Hunkering Down for a Big Correction [View article]
Your extreme political views are clouding your financial judgement.
On Sep 03 12:07 PM Neil459 wrote:
> From the article, "There are a lot of factors to a panic that are > missing right now (as they usually are, fortunately). To get a true > financial panic first everyone must be euphoric and unaware of or > discounting trouble." > > Or as is today everyone outside of Wall Street is on pins and needles > with regard to their 401k. The ones that stuck with their investment > now are up 50% from the lows. None of them want to see that increase > go away. Obama has lost any confidence that existed during the first > low. Everyone knows the economy will get worse with the tax and > spend Democrats. So if/when it starts down this time, people will > be more inclined to dump and keep what they have made. It could > still trend down and not cause a panic, but the risk of a panic is > very present based on this administration's total lack of financial > honesty, transparency, and fascist trends. > > With that said, if we have another market downturn in the next 6-9 > months the Administration/Congress is doomed for the 2010 elections. > So they will have to keep the market pumped up for the election. > > > So there are strong forces pushing up (Obama's Administration/Congress) > and strong forces pushing down (economy). Which will win and in > what time frame is anyones guess.
Looking at S&P Lazy Summer 2% Drops [View article]
Reminds me of sportscasters during football games. "The last 15 times the Chargers trailed by more than 4 points during the last 3.5 minutes of the second quarter, they lost the game 86% of the time". Care to place your bets, anyone?
I'm curious - why trade day to day? Do you know something today you didn't know yesterday? It seems like trading frequently just generates commission payments.
On Jul 06 12:23 PM tobi wrote:
> Good pondering, I keep trading day to day until I can see a larger > trend on either side. Expecting the market to go straight down from > here is too simple, there will be days when the bear will be barbecued > big time and the next day it's beef time, for example last wednesday > / thursday.
Seems like all gloom and doom to me... I haven't heard from any bulls for a while, just the mutual fund companies telling everyone to stay the course. But that doesn't make them bullish - they naturally don't want everyone pulling their money out out of their funds.
One-Year Anniversary of the Bear Market [View article]
I guess the bottom line is that all of the vast resources spent on analyzing investment strategies is a complete waste, since no one knows what is going to happen. Take your best guess and hope it turns out well.
How Long Will the Bear Market Last? [View article]
Gold is just a commodity like oil or wheat, except you can't burn it or eat it. There is no more reason for gold to hold its value than for anything else to hold its value.
Playing the Market in Difficult Times
[View article]
This seems more like gambling than investing. Personally, I'm moving to an almost all cash position until there is some encouraging news on the economy and then I'll start gradually moving back into stocks. I may miss the bottom and part of the recovery, but I'd rather be safe. Commodities (including gold) are too risky for me.
Adams Express: A Cheap Closed-End Fund [View article]
Since ADX is a closed-end fund, there's no guarantee that it's price will have any relationship to the price of the underlying securities it owns or to the S&P 500. And since it also has a very low dividend yield, what reasons are there for people to want to buy it?
"Of course, that thought process only works when you have cash available to invest and you are confident in the long-term prospects of the businesses that you are invested in."
So if you were fully invested before, confident in the long term prospects of your investments, now you are screwed!
Commodity and Bond ETFs: "Stuff" and "Safety" Beating Stocks [View article]
GMiki: Don't be so sure. The market consist of thousands, if not millions, of people trying to outguess each other every day. Just because the market should react in some way, given underlying values, etc, doesn't mean it will react that way. Logic and reason don't work. Diversification is a way of dealing with the seeming irrationality of the market.
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Latest | Highest ratedMarc Faber: Buy a Machine Gun [View article]
On Sep 04 09:43 AM User 353732 wrote:
> By Executive Order , the Govt will soon decree that all thinking
> citizens are enemies of the State. ,,,
Hunkering Down for a Big Correction [View article]
On Sep 03 12:07 PM Neil459 wrote:
> From the article, "There are a lot of factors to a panic that are
> missing right now (as they usually are, fortunately). To get a true
> financial panic first everyone must be euphoric and unaware of or
> discounting trouble."
>
> Or as is today everyone outside of Wall Street is on pins and needles
> with regard to their 401k. The ones that stuck with their investment
> now are up 50% from the lows. None of them want to see that increase
> go away. Obama has lost any confidence that existed during the first
> low. Everyone knows the economy will get worse with the tax and
> spend Democrats. So if/when it starts down this time, people will
> be more inclined to dump and keep what they have made. It could
> still trend down and not cause a panic, but the risk of a panic is
> very present based on this administration's total lack of financial
> honesty, transparency, and fascist trends.
>
> With that said, if we have another market downturn in the next 6-9
> months the Administration/Congress is doomed for the 2010 elections.
> So they will have to keep the market pumped up for the election.
>
>
> So there are strong forces pushing up (Obama's Administration/Congress)
> and strong forces pushing down (economy). Which will win and in
> what time frame is anyones guess.
Looking at S&P Lazy Summer 2% Drops [View article]
Prepare for a Market Breakout [View article]
On Jul 06 12:23 PM tobi wrote:
> Good pondering, I keep trading day to day until I can see a larger
> trend on either side. Expecting the market to go straight down from
> here is too simple, there will be days when the bear will be barbecued
> big time and the next day it's beef time, for example last wednesday
> / thursday.
It Is Still a Bear Market [View article]
One-Year Anniversary of the Bear Market [View article]
John Hussman: Market Poised for High Returns [View article]
How Long Will the Bear Market Last? [View article]
Playing the Market in Difficult Times [View article]
Taking a Risk - With 20% Yields [View article]
This Is Not "the Big One" [View article]
Adams Express: A Cheap Closed-End Fund [View article]
Do You Have the Guts to Buy? [View article]
So if you were fully invested before, confident in the long term prospects of your investments, now you are screwed!
Dow's Next Move: A Technical and Fundamental Look [View article]
Commodity and Bond ETFs: "Stuff" and "Safety" Beating Stocks [View article]