John Thomas graduated with a bachelor’s degree in biochemistry with honors and a minor in mathematics from the University of California at Los Angeles (U.C.L.A.) in 1974. He moved to Tokyo, Japan where he was employed by a medium-sized Japanese securities house. Thomas became fluent in Japanese and was trained as a domestic Japanese research analyst and money manager. In 1977 Thomas became the Tokyo correspondent for The Economist magazine and the Financial Times of London. Thomas traveled extensively throughout Asia, interviewing premiers, presidents and prime ministers, writing on macroeconomic trends, and producing countless features about individual companies. Thomas witnessed China’s cultural revolution and was one of the first American correspondents to enter China prior to the U.S. normalization of relations. Thomas authored several books about the Japanese financial system still in use by business schools today. In 1983 Thomas joined a top US investment bank in New York with the mandate to develop an international equity business for the firm. In 1985 he moved to London, England to establish a presence in Japanese equity derivatives for the firm. In 1989 Thomas was appointed a director of one of the big three Swiss Banks with a mandate to design sophisticated hedging strategies for the bank’s considerable holdings of Japanese equity warrants and convertible bonds. With the invasion of Kuwait by Iraq, Thomas was drafted by the US Marine Corp to serve as a pilot. In 1990 Thomas became a pioneer in the nascent hedge fund industry by founding the first dedicated Japanese hedge fund. The firm managed segregated accounts for a variety of government agencies, banks, and high net worth individuals in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. After a decade of spectacular absolute and relative performance he sold his firm in 1999 and retired to manage his personal investments in the oil and gas industry. Seeing incredible opportunities in the marketplace and yearning for the adrenaline and satisfaction offered by active management, Thomas launched a new hedge fund in 2007. In his free time Thomas is a commercial aircraft pilot, long distance hiker and mountain climber, wine collector and avid photographer.
Used to own only high grade bonds and mutual funds with low risk until the recession. Since then I've invested mainly to stocks with occasionally using derivatives to leverage or protect myself from downside risk. I am currently pursuing my master's degree in finance.
Dana Blankenhorn http://www.danablankenhorn.com has been a business journalist since 1978, and a futurist all his life.He warned about the coming Houston oil collapse in 1979. He began making a living on the Internet in 1985. He launched the first e-commerce daily for CMP in 1994, warned of the coming dot-bomb at a-clue.com in 1997 and began covering the Internet of Things in 2003.Along the way he's written for a host of newspapers, magazines, news services and Web sites. Most recently he was at TheStreet.com, covering technology and investments. He still has time for freelance assignments. He lives in Atlanta.
Executive Director of SPVInvestor Research, Inc.
I am evaluating solar companies based on their operational, financial
and growth factors. I can be found on our forum at
My professional background is in distribution, logistics, profit and loss management
within supply chain at the distribution level.
I am an individual investor a few years from retirement, an engineer and have an MBA. I worked overseas the majority of the past 10 years working overseas and filled most of my travel and spare time reading about investing, finance, economics and forecasting. I vary my asset allocation according to the business cycle.
Oscar has been passionate about investing since he was 9. He loves talking business, stocks and investment ideas with everyone. He sees the investment process as a life-long learning opportunity in a game setting.
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Aswath Damodaran is the Kerschner Family Chair Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University. He teaches the corporate finance and equity valuation courses in the MBA program. He received his MBA and Ph.D from the University of California at Los Angeles. His research interests lie in valuation, portfolio management and applied corporate finance.
He has written three books on equity valuation (Damodaran on Valuation, Investment Valuation, The Dark Side of Valuation) and two on corporate finance (Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice, Applied Corporate Finance: A User’s Manual). He has co-edited a book on investment management with Peter Bernstein (Investment Management) and has a book on investment philosophies (Investment Philosophies). His newest book on portfolio management is titled Investment Fables and was released in 2004. His latest book is on the relationship between risk and value, and takes a big picture view of how businesses should deal with risk, and was published in 2007.
