Calling any move in gold correctly is always pure luck. There aren't too many fundamental factors you can look at other than sentiment (which is a very subjective task). It's not like a stock where you can build a model to try and determine earnings a few years out. That's why I hate trading gold. The only way to try and guess which way its going to go next is to look at what the price is doing now. A pointless, fruitless exercise in my opinion.
Good Times and Bad Times in Gold [View article]