Seeking Alpha


Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
View 153972's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • 4 Takeaways From Chesapeake Energy's Q1 Earnings [View article]
    Shorting a company's stock, a country's currency, commodity, etc., can and has caused real damage to the stock price, currency valuation or commodity price. There are numerous examples of this occurring. Probably the most famous is George Soros shorting the English Pound.

    A defense against a successful equity short is an analyst will recommend the stock when it has hit a price point that they deem a value price point. When this occurs some investors will buy along side the analyst's recommendation. Another method is share buybacks by the company and/or it's executive officers which shows that the company is standing by it's shareholders and may hold the shorts at bay by providing price support for the stock. A third defense is a big investor disagrees with the short investors and publicly takes a position in the stock. A fourth option is the company could raise its dividend, causing the shorts to cover the dividend when it is paid. The best defense is reporting a good quarter that exceeds expectations.

    A short squeeze is when an event occurs that is unexpectedly positive good news for the shorted stock. When this happens most of the shorts have to sell their positions at a loss and may even go long to absorb their losses, which only exacerbates those that still hold the short position.

    I hope this helps.
    May 8, 2015. 10:24 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Chipotle Mexican Grill Trading At Premium Valuations? [View article]
    The author's conclusions on CMG's relatively high valuation is spot on.
    Apr 29, 2015. 07:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intuitive Surgical Returns To Growth, Sort Of [View article]
    When you discuss that it is the attorney's nature to sue to extract money, even when there has been no genuine malpractice, you are casting a wide net over a profession without a resemblance of facts. You do know that judges (attorneys) routinely throw out malpractice cases without merit? You do know that most attorneys will not take a malpractice case unless they think they can win the case or garner a settlement that provides a sum of money for their client(s) and themselves based upon the time invested and the merits of the case?

    You have also conveniently forgot to omit that doctors, hospitals, and their insurance companies are extremely well paid for their services as are medical equipment manufacturers and they are all represented by some of the best attorneys in the US to prevent malpractice and if they are sued. It is not as though the doctors, hospitals, etc., are left to their own devices when going through the litigation process.

    You have also omitted that some doctors, hospitals, pharma, medical equipment manufacturers obfuscate negative results of surgeries, etc. in the hope that they are not sued.
    Apr 28, 2015. 09:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford hits a new gear in Russia [View news story]
    Thank you for the link.
    Apr 25, 2015. 01:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Despite Margin Concerns, PPG Industries' Acquisitions Will Help It Deliver Upside [View article]
    Chuck Bunch has done a very good job at PPG as the CEO. With Toyota's recent announcement of entering Mexico and Ford adding a drive train and engine plant to Mexico, PPG's investment in Comex is looking even better.
    Apr 15, 2015. 08:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford hits a new gear in Russia [View news story]
    Tdot, I think J38... was discussing the Russian market.
    Apr 13, 2015. 03:44 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford hits a new gear in Russia [View news story]
    5 years from now this will appear to be a great investment by F into Russia assuming Putin does not enter the Baltics or invade the eastern states of the former USSR. Putin is a wild card in a game of Dr. Pepper poker where 10's 2's and 4's are wild.

    I don't think the cost-benefit analysis guys at F attended the meeting when F's execs opted to start production.
    Apr 11, 2015. 07:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investors React Negatively To Alcoa's Revenue Miss [View article]
    I read the AA conference call and came away impressed. I then read from the FT that the Chinese were about to boost aluminum and iron ore production thus increasing supply of both commodities.

    I'll pass on AA for now.
    Apr 10, 2015. 03:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Criteo Continues To Build A Pivotal Positioning In Automated Ad Targeting [View article]
    How did you know it was Criteo that is providing an ad for Orvis?
    Apr 7, 2015. 07:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed's Fisher brings attention to shadow banking again [View news story]
    Non-financials don't print money ex-nihilo so their risk appetite is less. The FED ought to monitor the sector but how can they regulate a sector that they don't have any leverage with?
    Mar 31, 2015. 02:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GM plans buyback to avoid proxy fight [View news story]
    Shouldn't GM save some of their cash in the event the bankruptcy judge rules that they are liable for prior defects before they filed bankruptcy?
    Mar 9, 2015. 08:46 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • McConnell vows no default on debt [View news story]
    Did McConnell talk to Boehner and the House Republican caucus?
    Mar 9, 2015. 08:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seventy Seven Energy: An Undervalued Oilfield Service Spin-Off With The Potential To Provide Asymmetric Returns [View article]
    Achilles Research:

    I agree with much of your sentiment after reading SSE's earning release. I've yet to read their conference call transcript or hear it.

    The reason I am writing is within the body of the earnings report is a discussion about rigs. SSE mentioned adding four new rigs in their Tier 1 group, which as I recall were Peake....

    I've read that the reason for the overall market rig diminution beside cuts in cap ex is the older rigs are not as productive as the newer rigs that are coming online and therefore some of the older rigs are being replaced by the new models.

    With this in mind, what percentage of these newer rigs does SSE have in the field as percentage of all their rigs?
    Mar 3, 2015. 02:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rocket Fuel -20.9% on revenue miss, very weak guidance [View news story]
    IMO it is too late for FUEL to right the ship regarding advertisers. Criteo developed this relationship a long time ago so FUEL will have to play major catch up. And since Criteo customers are renewing and increasing their ad buying per next quarter's guidance, FUEL will need to provide program ad buying that surpasses Criteo.

    Criteo has over 4 quarters of beating revenues on guidance and earning a profit. With this in mind, FUEL has an uphill battle that thus far has shown that it can't win against Criteo.

    FUEL was growing significantly passed analysts' expectations until this quarter and are now forecasting less growth next quarter than last years revenue. IMO they are not a growth story anymore.

    I sold this morning all shares that I owned.
    Feb 20, 2015. 02:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rocket Fuel -20.9% on revenue miss, very weak guidance [View news story]
    Time for me to take losses in this stock and sell. They are guiding lower from year or year next quarter and they won't provide guidance for the full year. OUCH!

    Criteo just reported and beat on revenue increase percentage, turned a profit had better margins, than FUEL then provided a better FY '15 guidance than expectations.

    I have to agree with kevn1111. This stock is not growing anymore like it should.
    Feb 19, 2015. 06:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment