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bill d
190 Comments
Crude Oil Prices: Bears Will Soon Win Out
Consider the following, grasshopper:
1. As long as there are buyers willing (and able) to pay the price - the price stays or goes UP. Car dealers always raise prices when they sell more cars - right ???
2. As long as there are speculators that are willing to gamble a small amount of money (margin) to make a lot of money the price will go UP .
Those that CONTROL supply/demand certainly affect prices but only to the extent of 1 & 2 above.
Think 1929 and the 70's and the old history adage.
Long on Canroys (thanks to Jack Y.) but getting edgy.
JetBlue Airways: Positioned to Soar Once Industry Conditions Improve
Maybe you are REALLY enthused about JBLU.
The Self-Defeating Oil Surge
"In the longer run, when we have cheap electricity from the above sources, hydrogen fuel cell technology will provide a future transportation revolution. This is probably 15-20 years away from any significant implementation."
I hope your belief that the greenies are going to influence the market is correct.
When oil starts back down watch how fast your alternative solutions follow the decline. We heard the same stuff in the 70's & 80's (and that was 30 - 40 years ago ) should have resulted in giant wind machines with propellers made of solar cells. Follow the money. And keep your FSLR shorts. The price of oil will be based on how competitive your alternative forms become - It costs even more to develop them than in the past and it is a longer term investment than most investors want to make. You/they are making money on the investments themselves right now - not the long term profits (if any). Why else would you be short FSLR ?
You sound too smart for this:
"I am overweighting investments in all areas of alternative energy. While solar is the spectacular performer right now, processed coal, advanced batteries and wind/wave turbines are also going to be profitable investments."
Unless you are very wealthy and young enough and can afford to wait. Your heirs may appreciate it.
Good luck - afraid we will all need it.
What's the Real Story With the Price of Crude Oil?
I don't have any idea how much it costs to store oil and we sure as hell don't know how much is being stored but as soon as that cost begins to affect the profit bottom line there will be a miraculous increase of supplies. There is NO shortage - demand may exceed supply (if you believe the figures - I don't) but until I see gas lines, rationing, etc., I'll still believe in TRUE supply & demand indicators.
The lines will be at the banks - a lot of people are going to lose a lot of money - think 1929 - speculators are actually using margin to invest. When the prices turn around - and they will - stay away from the phone. Those "calls" you'll be getting (pun intended) won't be happy ones unless your broker has jumped out of the window.
Blowing the Bubble Bigger
If I guaranteed you the price of oil would be down $5/bbl tomorrow - who do you think would be more active in market activity ?
1. Profit takers
2. Holders
3. Buyers
4. Sellers
Ans:
1. a few
2. a few
. a bunch
4. a big bunch
When you see #1 & 2 < #3, and #4 > the rest - you'll know the "bubble" will be deflating.
When I start seeing gas lines & rationing & stations closing I will know 2 things for sure:
There really IS more demand than supply AND the Dems have won the election and are controlling congress.
Options Trader: Friday Outlook
If only Saddam had not tried to steal Kuwait's oil.
If only he had not tried to kill Bush the 1st
If only Algore had not invented the Internet.
If only Florida could learn how to count votes.
Am looking forward to gas lines, odd/even days, license plates ending in odd or even, fill-up limits, closed gas stations - will really be great now that vehicles are way bigger with even bigger gas tanks.
Don't know how many of you remember the 70's but if the Dems win I suspect they will be back. At least if you listen to THEIR solutions.
A Self-Serving Non-Solution to Negative Equity in America
I've worked hard for everything I have - why in the hell should I be expected to bail out anyone because they were basically stupid, gullible, greedy, etc.
I never bought anything I couldn't afford and I worked until I could.
In the early days I saved until I could pay cash.
And you can bet your ass I was making a hell of a lot less money then any of you and all the "poor" idiots that that they were getting something for nothing.
If their poor kids are starving in this country I'll bet they haven't given up theri dope, booze or cars.
Let nature remove them from the gene pool - they won't be missed.
How's that for a hard hearted son of a bitch ?
And I probably donate as much or more to charity than most of you and if someone truly in need of help I don't hesitate.
Penn West Energy Trust: My $50 Price Target
PBT & PVX treating me well.
AAV is next and now I guess PWE.
Crude Oil to $150, Then Major Correction?
Good luck finding a buyer when it starts unless you think you will be the only one bailing. I guess someone has to start - any idea who will go first ?
Will Dividend ETFs Be Crushed By An Obama Presidency?
Options Trader: Wednesday Outlook
Who are they and do you have a position in or with this company ?
Microhoo Part Deux: Is Jerry Selling Out His Employees?
Wouldn't want them to lose those huge dividends or have to pay the huge taxes on those nice capital gains on the sale.
Options Trader: Tuesday Outlook
Cramer: How An Obama Win Would Impact Healthcare Stocks
Keep laughin.
What I Like About Dividend Achievers
Astoundingly unimpressive. I love dividends but if I can't do better than these I'll go back to CD's.
Am I missing something ????