Mr. G

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34 Comments

    • Fri Jun 13th 11:28 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Fed Funds Futures Predicting Strong Chance of September Rate Hike
      Considering the current account deficit, raising rates and printing more money to pay debts by the FED spells trouble longer term for the US.
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    • Sun May 25th 16:30 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      The Case for $1300/Oz Gold
      I agree with the author, but the overlooked reaction is the hedgefunds and big money boys reaction when the US keeps falling into recession. The market psycology of these players may push gold to well over $1500 the ounce.
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    • Sun May 25th 16:10 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Is the US Dollar Doomed?
      As the first poster elaborated, the dollar is suffering a gradual demise from all the economic misfires currently destroying its value, the primary cause being govt policy that is destroying our country. I remember under Clinton, the budget was balanced and social security was assured. (3 trillion surplus). In a few short years, the entire balance was reversed by a group that doesnt tax and spend?
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    • Fri May 23rd 09:47 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Recent Oil Spike: 'Irrational Exuberance'?
      There has been a lot of talk about peak oil. The arabs refused to increase supply. As the BRIC economies grow at parabolic rates, and infrastructure is still based on crude oil rather than alternative energies, I dont see any bubble.
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    • Wed Apr 30th 19:31 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Why the Fed Needs to Pause Today
      Given the recent drop of the EURO BY ABOUT 5 CENTS, Its hard to deal with the counterintuitive move when nothing looks that great in the fundamentals released. Can CNBC talk up the dollar when its rise lacks any fundamental support? Even GE earning reports stunk.
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    • Thu Apr 24th 00:21 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Could 1 Euro Equal 2 U.S. Dollars?
      Through all the rhetoric, the reason the dollar is weak is more than just sentiment, increasing money supply deflates the dollar and is primarily responsible for commodity inflation. The other major factor is worldwide demand that is rising exponentially. As US policy insists on deficit spending, the treasury has to print more money. What happened to conservative policy to reduce tax and spending?
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    • Sun Apr 20th 22:22 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Jinpan Int'l: A Small-Cap Chinese Infrastructure Play
      China has 4 times the population of the US and its GDP is only one tenth of the US. The growth potential is obvious.
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    • Sat Apr 5th 02:28 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      10 Reasons Why the Dollar Will Strengthen
      THIS ARTICLE IS CONSISTENT WITH THE ETERNAL OPTIMIST THEORY THAT OVERLOOKS OBJECTIVITY. WITH THE CURRENT ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN THE US, THE ARTICLE IS COUNTERINTUITIVE AND LISTENING TO THE OXFORD CLUB IN MY EXPERIENCE NEVER RESULTED IN ONE WINNIG STOCK.
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    • Sat Apr 5th 02:10 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Brace Yourself For the Payrolls Number
      Lowering the FED Rate used to have meaning because it stimulated growth, at least that was the economic theory. In todays economic market, the condition of the banking instituitions with their risk portfolios in real estate makes lowering the lending rates meaningless.

      More meaningful is the unemployment rate. This has a direct impact on consumption which could lower GDP considerably as inflation in necessities restricts excess spending. Walmart will probably do well in these conditions . I have noticed furniture companies going out of business.

      Just how the currency market will perceive this in the short term is the question, and my bet is the dollar has more downside movement as the GDP SUFFERS A HIT IN THE FUTURE due to less consumption and spending. I notice defaults in the credit markets is on the rise as well. One thing about trends is they tend to to last quite awhile.
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    • Thu Apr 3rd 09:27 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Bernanke Brushes Aside Inflation, Focuses on Growth
      Inflation is caused by too many dollars chasing too few goods. As long as supply of anything remains sufficient, and money supply remains constant, inflation shouldnt be a problem. The weakness in the US is printing more money to bailout debt ridden banks which increases money supply.
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    • Tue Apr 1st 19:35 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Paulson Plan: Focused On Tomorrow's Problems, Not Today's
      What happened to the concept of Laissez Faire in regulation of capitalist society? I would rather the FDIC back any losses than have the taxpayers back private hedge fund losses. I guess the Bush welfare system to the failed wealthy has taken on a knew dimension.
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    • Sun Mar 30th 14:41 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Five Indicators Moving the Dollar the Most
      I have always looked at currencies as owning a share of a countries GDP, since the modern concept is based on full faith and credit. Ms. Liens research is excellent for scalpers and reinforces my belief that each currencys value is data dependant and illustrates how fundamental reports influence market psycology and market focus.
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    • Sun Mar 30th 11:47 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Get Out of Commodities - Barron's
      At least, the author recognizes that commodities are dollar denominated. If you believe the US treasury wont be printing any more money to devalue the dollar as the FED tries to bailout the massive institutional crisis, then I could agree with the author. However, I think this is another example of eternal optimism seen on CNBC as the pundits try to control market sentiment. I see more downside risk as the CDO and debt writedowns keep appearing.
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    • Sun Mar 23rd 23:43 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      How Bad Is the Dollar's Fall?
      I think the most recent rise in the dollar (five cents against the euro) was FED action. This is the first time they lowered the rate with out increasing the money supply. Typically,lowering the rate makes the dollar weaker against the euro based on interest rate preference,but the move was counterintuitive. I can see nothing in the near future that supports the dollar and I expect it to retrace lower considering the fundamentals coming down the pike.
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    • Fri Mar 21st 15:04 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Global Precious Metals Correction: Healthy and Overdue
      Profit taking and the rise of the U.S. dollar (5 cents against the EURO) is probably responsible for the markt perception that gold should be corrected to reflect market risk. I havent heard any fat ladies singing that all is well in the U.S. The same factors supporting commodity increase and dollar devaluation are still in place except the Fed didnt print more money to solve the Bear Stearns failure. Will the treasury have to print more money to solve the liquidity crisis in the US banking system? Will the FED have to continue to lower the FED rate to cope with the recessionary risks?
      View article »
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