Time management is essential to monitoring a 47 position portfolio. My 1st comment concludes with "Rich-unck:xx hrs"; I uncheck from the article to avoid repetitive comments, nonsense, and (most) arguments. I extend another XX hrs when I respond to a question or comment...I also respond to all PMs.
BACKGROUND My journey as a self-directed investor (SDI) began in 1973, and resulted in financial independence at age 52, which also allowed me to retire from corporate life the following year (Feb 1995).
I have no special knowledge not attainable by others who also dedicate themselves to the study of the economy, market, and stocks...I could cease all portfolio management today, and place it with a professional manager; however, I enjoy the psychic and financial rewards. Alternatively, I could become a passive investor via mutual funds and/or index ETFs (those works too! ). With few exceptions, As a rule, Rich only discusses his IRA here--it is only a portion of his and Joyce’s investment assets.
INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY If you ‘lived for today’ over the past 5 or 6 decades, you better invest in lottery tickets. The most probable path to a financially secure retirement is the product of an investment program (either active or passive) started when relatively young; living on less than all your after-tax income (saving means delayed gratification); and either self-directed or via professional management, adopting a sensible strategy suitable to age and comfort zone. There is wisdom in flexibility, diversification, and not being life-long wed to any strategy. It is appropriate to take greater risk for greater rewards (sensible growth stocks) when younger, as those are our lowest earnings years combined with our highest expense years--in the years between early investment and retirement, investments in solid growth companies can double 8 times or more.
There is time to adjust allocations to a more conservative strategy when closer to retirement. Never assume you have an information edge over the professionals. Time-in-the-market is your principle advantage. When/if you become interested in dividend stocks, never forget both price return and dividends compound, and price more so.
Financial independence is achieved when one has sufficient confidence his/her lifestyle will not change significantly, regardless of the potential depth or breadth of decline suffered by their portfolio--including a prolonged series of bear markets such as 1929-37. True, the recent 18-month bear market ending mid-2009, was deep--but also too brief to consider its lack of widespread dividend cuts to be as proof a portfolio of dividend-payers won't suffer income losses in a more prolonged decline (i.e., no portfolio is "dividend bulletproof").
The balance of this profile is lengthy, and likely not helpful to passive investors who simply go along for the ride, their portfolios bobbing up and down like flotsam in the ocean; their course always subject to the whims of winds, waves, and trends...THIS IS YOUR ONLY WARNING!
PORTFOLIO GOALS Now in my 70s, it’s no longer appropriate to engage in the growth strategies applied in wealth accumulation. As a more conservative investor, 100% of his portfolio consists of dividend-payers. 95% of positions have investment grade credit ratings (the lone exception is a REIT).This combination, along with having companies in 10 of the 11 S&P GICS sectors (none in Materials at this time) provide a measure of diversification. This IRA portfolio holds no bonds, though bonds and other investments are held elsewhere.
Maximizing total return and wealth preservation are mutually exclusive. A key observation: Having the capacity for risk is not the same as having the tolerance for it!
Rich’s objective is now a ‘smoother-ride’ that levels out the market’s peaks and valleys (limit losses, trim notable excess valuation). That smoother ride in an all-equity portfolio cannot be achieved without active management and continuous monitoring of positions--therefore TIME is an essential input to his portfolio management. Active management does not’ means frequent changes, as it is not unusual for a quarter or more to pass between a trimming or sale (nonetheless, when a company fundamentals change, or a mistake is made, corrective action is taken.)
STRATEGY SINCE 2008 Rich targets both legs of TOTAL RETURN (distributions + price change). His Growth & Income strategy often focuses on VALUE investing tactics applied to dividend-payers. Value investors seek out unpopular, companies most investors are avoiding (i.e., fundamentals have declined but credit rating is strong, BoD has implemented a rational recovery plan, and the dividend not in danger). Value investors seek to be paid to wait for other investors to recognize the stock’s value and assign it a greater share price. In any event, value stock or growth stock, Rich always seeks a ‘margin of safety’--no shares are bought at prices >FV, and his margin of safety is derived from dividends paid, price appreciation, and rising FV over time.
In all cases, value or growth, Rich selects well-established dividend-paying companies having a high-probability of growing earnings (growth of earnings is ESSENTIAL to growth of price and dividends). He tends to be flexible, forward looking, reactive to changing fundamentals, and willing to admit a mistake so action follows.