He was a visiting lecturer at the University of California, Berkeley, from 1984 to 1986, where he received the Earl Cheit Outstanding Teaching Award in 1985. He has been at NYU since 1986, received the Stern School of Business Excellence in Teaching Award (awarded by the graduating class) in 1988, 1991, 1992, 1999, 2001, 2007, 2008 and 2009, and was the youngest winner of the University-wide Distinguished Teaching Award (in 1990). He was profiled in Business Week as one of the top twelve business school professors in the United States in 1994.
Editors' Note: Seeking Alpha monitors Dr. Damodaran blog and posts relevant articles on his behalf.
Jason Ditz is the News Editor for Antiwar.com. He has 10 years of experience in foreign policy research and his work has appeared in Forbes, Toronto Star, Minneapolis Star-Tribune, Providence Journal, Washington Times and the Detroit Free Press.
I hold a Graduate Diploma in Applied Finance and Investment (similar to CFA), and a Graduate Diploma in Financial Planning.
I have 30 years of personal investing experience, and 15 years of professional financial advising experience, including broking experience at ETrade Australia, 7 years as a Senior Financial Planner at Commonwealth Bank of Australia and 8 years at High Net Worth Financial Advising. My business is a mix of young clients growing their wealth, pre-retirees, and retirees wanting income, some growth, and safety.As a global investor I use a macro thematic approach searching for good value and/or high growth. I search the globe for great investments with a focus on Asia, Emerging and Frontier Markets as well as "trend investing". I assess a countries demographics and growth potential. Some trends I currently follow include Chinese shares going global, the rising Asian middle class, Electric Vehicles, Renewable Energy, Energy Storage, Smartphones, 3D printing, and personal robots.
I also love to invest in income producing investments that can grow over time and benefit from compounding....Included here are the near monopoly businesses such as the Stock Exchanges, and the high quality income producers.
I use direct shares, ETFs, mutual funds and some direct property investments.
Founder of Old School Value (www.oldschoolvalue.com).
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Bert Dohmen is a professional trader, investor, and analyst. As founder of Dohmen Capital Research group and newly established Dohmen Strategies, LLC, he has been giving his analysis and forecasts to traders and investors for over 38 years. He has been a special guest on CNBC, Fox Business News, and CNN among others, in addition to having his analysis featured in some of the best known and reputable investment publications including the Wall Street Journal, Money Magazine, Barron’s, Future’s Magazine, and Forbes.
Dohmen’s firms currently offer 4 highly valuable services for serious investors and traders, including the award-winning Wellington Letter, offering fundamental and technical analysis of the economies and investment markets. In addition, The Smarte Trader and Fearless ETF Trader is ideal for astute short-term traders, and the exciting new HedgeFolios program for active investors looking to protect their portfolios and profit from market downturns.
ValueWalk has gained popularity among all circles for its breaking stories on hedge funds, and investigative reports on investments by major funds.
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Wall Street Forensics - Chief Research Analyst www.wallstreetforensics.com Instavest Lead Investor - You can follow my personal trades and invest your own money with me via Instavest www.instavest.com My focus is on ground breaking technology and the companies that will deliver them in the future. I have managed a family portfolio since 2008 that has been focused on growth and income generation. You can follow me on twitter @WallStForensics
My Wall Street Forensics weekly newsletter provides in-depth and analysis of tech companies. Individually stock picks are recommended portfolio weightings and price targets. Investment picks may range from emerging technology companies that are highly speculative stocks and come with very high risks and very high rewards or momentum stocks that are more mature and come with downside risks but potential explosive upside potential. Stock picks are held captive for Wall Street Forensic subscribers for weeks or months before they are released to the public. This gives subscribers an advantage to get in early before the general public is alerted of my investment picks.
I am a strategic leader with over 13 years of experience in Internal Audit, Accounting, Finance and independent investment research for multi-billion dollar corporations with a demonstrated record of achievement and understanding of business processes, corporate strategy, financial month end close and forecasting.
I have a financial oriented mind with the ability to understand technology, operations and the financial impact of change on an organization’s income statement. My research efforts are focused on technology and the relationship of various data inputs to assemble conclusions and various scenario outcomes. I have been recognized as an independent research expert in technology specifically related to Apple and Intel by various media outlets including The Wall Street Journal, Forbes, USA Today and CNN Money.
My general area of focus is on technology companies. Specifically, technology companies that will help improve and are improving and impacting our daily lives. I enjoy taking a deep dive into up and coming tech companies or companies that are enduring product or industry transition.
Commodity broker 79-81 I discovered the Gospel In July 1979 (and re-discovered it again in April 2004 -after the G.6 release was dis-continued - actually created the RR time series in the late 1980's). Dr. Leland Pritchard "You have a predictive device nobody has hit on yet" - 9/8/81 My prediction for AAA corporate yields for 1981 was 15.48%. AAA Corporate yields rose to 15.49%. I should receive the Nobel Prize. The data should be classified as "top secret" by the U.S. Gov't. I.e., I let Aladdin out of the Lamp. See: 1938 Member Bank Reserve Requirements - Analysis of Committee Proposal (transactions velocity) http://bit.ly/M0JB7X The outstanding volume of the FRB_NY "trading desk's" 'eligible collateral' fell during the Great Depression. Whereas 'eligible collateral' was multiplied thru colossal Federal deficit financing (where the Gov’t spends much more than it expects to receive), during the Great Recession (but Bernanke still chose to "push on a string"). As Greenspan pontificated in “The Map & the Territory”: “The laws of physics…once identified, rarely have to be revised”: Rates-of-change (roc’s) in monetary flows (our means-of-payment money times its transactions rate-of-turnover), equal roc’s in all transactions in Irving Fisher’s “equation of exchange”: (MVt = PT). Roc’s in nominal-gDp are a proxy for all economic transactions. The lags for monetary flows (MVt), i.e. the proxies for (1) real-growth, & for (2) inflation indices have been mathematical constants for the last 100 years. However, the FED's target (interest rates), is indirect, varies widely over time, & in magnitude. President Wilson signed “The Federal Reserve Act” into law on December 23, 1913. The Act, "Provided for the establishment of Federal Reserve Banks, to furnish an elastic currency, to afford means of rediscounting commercial paper, to establish a more effective supervision of banking in the United States, and for other purposes". "It was anticipated that credit extended by the Federal Reserve Banks to commercial banks would rise and fall with seasonal and longer term variations in business activity" "Seasonality" (principally the holidays), is the result of the FOMC’s seasonal mal-adjustments (& has its roots in the fallacious "Real Bills Doctrine”). The FOMC, through its "open market power", has the capability of either adding or subtracting to the volume of money in circulation. But the non-bank public determines its mix (the volume of currency vs. bank deposits). This policy is reflected by changes in the Depository Financial Institution’s (DFI), required reserve balances. RRs are based on transaction type accounts 30 days prior. Reserve balances are driven by consumer's & business' payment & settlements. Thus RRs provide the seasonal factor map (economic time series’ cyclical trend). This is inviolate & sacrosanct. Some calls: (1) flow5 (2/26/07; 14:34:35MT - usagold.com msg#: 152672) Suckers Rally If gold doesn't fall, then there's a new paradigm (2) Reply #187 on Jul 21, 2011, 8:31pm » the stock market should be topping & in the process of a downtrend (3) flow5 Comments (3049) As it now stands, the market falls until Oct. Then expect a very strong rally. Everybody should double up in Nov. & Dec. (i.e., futures, options, margin, etc.) 5 Aug 2011, 09:04 (4) Written on Mar 30 11:31 am prior to the MAY 6th FLASH CRASH: "Contrary to economic theory, & Nobel laureate Dr. Milton Friedman, monetary lags are not "long & variable". The lags for monetary flows (MVt), i.e., the proxies for (1) real-growth, and for (2) inflation indices, are historically, always, fixed in length (mathematical constants). However the lag for nominal gdp (the FED's target??), varies widely." Assuming no quick countervailing stimulus: 2010 jan..... 0.54.... 