prescient11

As Bank Industry Analysts Lose Jobs, Serious Blogs Take the Forefront

Thanks Reggie, I will. I think you've got another paid subscriber! You finally got me. Maybe you can tell me how stupid I am for being an ETFC long in this environment. argh.

As Bank Industry Analysts Lose Jobs, Serious Blogs Take the Forefront

Reggie, I thought you were done wth Seeking Alpa man? Your subscriber part of your blog is kind of whack, I keep trying to log in to no avail. My email is [e-mail] if you can help.

For those who don't know Reggie he's the best around, GGP is his crown jewel. He also called HIG and the other insurers and the downfall of the IBs. His analysis is the best. I shouldn't have closed my short on GGP in the $20s, and you shouldn't have closed it in the teens,wow!

Congrats on all the success man, you've earned it.

The Trouble with Rescues and Stimulus

I echo "I should know"'s comments completely. WFC didn't want the money. Should their shareholders suffer? The author should perhaps do her research.

Bigger is Not Better in Banking

Chris, this analysis does fail to appreciate the $300B housing bailout that was passed. What is the consideration of that? Always liked your work.

The Weakness of the Treasury's New Bailout Plan

Felix, the resident genius with "concerns". Really, man, why don't you just own up to it. No plan would be perfect. And they're taking preferred shares so they do not dilute the common. While it's not as much oversight as one would like, what do you expect them to do, FORCE healthy banks to accept this capitalization and then FORCE them to accept new board members, someone probably as dense and bureaucratic as yourself.

Listen, despite your constant cabal-like effort to communicate "concerns" about everything, this is the government giving you a big middle finger, saying, listen skippy, we, the Euros, everyone is backing our banks and that's it. So move along Felix, just move along man. You've been out of your league for some time.

The financial system will not fall, it appears, based on these broad guarantees, and I think the governments of the first-world nations should be applauded for their efforts in this regard. Let's just hope the lesson has been learned and once the bleeding is stopped they fix the disease.

Hank Paulson: Smartest Man in the Room

Do only doom and gloom freaks post here. I will say that I think Paulson has an idea of what this is. Do you morons really think that he and his lieutenants, who have been working for 24 hours straight for months, do not understand the problems.

Yes, all you are geniuses and Paulson knows nothing. The author may be a little too much in favor of Hank, but it's clear that Paulson has some plan. A lot better than what I've heard from the uber-bears. Most of which I see post again and again on these articles with nothing ever to say.

Did the FDIC Sabotage WaMu's Management and Erode Investor Confidence?

yes, FDIC limits need to be raised, at least $500k.

Worrying About Large-Deposit Bank Runs

Well well well Felix, I see that these SOBs are being investigated for aggressive short selling and CDS manipulation. Care to apologize to Dear John Thain now, or will you never own up to your own ignorance and mistakes.

Credit Default Swaps: The Show Isn't Over

You've got to look behind the data, as some "indices" are acting entirely irrational, the ABX index trades as if the subprime loans will default at a rate over 100%, that's not even possible.

An index is not the be all end all, and at many times can reflect trader's irrationalities as well. Something to monitor and be aware of, but not the true measure by any means.

Which Banks Will Survive?

IThinkBig, there we go, some actual discussion.

The $300B, obviously comes from the taxpayer, but it will be in the form of repackaged loans with an FHA guarantee.

Lender cuts the loan principal to 90%, issues a new FHA backed mortgage, and then can sell it in the market. Should be as liquid as a T-bill. Thus, the cash gets directly to where we desperately need it, these lenders' balance sheets. I think it will have a tremendous effect, especially with some of the biggies.

Which Banks Will Survive?

Jonathan swift, again, what a great comeback. How about writing titles like "Which Banks Will Survive?"

Can you not answer the question/point that I raised? If not, then why bother to respond. $300B is on its way. Now, do you have a point?

Which Banks Will Survive?

user 138602 and nyka,

where's the lack of analysis, damnit. sorry user if that offends you.

I made a point regarding the housing bill. Where's your counterpoint?

Thanks so much.

Which Banks Will Survive?

saltaway, respond to my point first. then we can talk.

Which Banks Will Survive?

Does this loser sit up at night thinking of what clever titles he can put out there that will grab attention? You got me, I clicked the link only to see your smug stupid face come up first thing.

Listen up skippy and listen up good, you may think you know what you're talking about, but in reality you fail to realize what's happened. Think for once damnit. Think beyond your limited capacity and the numbers you cherish. Are you stupid enough to really believe that the government is going to want to foot the bill for all the likely failures if what you profess is to take place. Of course they won't. That's why the government just injected $300B of liquidity into the banking system a la the housing bill.

Game, set and match. Go look for the sky to fall, as we're not there yet. But the smugness is really too much.

JPM: No Longer Immune to Credit Turmoil

They never were immune, who writes this tripe. MER caused this. Plain and simple. Even after this writedown, they are not done. Probably another $4-5B to mark down, if they are truly marking it to market. Kind of an oxymoron if there's no market. What a wonderful model. Can't believe the genius accountants could not figure another theory up.

Market becomes irrational, then your assets are worthless, then you have to sell your worthless assets at a fire sale to raise more capital, then you disrupt the market again.

Rinse and repeat.

Only the non-regulated can afford to jump in like vultures and pick the bones clean. Vultures are usually fat.