SDI is not easy, success is not assured, and in recent decades, advice from academics, and investment coaches, almost universally recommend index funds. Those NOT having the prerequisite time and interest are unlikely to develop the requisite skills for stock investing--thus the probability strongly suggests most newbies would be better served by indexing (Ben Graham wrote favorably of indexing). However, when done successfully, self-directed stock investing can offer rich psychic and financial rewards.
CORE PORTFOLIO Presently, +/-30 equities. Core holdings dominate at about 65% of total portfolio positions. Favored are traditional, large- and mid-cap, low-beta, best/near-best in class, institutional-owned, moaty, dividend-paying, value and growth stocks, having investment-grade debt ratings, and representing the consumer staples, healthcare, utilities, and telecom sectors.
OPPORTUNISTIC PORTFOLIO The remaining 15+ positions consist of equally well-known dividend-payers found among widely-owned cyclicals, such as financial, industrials, consumer discretionary, technology, real estate, and energy sectors are sensitive to the economy. In an expanding economy, cyclicals typically grow their earnings (and dividends) faster than do the typically slower-growing core companies. But because the reverse is also true, in a contracting economy, these positions are intended to be heavily trimmed to preserve gains as the economy peaks and shows evidence of decline. Some are susceptible to quite significant price declines when Mr. Market assumes their will suffer reduced earnings, and sometimes dividend-freezes/cuts, in anticipation of those events.
Rich is sometimes fully-invested, but unlike some, observes no such rule. Building a large cash cushion at the front-end of a correction/bear market (-20%) provides the dry powder required to both cushion the market's decline, and also creates the cash required to purchase excellent companies at below FV prices (without having to sell a position he wants to keep!).
TRIMMING POSITIONS When positions in either portfolio become significantly overvalued, they are trimmed by 5-10%, and the proceeds applied to fairly valued companies before the (almost always) temporary gift of over-valuation reverts to the price mean. If the position continues to advance, and absent other information, the position will be trimmed again. Added benefits to selective trimming include (1) serves as a more sensible method of rebalancing (as opposed to automatic--professionals do not use such a meat cleaver); (2) reduces the position's remaining Capital at Risk (which may suggest room for additional shares within an otherwise full position), and (3) provides the necessary dry powder to buy other shares at FV or below.
OTHER INTERESTS As we age, the importance of family grows. Rich has long volunteered in his community; over the years has served with distinction as member/chair of a number of advisory committees. Assisting others on SA is also a source of satisfaction and fulfillment.
Finally, having been blessed by years of excellent investment performance, Joyce and Rich have long been avid world travelers, and have visited over 60 countries over a span of 30 years (his SA avatar reflects the Taj Mahal in his sun glasses). They reside in Michigan--for 9 months of beauty, bliss, and family, and thoroughly enjoy wintering in equally beautiful Naples FL--for 3 months of sunny warmth and relaxation.
Life is good--it's been an unbelievably awesome ride!
My name is Dr Kanak Kanti De, MBBS, MD, PhD, retired medical practitioner, cancer survivor, healthcare sector investor, over 30 years' experience in the sector both in India and the United States. I write/have written on Motley Fool, SeekingAlpha, Benzinga, and on Forbes. I am consistently ranked high on TipRanks, although I don't like their ranking system. My portfolio has consistently beat the various indices for years. Email me to discuss my articles, or for just an adda (Bengali for informal chat) firstname.lastname@example.org.
Hi! I'm retired on disability and trying to grow an inheritance that my father left me. This year stocks and bonds both seem overpriced to me compared to commodities, so I'm long gold and palladium. Part of my portfolio I speculate with in TSLA or ETFs or hold in cash.
My career was in computer programming and I still like to keep up with tech developments. My family owned a car dealership so I also know a fair amount about the auto industry.
