not look at companies that work within their borders and are successful and are not subject to outside issues, because the author is right, Brazil seems to have an inner vitality.

      I just bought some HOGS (Chinese meat packer) as I know that they are growing within China and do not export. I'm sure there are companies like this in So. America, such as AMX, PDA and FMX (These are off the top of my head and may not be Brazilian per se..) that cater within So. America, but are not involved in exterior markets. I have owned EWZ in the past, but am concerned with the major two companies, Petrobras and Vale... Both are subject to exterior demand. Vale is in a battle to raise its prices to China and China is playing hardball. As far a s Petrobras is concerned... Goldman Sachs and many others have called for oil to drop to $60 a barrel. Where's the return? If I recall, some other members of EWZ are banks. These banks are making money based on Brazil's commodity market...

      I'd also like to point out that George Bush has a 78% rating.. Oh wait! That's a 78% negative rating .. Oh well.... Shame we don't have Lula in office here ... Heck! I'd take Sarkozy, Gordon Brown... Or even Medvedev right now....

      jegan ;-)
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