0.25 top feb..... 0.50.... 0.10 mar.... 0.54.... 0.08 apr..... 0.46.... 0.09 top may.... 0.41.... 0.01 stocks fall Been saying this for the last 6 months. Should see shortly. Stock market makes a double top in Jan & Apr. Then the real-output of final goods & services falls/inverts from (9) to (1) from Apr to May. Recent history indicates that this will be a marked, short, one month drop, in rate-of-change for real-output (-8). So stocks follow the economy down (with yields moving sympathetically?)" (5) flow5 Message #10 - 05/03/10 07:30 PM The markets usually turn (pivot) on May 5th (+ or - 1 day). (6) POSTED: Dec 13 2007 06:55 PM | The Commerce Department said retail sales in Oct 2007 increased by 1.2% over Oct 2006, & up a huge 6.3% from Nov 2006. 10/1/2007,,,,,,,-0.47,,,,,,, -0.22 * temporary bottom 11/1/2007,,,,,,, 0.14,,,,,,, -0.18 12/1/2007,,,,,,, 0.44,,,,,,,-0.23 1/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.59,,,,,,, 0.06 2/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.45,,,,,,, 0.10 3/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.06,,,,,,, 0.04 4/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.04,,,,,,, 0.02 5/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.09,,,,,,, 0.04 6/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.20,,,,,,, 0.05 7/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.32,,,,,,, 0.10 8/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.15,,,,,,, 0.05 9/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.00,,,,,,, 0.13 10/1/2008,,,,,,, -0.20,,,,,,, 0.10 * possible recession 11/1/2008,,,,,,, -0.10,,,,,,, 0.00 * possible recession 12/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.10,,,,,,, -0.06 * possible recession Trajectory as predicted: (7) 12-16-12, 01:50 PM #1 flow5 "We’re close to seeing the real power of OMOs. R-gDp is likely to accelerate earlier & faster than anyone now expects. The roc in M*Vt before any new stimulus is already above average. With low inflation (given some deficit resolution), Jan-Apr could be a zinger" (8) June's reversal will end the bull market that began in the early 80's. And it will not be because Operation Twist ends (although its end will force yields higher). 20 May 2012, 03:04 PMReply (9) This propelled nominal gNp to 19.2% in the 1st qtr 1981, the FFR to 22%, & AAA Corporates to 15.49%. My prediction for AAA corporate yields for 1981 was 15.48%.
Dr. El-Erian is Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz and member of its International Executive Committee. He chairs President Obama's Global Development Council, is a Financial Times Contributing Editor, a Bloomberg View columnist and author of the NYT/WSJ best seller "When Markets Collide."
Dr. El-Erian formerly served as CEO and co-CIO of PIMCO, the global investment management company. He re-joined PIMCO at the end of 2007 after serving for two years as president and CEO of Harvard Management Company, the entity that manages Harvard’s endowment and related accounts.
Dr. El-Erian also served as a member of the faculty of Harvard Business School. He first joined PIMCO in 1999 and was a senior member of PIMCO's portfolio management and investment strategy group.
Before coming to PIMCO, Dr. El-Erian was a managing director at Salomon Smith Barney/Citigroup in London and before that, he spent 15 years at the International Monetary Fund in Washington, D.C.
Dr. El-Erian has published widely on international economic and finance topics. His book, "When Markets Collide," won the Financial Times/Goldman Sachs 2008 Business Book of the Year and was named a book of the year by The Economist and one of the best business books of all time by the Independent (UK). He was named to Foreign Policy’s list of “Top 100 Global Thinkers” for 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012.