Don Dion (email@example.com, @DRDInvestments) is the owner and Chief Investment Officer of DRD Investments, LLC, based in Naples, FL. and Williamstown, MA., a family office focused on managing a long/short hedge fund, real estate assets, venture capital, and various other financial assets for the Dion family. Don no longer manages money for other families or institutions after selling Dion Money Management to NYC-based Focus Financial Partners in September of 2007 prior to the Great Recession. Don remains one of the largest individual shareholders of Focus Financial Partners. Mr. Dion is the managing trustee of the Dion Family Foundation, which focuses on helping individuals with tuition assistance at Catholic Institutions for grammar school, high school, and college education. The foundation also helps individuals by supporting health care institutions, particularly Massachusetts General Hospital. Don is on three leadership and advisory committees at Massachusetts General Hospital and the Home Base Program (a partnership between Mass General and the Red Sox Foundation). Don consults with Saint Dominic's Academy and served on the executive committee as a trustee of Saint Michaels College. In addition, Mr. Dion is the retired publisher of the Fidelity Independent Adviser (http://www.fidelityadviser.com/) family of newsletters, which provided a broad range of investor commentary on the financial markets, with a specific emphasis on mutual funds and exchange-traded funds. With more than 90,000 subscribers in the United States and 29 other countries, Fidelity Independent Adviser published two monthly newsletters and one weekly newsletter. Its flagship publication, Fidelity Independent Adviser, was published monthly for 16 years and reached over 60,000 subscribers. Mr. Dion is the sole founder and retired C.E.O. of Dion Money Management (http://www.dionmm.com/), a fee-based investment advisory firm for affluent individuals, families and nonprofit organizations, where he was responsible for setting investment policy, creating custom portfolios, and overseeing the performance of client accounts. Founded in 1996 and based in Williamstown, Massachusetts and Naples, FL., Dion Money Management managed over $900 million in assets for clients in 49 states and 11 countries, He fortunately sold the company to Focus Financial Partners on September 1, 2007 prior to the Great Recession. Mr. Dion was the Chairman and C.E.O. of Litchfield Financial Corp. "LTCH" a NASDAQ listed company which he founded with Summit Partners in 1988. LTCH went public in 1992 and was acquired by Textron Corp. "TXT" in 1999 for $183M of cash consideration. Don was the Executive Vice President, C.F.O., shareholder and General Counsel for Bluegreen Corp. "BXG" a NYSE company from 1986 to 1988. Mr. Dion graduated with honors from Saint Michaels College in 1976 with a B.S. degree in Economics and Business Administration. He received his J.D. degree from the University of Maine Law School in 1979 and his LL.M. degree from Boston University Law School in 1982. After law school, Mr Dion was employed as a tax and estate planning lawyer with the Boston firm of Warner and Stackpole from 1983 to 1985 and Ernst and Young as a C.P.A. from 1979 to 1983. Recently, Don has been spending some of his time researching and strategizing about IPOs, building on his prior experience of successfully taking companies public and six strong years of U.S. IPO returns (2009 to 2015). Mr. Dion can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.
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If you copied Don Dion's ratings since 2013 and opened each position for the duration of 1 Year , then 59% of your transactions would have been profitable with an average return of +7.7%.
Dana Blankenhorn http://www.danablankenhorn.com has been a business journalist since 1978, and a futurist all his life.He warned about the coming Houston oil collapse in 1979. He began making a living on the Internet in 1985. He launched the first e-commerce daily for CMP in 1994, warned of the coming dot-bomb at a-clue.com in 1997 and began covering the Internet of Things in 2003.Along the way he's written for a host of newspapers, magazines, news services and Web sites. Most recently he was at TheStreet.com, covering technology and investments. He still has time for freelance assignments. He lives in Atlanta.
I taught my self investing after I got tired of losing money in the hands of so called "professionals" over the years. I figured it's better if I lose my own money - at least I can blame no one else for my mistakes.
I immigrated to Canada from India in the 80's with $10 in my pocket and have not done badly. I am grateful to Canada for giving me the opportunity to succeed and build a good life. I lived in the US for a couple of years but returned to Canada. The similarities and differences between the two countries fascinate me, I have a Bachelor's degree in Pharmacy (I am a Ontario licensed Pharmacist), and was "retired" recently from the R&D department of a major Pharma company. I also have an MBA from the University of Saskatchewan.
Over the last 15 years, through a combination of interest, hardwork and luck, I have accumulated a portfolio which has made me financially independent (at least on paper), while making all the rookie mistakes and enduring two big bear markets fully invested (the last one with leverage) and holding a full time professional job and raising a family. The 2007-09 bear market has taught me that technical's are important and its important to raise cash at the right time. I follow the economic indicators carefully with the hope of avoiding (at least partially) a bear market. I continue to learn from experience and the read economic and financial commentary voraciously. I like to think I am playing the long game which takes guts, skill and patience.
My investing style is value - with a GARP orientation. My experience is that a few home runs make up for a many strike-outs, though now I focus more on stealing singles. I realize that Investing is a "losers game", to win you need to minimize your losses but at the same time, if there is no risk, there is no gain. I like to be highly diversified and routinely follow over a 100 positions. I invest, not trade, waiting patiently for a fat pitch.
Thanks for stopping by and good luck investing.
Residing in Colorado Springs, Colorado.
Has been trading and coaching using a self-developed option trading system for 10 years. Philosophically conservative, accurately trades weekly options with a strong risk management approach.
Well sought after by investors around the world, he teaches a minimum and hand-selected number of students each quarter how to trade his system.
