Most of the comments admit to future shortages, but assert that high prices will bring on demand, or they seek to place blame, or they seek to promote their personal solutions.
Anybody interested in making money?
If we all agree prices are going up, the SA question is, "Where can we most profitably invest", not who is to blame or how the world will evolve.
IMHO those companies with the most proven/potential OWNED reserves per cost (equity price) of ownership are the ones that will pay off the most over the short/medium term. (and if they pay rich dividends currently, so much the better). Isn't that what we are all looking for?
I can't feed my family on blame and ideas for fixes.
Gaza War: Expect a Spike in Oil, Gold [View article]
Well, I supose you are curious. Hammas does have a cause. Hammas is shooting at Israel because the Quran tells them to kill all unbelievers, expecially Jews (See Surah 9:29,8:128:39,4:74,2:1... among many others). Believe Bin Laden when he says his aim is to create a world Caliphate. Neither Al Qadae nor Hammas want land, they don't want peace, they want Israel dead and you dead along with Israel. Gaza is a battle in a much greater war.
And I can tell you have not seved in the military. Proportional response is a formula to get a lot of your people killed. Once a decision is made to attack, you want it over as quickly as possible with your goal achieved. Shooting a few rockets back into Gaza (a proportional response) will achieve nothing. When the pain is great enough, the hostilities will cease; ask Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan. Disproportional force accellerates the cessation of hostilities.
On Jan 04 08:40 PM petetoth wrote:
> "If someone kept shooting rockets at you house and family for eight > years and you kept asking them to please stop but the continued you'd > get pretty angry wouldn't you." > > GlobalHOBBIT - only a fool would not be curious as to WHY someone > would fire rockets at them. A terrorist is always fighting for a > cause. > > During the American Revolution, Americans were the terrorists, or > freedom-fighters if you prefer. It all depends on the side you get > your information from. >
if 2009 turns out as badly as you suggest, and I think it will, you certainly don't want to be in any of the stocks you recommend other than MO. GE capital and the dirth of business for capital goods wil be a big problem for GE. Even if GE maintains the dividend in 2009, the stock will sell down in anticipation of a 2010 cut and weak performance. DOW will face falling demand even though costs will decline. Margins will invert. Retail? Please.
Many stocks now offering attractive dividends will slash payouts as their businesses decline further in each succeeding quarter.
If you want to generate some relatively safe dividends look at the regulated electric utilities (FPL,SO for example), pipelines (ETP, MMP, KMP for example), consumer staples (such as PG and WMT), defense (GD, LMT), and some assorted compaines with strong competetive positions such as PM, LLY, and PEP. 2009 could be very bad for all the reasons cited.
The Triple Play: Oil Addicts, The Credit Crunch and Deflation [View article]
Where did you get this guy, the weather underground? 1) There is no oil conspiracy just a pardigm shift in the economic evolution of the world. Get over it and profit. 2) The end of the financial world is not coming, just punishment for those unfortunate enough to get caught in the bubble bust. Like tech, housing and credit will recover in time. 3) Deflation? You mean inflation. Printing money causes inflation not deflation (see Samuelson, Econ 101).
Peak Oil: A Reality or a Lie? [View article]
Most of the comments admit to future shortages, but assert that high prices will bring on demand, or they seek to place blame, or they seek to promote their personal solutions.
Anybody interested in making money?
If we all agree prices are going up, the SA question is, "Where can we most profitably invest", not who is to blame or how the world will evolve.
IMHO those companies with the most proven/potential OWNED reserves per cost (equity price) of ownership are the ones that will pay off the most over the short/medium term. (and if they pay rich dividends currently, so much the better). Isn't that what we are all looking for?
I can't feed my family on blame and ideas for fixes.
Anybody interested in making money?
Oil and Stocks Have Bottomed, But Their Paths Forward Vary [View article]
Good thing we now have such new (?) leadership in Nany Palosi, Harry Reid, and Barack Hussein Obama. They will make everything right.
Right.
Gaza War: Expect a Spike in Oil, Gold [View article]
And I can tell you have not seved in the military. Proportional response is a formula to get a lot of your people killed. Once a decision is made to attack, you want it over as quickly as possible with your goal achieved. Shooting a few rockets back into Gaza (a proportional response) will achieve nothing. When the pain is great enough, the hostilities will cease; ask Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan. Disproportional force accellerates the cessation of hostilities.
On Jan 04 08:40 PM petetoth wrote:
> "If someone kept shooting rockets at you house and family for eight
> years and you kept asking them to please stop but the continued you'd
> get pretty angry wouldn't you."
>
> GlobalHOBBIT - only a fool would not be curious as to WHY someone
> would fire rockets at them. A terrorist is always fighting for a
> cause.
>
> During the American Revolution, Americans were the terrorists, or
> freedom-fighters if you prefer. It all depends on the side you get
> your information from.
>
Fear and Loathing in 2009 [View article]
Many stocks now offering attractive dividends will slash payouts as their businesses decline further in each succeeding quarter.
If you want to generate some relatively safe dividends look at the regulated electric utilities (FPL,SO for example), pipelines (ETP, MMP, KMP for example), consumer staples (such as PG and WMT), defense (GD, LMT), and some assorted compaines with strong competetive positions such as PM, LLY, and PEP. 2009 could be very bad for all the reasons cited.
The Triple Play: Oil Addicts, The Credit Crunch and Deflation [View article]