Dr. El-Erian has served on several boards and committees, including the U.S. Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee, the International Center for Research on Women, the Peterson Institute for International Economics and the IMF's Committee of Eminent Persons. He is currently a board member of the NBER, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Cambridge in America. He chairs the Microsoft Investment Advisory Board.
He holds a master's degree and doctorate (economics) from Oxford and received his bachelor and master degrees from Cambridge. He is an Honorary Fellow of Queens' College, Cambridge University.
James Picerno is a financial journalist who has been writing about finance and investment theory for more than twenty years. He writes for trade magazines read by financial professionals and financial advisers. Over the years, he’s written for the Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, Bloomberg Markets, Mutual Funds, Modern Maturity, Investment Advisor, Reuters, and his popular finance blog, The CapitalSpectator.
Visit: The Capital Spectator (www.capitalspectator.com)
Civil engineer using nurtured logical predictive ability to increase my retirement accounts and thereby recover somewhat from the one two punch of a divorce (in 2007 I borrowed to settle and keep real estate) and real estate downturn (2008 my real estate went underwater).
Started investing in stocks in mid-2013 with $100k in a Roth IRA. Dropped to $69k, up to $500k, down to $105k, up to $670k, down to $315k, up to $850k. Goal is $4m by end of 2015. I am more than half way there having achieved an 8.5 bagger (end of 2015), I only need another 5 bagger to exceed my goal. TAX FREE.
"A man who follows an independent and contrary path has no guarantee of making money… but a man who follows the great mass of conventional wisdom is practically guaranteed that he will not."
Riches are made through focus and concentration on a few stocks. Riches are kept through diversification . . .
Current investments: RiteAid and Intel LEAPS
LEAPS for Fun and Profit: service only available to family and close friends :-)
Don't try what I am doing without your own extensive research.
Michael Boyd spent considerable time working for an RIA, structuring client accounts, researching stocks/bonds, and performing due diligence on separately managed accounts. His career changed gears when he shifted roles into a major investment bank, at various times supporting the mortgage-backed securities, derivatives, and ADR trade desks. He now works in entity oversight and control, identifying areas of weakness, resolving risk, and maintaining regulatory compliance across Settlements, Asset Servicing, and FX operations.
As for trading style, Michael leans towards small/mid-cap companies, as he believes better risk-adjusted returns are available for astute stock-pickers there. Firmly contrarian, he looks to buy out-of-favor securities that have an opportunity to revalue in the medium-term (one year to five year timeframe).
Collin Moshman is a professional poker player with an honors degree in mathematics from the California Institute of Technology. He is the author of best-selling poker books Sit 'N Go Strategy and The Math of Holdem.
Collin invests in statistically undervalued microcaps, focusing particularly on the international markets. He looks for strong balance sheets, insider buying, and simple investment theses.
Douglas Tengdin, CFA is a portfolio manager and investment analyst living in Hanover, NH. He has worked in the investment industry since 1974, when started as a mail-boy for a regional municipal underwriter in Minneapolis, Minnesota. He has managed portfolios in Boston; Providence, Burlington, VT; and Tunis, Tunisia.
He is currently the Chief Investment Officer for Charter Trust Company, a New Hampshire-based Wealth Management firm with over $1.6 billion in assets. His daily blog has been published since 2007. He has several radio shows around New Hampshire, and his daily thoughts are published on his web-site.
He received his CFA Charter in 1992, and is an active volunteer with the CFA Institute. He was the founding President of the Vermont CFA Society.
I focus on investments in the oil & gas sector with an eye for dividend income and long-term capital appreciation. I typically allocate a portion of my own portfolio and devote some of my Seeking Alpha articles to small and medium sized companies offering compelling risk/reward propositions.
I am an engineer, not a qualified investment advisor. While the information and data presented in this article were obtained from company documents and/or sources believed to be reliable, they have not been independently verified. Therefore, I cannot guarantee its accuracy. I advise investors conduct their own research and/or consult a qualified investment advisor. I explicitly disclaim any liability that may arise from investment decisions you make based on this article. Thanks for reading and I wish you much success – Michael Fitzsimmons.
As a geo-scientist with 35 year as a professional and executive in oil and gas companies to create value on projects through evaluation and valution analysis. Currently starting a technology driven conventional oil company during times of low cost to ensure each project is economically viable. Especially interested in turning around distressed oil company through technical and financial engineering process.
Consultant in the economics of renewable energy retrofitting - moving energy from liabilities to assets. Passionate student of the business scene, particularly commodities, currently not an active investor. Author, translator, blogger. Trading experience is more commodities than stocks.
Robert Barone, along with Joshua Barone, founded Universal value Advisors (UVA) in 2005. He is currently the firm’s economist as well as a wealth and portfolio manager. Mr. Barone holds a Ph.D. in economics (Georgetown University) and is nationally known for his blogs, many of which are posted on TheStreet.com, at the Minyanville blog site, or at Forbes. He is often quoted in the financial press, and writes a column every other week for Reno’s local newspaper, the Reno Gazette Journal.
In his career, he has been a Professor of Finance (University of Nevada), a community bank CEO (Comstock Bancorp), a Director of the Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco where he served as its Chair in 2004, and is currently a Director of CSAA Insurance Company (a AAA Insurance Company) where he chairs the Finance and Investment Committee. In 2007-2009 he served as Chairman of the Board for that entity. He also currently sits on the Boards of AAA Northern California, Nevada, and Utah (the AAA Auto club) and Allied Mineral Products, Columbus, OH, America’s strongest refractory company.
Ivan Martchev is an investment specialist with Navellier Private Client Group. Previously, Ivan served as editorial director at InvestorPlace Media. Ivan was editor of Louis Rukeyser's Mutual Funds Newsletter and associate editor of Personal Finance Newsletter. Ivan is also co-author of The Silk Road to Riches (Financial Times Press). The book provided analysis of geopolitical issues and investment strategy in natural resources and emerging markets with an emphasis on Asia. The book also correctly predicted the collapse in the U.S. real estate market, the rise of precious metals, and the resulting increased investor interest in emerging markets. Ivan’s commentaries have been published by MSNBC, The Motley Fool and others. Currently Ivan is a weekly editor of Navellier’s Market Mail and a contributor to Marketwatch.
Private investor seeks value with exponential growth potential. I share my opinions freely. Do your due diligence, seek professional advice if you feel you need it. I prefer to be long and highly concentrated as I take the time to pick winners.
I started my career working for a boutique consulting firm that was acquired by a Big 6 accounting firm to complement its management consulting group (back then there were the Big 8). Later I took a position with a Fortune 200 company. I've chosen to spend the last part of my career working at a small college, focusing on my economic and market interests. Most of my research and resulting analysis come from my coursework in which I try to help my students see the "big picture" and draw connections between economic events.
I've developed the Econ P.I. website to accurately describe economic conditions and determine how financial markets might be impacted. I do not have an agenda to push. Rather, I'm interested in determining what drives markets and identifying emerging trends.
David Moenning is Chief Investment Officer at Sowell Management Services, a registered investment advisor with more than $500 million under management. Sowell emphasizes an MPD (Modern Portfolio Diversification) approach to portfolio design which diversifies client holdings not only across asset classes but also by strategy, manager, and investment methodology. Dave began his investment career in 1980 and has been an independent money manager since 1987. Thus, Dave has been live on the firing line and investing for a living for nearly 30 years.
Jeff is the principal of Kronos Management, a specialist in energy project development and investment advisory. He holds the FINRA Series 3 and is currently managing a family portfolio with a focus on commodities and currencies.