Loading...
Symbols:
Get Seeking Alpha Free Stock Alerts by Email!
Get Free Stock Alerts by Email!
Transcripts
- Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- eHealth, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- MIPS Technologies, Inc. F1Q09 (Qtr End 09/30/08) Earnings Call Transcript
- Alexza Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Alkermes, Inc. F2Q09 (Qtr End 09/30/08) Earnings Call Transcript
- Akorn, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- Energy XXI (Bermuda) Limited F1Q09 (Qtr End 09/30/08) Earnings Call Transcript
- The Advisory Board Company F2Q09 (Qtr End 09/30/08) Earnings Call Transcript
- Thomas Weisel Partners Group, Inc. Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
- The9 Q3 2008 Earnings Call Transcript
-
Editors' Picks
-
Most Popular
- General Electric: Genuine Risk of Collapse?
- Food: Against Self-Sufficiency
- The Fed: Now the World's Largest Private Bank
- Key to the Global Equity Market: Trend and Cycle Analysis of U.S. Retail
- Can a Global Economy Be Managed One Nation at a Time?
- Global Markets Week in Review: Turbulent Times
- Full list of Editors' Picks »
- Jim Rogers on China »
- Memo to Warren: AmEx Preferred at 15%, Warrants at $12 »
- Should We Really Bail Out the Big Three Automakers with $73.20 Per Hour Labor? »
- Peak Oil's Bell Is Ringing »
- UltraShort ETFs: At a Tipping Point? »
- The Biggest Problem Detroit's Big Three Face »
- 11 Stocks Selling Below Cash »
- Tech May Be a Wreck, But This Isn't 2001 »
- The Autos and Mentality That Ruined Detroit »
- Iceland: What It's Like to Live in a World Without Money »
- Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News »
Hedge Fund Jobs
Job Seekers: Search jobs by category, get job alerts by email or live feed, apply online See full list of jobs »
Employers: See all recruitment options, get applications online or by email Post a job »
User 142738
98 Comments
Global Stock Markets: We All Fall Down!
Apple's China Debacle: The Corporation as an Agent of Social Change
Asking iTunes to take down all the Tibet-related items is like asking a deli in Manhattan to not sell ham because it offends someone in Tehran… it ain’t gonna happen!
Miscalculating Inflation: The Link to Global GDP
Shanghai's Own Stock Market Rules
Will GM's Volt Change History?
Shifting Emphasis from Inflation to Growth
The Euro's Long Run Is Finally Over
The Euro's Long Run Is Finally Over
The Great Firewall of China Faces Challenge During Olympics
On a more related note, the way the Internet infrastructure is being set up in China is very “convoluted” (I don’t know any better words to describe it). There are two rival ISPs who tamper with their competitor’s Internet traffic to convince people to switch over to them. With the exception of Hong Kong, the bandwidth capacity in and out of China is on par with a small city.
I cannot recommend anything to consider investing in at this moment, but if anybody decides to expand China’s bandwidth it would have to be a company in Australia, Japan, or the United States, since those countries run the pipes coming in and out of China.
The US Dollar Elevator is Going Up!
I also find the comments about the euro and Zimbabwe hilarious at the very least. The U.S.’s debt is about $0.62 per dollar of GDP; the powerhouses in Europe have debt that averages out to about €0.75 per euro of GDP and Japan’s debt is about ¥196 per hundred yen of GDP.
And the United States, thank goodness, isn’t confiscating soybean farms and coal mines for political purposes. If such an event were to happen, then comparing the U.S. to Zimbabwe would be appropriate.
How Is GM Still Alive?
Another American Money Pit: Infrastructure
Public schools are funded by their respective state governments, not the Federal government.
The Case for Buying China Now
There are several articles quoting Chinese oil company spokespeople about how government price controls are cutting into their profit margins. Profit margins, according to the quotes, range between -40% and -50%. Common sense (and a healthy dose of economic theory) dictates that if a company is losing 50% due to government price controls, it must be due to the government holding prices down 50%.
So, according to that, gasoline must retail for about ¥3.6 a liter ($1.99 a gallon), right? Wrong. It retails for about ¥6.6 ($3.66 a gallon). Even with a half-off coupon they pay almost as much as Americans do.
I see any of three events happening by June 2009:
1.) In an effort to keep the oil companies afloat, China will keep raising and raising fuel prices. Costs for industrial production will spike, resulting in a massive migration of factories to a cheaper market (probably Mexico). Economic growth grinds to a halt. Unemployment and inflation shoot up. People get angry.
2.) In an effort to keep the people happy, China will keep subsidizing fuel prices. Import tariffs go up. Growth remains high, though it will solely be due to money supply expansion. Investors move their money en masse to other countries looking for the “next big thing.” Hong Kong stocks plummet and Shanghai stocks soon follow. China goes from a net creditor to a net debtor. People’s savings disappear. It’s Japan Part II.
3.) In a balanced point of view to keep people happy and the oil companies in business, China outsources all or nearly all of their oil exploration projects to BP, Shell, and other dirty, dirty foreigners. Import tariffs remain high but are positioned somewhere between the tariffs in the eurozone and the United States. Chinese stocks with little international exposure drop, but a few make it to the top. Growth slows, but remains modest.
Jim Rogers called the bottom for Shanghai in late May, then called it again in late June, and will more than likely call the bottom yet again in late July. I’m almost reminded of the childhood tale of the boy who cried wolf.
Eventually, people won’t care if the wolf exists or not.
No Foole Like a Dubious Causality Foole II: Oil and the Market
The World's Revenge