User 142738

China Becoming a 'Middle-Class' Nation

If the U.S. and Canada were to use China's definition of poverty (living on 2 yuan, or $0.30 per day) the poverty rate in those countries would be near zero. I would invite you to a "refresher course in arithmetic" yourself, and possibly a remedial Social Studies course since you are confusing the U.N. definition of "poverty" with each country's independently determined definition of "poverty."


On Sep 09 11:20 AM Jeff Nielson wrote:

> Huangthomas,
>
> You obviously could use a refresher course in arithmetic. I will
> accept your figure of 100 million Chinese living in poverty - and
> point out that is SIGNIFICANTLY less than 10% of the population.
>
>
> Neither the U.S. nor Canada can match that poverty-rate, and I doubt
> there are many European nations with such a low poverty-rate.

Savings Rates Surge: Who Is Going to Consume?

"Savings," in the absolute simplest terms used by the Fed, is income minus expenditures. This excludes investments (even in savings bonds) and any debt payments, which would merely be lowering debt in exchange for raising equity. (Assets equal liabilities minus equity.)

If savings was defined as raising equity then the savings rate wouldn't have been zero since people were borrowing money to buy houses and stocks that were appreciating in value faster than the debt was appreciating in value.

China Counterattacks With a 'Buy China' Policy

coreopsis: U.S. Steel has won at least one case recently. Companies typically go up to the World Trade Organization to press charges if the government is not cooperative.

China, Shipping and the Great Commodity Carry Trade

“In Ancient China the gold/silver price ratio was 2:1.”

The Chinese monetary system fixed the price of silver to copper, not to gold. There was no fixed silver-gold exchange rate in China until 1930, and it only lasted until the end of WWII. The exchange rate was 5,590g silver to 90.28g gold, or about 62:1.

Gold Is Moving, Treasury Bubble Bursting

“Due to Seeking Alpha editorial considerations significant portions of the original article have been omitted regarding the increase of political risk due to Obama's assertions regarding preventive detention assertions.”

(Translation: I’m trying to compare Obama to Hitler by referring to a piece of hearsay.)

The Manipulation of Gold and Silver Prices

On 2008 Dec 31 02:12 PM Chris Henry wrote:

“Hedge funds dumping positions to raise cash are not the cause of the drop in price”
Ah, so when people sell bullion and futures it’s supposed to cause the price to go up? Last time I checked, higher supply and lower demand leads to lower prices.

“…long positions had to be liquidated due to the illegal short selling that is so easy under the US fascist regime.”
So this amazing power is both impotent and omnipotent? And since when is it illegal to short-sell a security? Are we trading gold in New York or stock in Melbourne or Shanghai?

“Plausible?”
If there was any failure to deliver gold and silver, it would be plausible. So far there has been none.

Remember: the price you pay per ounce for a very large bar of any metal (not just gold and silver) is typically lower than the price you may pay for a one-ounce minted round or bar. Aluminum foil at your local supermarket costs far more than 66¢ per pound. Is there a giant aluminum price suppression scheme afoot? Is this a plot by the Aluminiummati?

U.S. Hyperinflation: Is Faber's Prediction Realistic?

On May 28 09:17 AM Did U Think The Ponzi Scheme Would Last? wrote:

> "It is hard to equate the market savvy Obama administration with
> the corrupt court of Robert Mugabe..."
>
> WHAT???? You have to be kidding!
Mugabe’s reign of terror is decades in the making. Unless Obama makes it illegal for white people to own farmland and denies the existence of cholera I would say the Zimbabwe-U.S. comparison is ridiculous at the very least.

> It is not the new money printing that causes hyperinflation.
You are partially correct. An extremely high money supply growth rate is merely a symptom of hyperinflation. The loss of faith in the currency is also a symptom. Like influenza, nobody knows how it started: it just exists.

