specks

Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

I just want to comment that there is so much noise as information available today that it's tough to sort out trash from truth.
Honestly?
I'm totally confused as to what's really happening!

2009 Economic Forecasts Ignore Demographic Shift

You know, it seems to me the problem is one of government fraud. This article is just another smoke screen of what's really going on. Hans Sennholz in his book, "Age of Inflation," talks about the dollar being worth, I believe, something like 8 cents. But guess what.... that was in 1979!!
What do you think it's really worth today?
It's like the media asking, when referring to the auto bailout, "Is X number of dollars enough?
Wrong question. What we should be asking is, " Which of these politicians should we hang FIRST?
We don't know whether to spend, save or just burn our money because we don't know what the incompetants are going to do next. I don't know about anyone else, but I'm telling you, we may be headed for a serious revolution when people figure out how they've been, and are, being duped.

Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

You know... that picture of the little girl puts everything into perspective!!
Doesn't she just seem to be thinking..." I wonder what the fed will do tomorrow?"

Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

ITB looks oversold short-term just like everything else. Peak of 22.50 to 15.50. Basic guideline is to chart out potential retracement of decline. Start with .33 then .50 then .67. That way you can figure reasonable profit for your system while minimizing loss if the market moves against you.
$7.00 x .33 = 2.31 + 15.50 = 17.81. Divided by 15.50 = 14.9% gain.
Don't forget trading fees.

Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

I'm far from an expert here but I've watched a couple of other market turns. And this time I really do think its different!
We are not in just a normal correction or business cycle. It is my opinion we are in the process of a global major trend change which will last for some time. Maybe a decade or so. There's a lot of house cleaning necessary worldwide.
Did anyone see the pictures of the collapsed buildings after the earthquake in China? I wonder how many buildings were built the same way just to get them up quickly and cheaply?

Wednesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

Looks like maybe oil has finally reached its zenith. If this observation is correct and that a decline is imminent, how low will it fall and how long will it take?
A .382 retracement should have oil land somewhere around $78.50. A more normal decline of .50 will rdeuce it to $63.50. And of course, the ultimate in investor FEAR will zoom it down to $40.50!!
What say ye analysts??

Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

Those were not on my page. I had several blanks. Anyway, I looked both up and note MACD looks okay on daily but not weekly. Also, if you check CCI, it is pretty much at the top. This is not to say they cannot go higher but in this market I tend to go with the TREND!
Good luck.

Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

There were only 2 things I saw with some positive looking momentum. First was the amex materials and the 2nd was the $.
That's pretty scary. When everything is moving down except the dollar, and the dollar has already been highly deflated in value through Fed action, then it looks to me as though we are truly in a deflationary period. I think they call this stagflation, do they not?

Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

I'm new to this analysis. What do the numbers represent on the "9's" chart?