Besides investing his interests are: Acoustic Guitar, Kayaking, Mountain Biking
BioGroup Team (BGT) is a self-organized panel of professionals with a shared interest in trading and investing in the healthcare and life sciences sectors. Our experts’ editorial team is comprised of individuals with extensive background in research, science, economics and trading in the biotechnology / health sectors.
Our main focus is identifying and analyzing cutting edge biotechnology companies that are under or over-valued. We obtain information from public sources that we believe to be accurate and reliable, and not from company insiders or persons who have a relationship with company insiders. Our aim is to deliver a succinct analysis which is clear and detailed enough to provide the reader with a better understanding of our findings and conclusions.
Investor with more than 5 years experience trading commodities, gold and silver miners, exploration companies, oil and gas, platinum and other hard assets.
The investment style is part contrarian/value and I actively seek investments in distressed sectors.
My trading experience includes over twenty five years of intense investment analysis, trend analysis and deep level due diligence studies. My interest is to find small company opportunities that have established funding sources, have a plan of action and are in the preliminary to first stages of pipeline development and execution. My coverage and investment interest includes biotech, small cap and emerging growth companies, regardless of sector. I am a contributing writer at CNA Finance and cover emerging opportunities as well as breaking news events.
Benjamin is the founder of ModernGraham.com, a website devoted to the study and modernization of the teachings of Benjamin Graham. Benjamin graduated cum laude with a J.D. and Certificate in Taxation from DePaul University College of Law, and a B.S. in Finance (Honors) from DePaul University College of Commerce.
Articles posted on Seeking Alpha are a sample of the articles posted on ModernGraham.com. Please visit the website for more ModernGraham content.
Zacks.com brings the decades of study and stock picking expertise of Zacks Investment Research to individual investors. Now, you don't to be an investment bank or brokerage firm to get the professional power of Zacks' research. It's all available on Zacks.com. Learn more about Zacks' history and company below.
Old Trader is a 63 year old private investor, managing a retirement portfolio constructed to a) generate a high current yield, b) preserve capital, and c) increase capital. His methodology involves taking a "top down" macro view to identify favorable trends, and then engage in fundamental analysis at the company level to identify "best of breed" companies that will benefit from those trends. He employs some simple TA to help determine favorable entry and exit points for positions.
The ultimate goal is the construction of an "absolute return" portfolio, fully recognizing that such a portfolio will lag in a strong bull market, but will result in much smoother returns, a characteristic he feels is critical for retirement accounts.
Founder and moderator of Chicagoland Investors' Group. Monthly Sunday brunch meetings to discuss markets and investing/trading strategies.
I can be reached at email@example.com
Stone Fox Capital Advisors is a registered investment advisor founded in 2010. The firm offers portfolio management with a focus on opportunistic stocks providing secular growth trends at an affordable value. An emphasis is placed on fundamental analysis though charts are used for timing entry and exit points.
Mark Holder graduated from the University of Tulsa with a double major in accounting & finance. He's been interested in the stock market since college and began managing investments for friends and family more than 20 years ago. Mark has his Series 65 and is also a CPA.
Invest with Stone Fox Capital's model portfolios on Covestor.com as he makes real time trades. Covestor also allows followers to duplicate the model portfolio in their own brokerage accounts. You can find the portfolio and more details here:
Follow Mark on twitter: @stonefoxcapital
I currently work in the health care field. I am a long-term investor who conducts extensive research as part of my due diligence when considering a stock. My articles hope to provide unbiased background information to help others make an educated decision.
Although I recommend a diversified portfolio, I have a special interest in biomedical firms. Since biomedical investing is often very risky, I believe that research is especially important when investing in this industry. I find biomedical investing rewarding because these investments may not only yield high returns but also help save lives.
Curis, Inc. (CRIS) - NasdaqGM rated best investment going forward in Biotech for the remainder of 2014 and certainly for 2015.
Past Results - Achillion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ACHN) was issued a best investment rating on April 14, 2014 and it's hoped that on June 16, 2014 that investors locked in profit near the highs. The high that day was $8.05. The best investment rating was issued from the $2.70's area.
Athersys, Inc. (ATHX) - NasdaqCM In 2013 ATHX in the $1.60's area was issued a best investment notice. Followed up with several articles pointing out its potential. It's hoped investors took profit over $4 in early 2014. Today ATHX and its MultiStem is of high risk with one "no efficacy" phase II trial in 2014 reporting. For this reason ATHX is a buy only under $1.60 again today. This will limit downside to some degree if MultiStem fails again to show efficacy in a second phase II trial.