> People outside the US are not obliged to accept our currency in trade for their stuff.
Actually, they are. Zimbabwe’s rampant inflation was a result of the breakdown of the agricultural trade between Zimbabwe and other countries. Mugabe confiscated fertile land and gave it to inexperienced farmers, which caused the agricultural sector to shrink slightly every year. The rate of shrinkage accelerated in the late 1990’s, which coincided with the sudden rise in inflation. With lower demand for Zimbabwean goods and a constant money supply, the value of the Zimbabwean dollar began to fall. Mugabe (actually, Gideon Gono, the president of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe) actually instated a policy where military personnel would receive continuous pay raises. Most of the printed money simply went into the hands of militants, who then used it to buy South African rand, Botswanan pula and the U.S. dollar almost immediately after being paid. Very high money velocity multiplied by very high money supply growth equals very high inflation.

The amount of debt relative to the economy (tens of thousands of percent in Zimbabwe versus 80% or so in the U.S.) and the money supply growth (several quintillion percent in Zimbabwe versus about 12% in the U.S.) The money supply growth in China is 26% — does this mean China will experience superhyperinflation? Russia's money supply growth, as well as the money velocity, is even higher than that. Will Russia experience megasuperhyperinflation?

No economist can possibly give a solid definition of hyperinflation. Its definition can only be compared to the definition of “obscene material” as by the U.S. Supreme Court (“I know it when I see it”). We know the symptoms and the damage, but there are so many exceptions to every rule that it simply cannot be defined.

> I cannot believe the level of gullibility that some Americans display.
Leading by example, I see.

The Fed's Balance Sheet

“And 100 per cent inflation would, of course, mean a 100 per cent depreciation of the dollar.”

Actually, that would be a 50% devaluation.

Case in point: it took 800 Korean won to buy a dollar a few years ago. When the value of the Korean won fell to the point where it took 1600 won to buy a dollar, its value fell by half.

Nouriel Roubini's Bullish on the Chinese Yuan: Think Twice Before Buying It in ETF Form

If these are bonds, why do they pay 0% interest? Are the expenses for these ETFs so high that any interest is canceled out?

Strong Work Ethic at BYD, Maker of Electric Cars

About the Foxconn-BYD issue: there was a lawsuit filed in China in 2006 claiming BYD had hired employees from Hon Hai Precision Technology, Ltd. (a Foxconn affiliate) who had supposedly "[stolen] more than 10,000 documents...". To quote the article:

"In June 2006, Hon Hai took BYD to court in Shenzhen, China, saying BYD stole commercial secrets from Foxconn. The Taiwanese company has complained that the mainland court is dragging its feet in the BYD case." (from an AP article titled "Taiwanese tycoon challenges Buffett's investment")

If you recall, in 2005 Malcolm Bricklin, the same person who had brought Subaru and Yugo brands to the U.S., touted Chery as being a reliable automobile maker that whose "QQ" model was in no way similar to the Chevy Spark/Daewoo Matiz. He planned on opening Chery dealerships in the U.S. by 2008. Long story short, crash tests failed, his investment soured, the plans crumbled and he owes his fellow investors a very large amount of money.

The Seduction of America

User 283977: “For example, back in 1955, bread cost 30 cents per loaf, it now costs over $4 per loaf!”

[citation needed]

China Looks to Electrify Our Cars

coreopsis: “In the US, the grid is not only outdated…”

False. Outdated grids have the following characteristics:
• Extremely high variable costs per kilowatt-hour.
• Large subsidies for residential users.
• Spotty coverage or unreliable voltage during non-peak hours.

In the “centralized” areas of the European Union, Asia and Europe you have any combination of those characteristics. In the U.S. and Canada there is none of that. But if you think paying 72¢ per kilowatt-hour is the sign of a great power grid, I’d love to know the name of your utility company.

Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy... Oh, and Common Sense

“People were trampled to death when Wal-Mart (WMT) offered cheap holiday packages.”

I never knew there was a travel agency in Wal-Mart. Is it near the jet airplane aisle or the uranium enrichment department?

Could Apple and Google Replace GM and Citi in the Dow?

Based on market capitalization, Microsoft and Apple should replace General Motors and Citi, respectively.

Gold ETFs vs. Fort Knox

GMiki: When you lease something, the original owner still owns it.