Your second paragraph proves that you understand nothing about financial markets. All price movements are speculative. That's why they say that the market is FORWARD LOOKING.
What a silly article! You cite the reasons why the price of oil HAS been increasing - these reasons are already well reflected in the price of oil. High oil prices are self-defeating. Oil prices are going to fall, folks. You read it here first.
Your article assumes that the price of oil, a commodity, will keep rising. This claim is false. When you buy a stock, you have a small claim to the future cash flows of a company. If the company is profitable and growing, the value of the stock will go up in the long run. However, when you buy oil options, you have a claim to a barrel of oil. Commodity pricing is decided by supply and demand, and you have no way of knowing what supply and demand will be during that time (or if we discover an oil substitute). This strategy is pure speculation. Making your position long-term does not make it an investment.
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