Other past calls were CLDX, ACUR and ALNY.
The resource referenced below can be deceptively inaccurate, though it is the only known site that tracks the performance of stocks written about through Seeking Alpha (when using the S&P 500 as a benchmark):
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Prescient Investment Analysis is a person. BA, Boston College, Philosophy.
I am business graduate with a professional certification in F&A. I have been associated with the academic field, teaching both short and long courses on Finance and Accounting but my passion is following and writing about good investments.
Founder of Disruptive Tech Research – a technology research and advisory firm serving the investment management community.
We provide registered investment professionals and qualified firms with independent, targeted research to support the generation of investment ideas.
We focus on patent-filing activity to identify the most promising disruptive technology trends early. Then, we employ an original, bottom-up fundamental research approach to uncover micro- and small-cap ideas that are underfollowed, underappreciated and undervalued.
Our mission is to provide clients with differentiated, actionable and thorough fundamental research at a cost effective price.
We’re 100% independent. That means absolutely no pay-to-play arrangements, no hidden agendas and no hype. Just solid research. And yes, we eat our own cooking.
I started my investment career at Morgan Stanley, where I helped direct over $1 billion in in institutional capital. After growing bored with the monotony of asset allocation studies, investment policy statements, manager searches and evaluations, and Retirement Plan Service Provider RFPs (among other things), I left and co-founded Wall Street Daily, which quickly became one of the web’s largest financial publishers with a daily circulation of more than 700,000 readers.
In 2014, I founded Disruptive Tech Research to pursue my investing passion, and fill the void in the market for high-quality, 100% independent research on disruptive technologies.
I have been fortunate to appear regularly on CNBC’s Closing Bell, as well as be mentioned in other media outlets, including in The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, Morningstar and MarketWatch. I earned my MBA from the Crummer Graduate School of Business at Rollins College, which is also where I met my beautiful wife.
Pro Deo, Pro Familia, Pro Patria
Alex Cho is a top contributor on Seeking Alpha in both the long ideas and technology section of the website. Alex Cho's articles have been featured on The Motley Fool, The Street, and Benzinga. Alex Cho has been featured on ValueWalk's throwback Thursday for his analysis on Apple. Furthermore, Alex Cho's financial expertise ranks him in the top 100 on TipRanks, and his recommendations have a 80% success rate according to Tip Ranks.
To reach out to him for business opportunities, to share ideas, guest writing opportunities, consulting opportunities e-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org
StockMarketPundits.com, LLC was founded in order to connect investors with some of the leading analysts, writers and industry experts across various investment classes. Our writers deliver timely, actionable articles with clearly defined opinion within their areas of expertise. Our goal is to be a 'one-stop-shop' for investors to get the expert opinions, articles and interviews with company executives they need to make informed investing decisions.
Paul Nathan has passionately written in support of a free marketplace and real money for over forty years.
Since 2008 Paul has been a contributing commentator for Kitco and writes a candid, real-time, Market Update for subscribing traders investors.
In 2011 John Wiley & Sons published The New Gold Standard, Paul Nathan’s definitive work on the gold standard past and present.
Paul called the end of the bull market for gold in 1980, the beginning of the 25 year tech revolution and bull market in 1982, went “All In” on gold and gold stocks in 2001, and alerted his readers to short the DOW at 14000 in July of 2007. 2008 and 2009, catastrophic years for most traders, were two of the best years in his trading career.
He went all cash in 2011, calling the top of the bull market in gold, and recently in December of 2015, predicted the end of the downturn and the beginning of a new move higher in gold and commodities.
See "commentaries" @ paulnathan.biz.
I have been trading part time for the past 10 years, focusing on swing trades and identifying how different stocks will "inhale and exhale" through the market. My primary targets are in the $2-$10 range, averaging over 2 million shares traded daily, and looking for an upswing. My goal is to average 10% per month, but will hold on for the long run with stocks that I believe in.
Stephen Simpson, CFA, is a freelance financial writer and investor.
I have worked for both sell-side and buy-side firms (equities and fixed income), with the largest percentage of my working time spent in med-tech. At this point I am now effectively in a "working retirement".
I write because I find that the process helps me take better notes, be more disciplined about modeling, and come up with a more coherent investment view for my portfolio management needs. If I'm writing about a stock, it's generally because I'm interested in it as an investment prospect or I think there's an interesting story to tell.
I don't share my models, so please don't ask.
More of my writings can be found at my blog Kratisto Investing (kratistoinvesting.blogspot.com), or Twitter (@Kratisto_Invest).