Talk about gloom and doom and this regardless of who wins the elections come Nov. Time to buy protection on the S& P which has been on a tear since March 09.
I'm a Canadian investor holding on to my POT shares and expecting either BHP to raise its offer in mid November or some white knight to emerge and make a more substantial offer for the POT board to recommend acceptance of the Offer. In the present Ag environment, POT is worth more than the $ 130.00 presently on the table. Even if BHP withdraws its offer, the shareholders are better off staying put.
Thanks for the definition of stagflation. I was trying to express some generally accepted views regarding supply and demand issues for commodities and materials whose price should not go up in times of depression or recession because of lack of demand. I suppose that is the paradox of Stagflation
But I still can't understand the stagflation phenomenon. Why would the price of these things still go up if the demand from business activity is stagnant?
When did the price of these commodities come back down in the 70's. Surerely it couldn't have been when the economy picked up again. What I mean is what brought an end to this stagflation and what was it follwed by a deflationary or an inflationary period?
How will the price of all commodities and materials inflate if the economy is headed for a ''downturn that will surpass the one experienced in the great depression?''
Why would the price of copper, steel, gold , silver , platimum etc. if the world economy is headed for armagedon?
Potash And BHP Billiton: A Look at How Game Is Playing Out [View article]
Since the BHP bid AGU and MOS the other partners of POT in Campotex have been outperforming POT.
Unless BHP comes up with a better offer thant the present $130.00 either a white knight will a la Sinochem will come to scoop POT or perhaps the three amigos will merge to prevent BHP from stealing POT.
The question is will the CDN and Saskatchewan provincial govts approve a buyout by the chinese.
Considering that Canada has already approved foreign buyout of some prize assets such as Alcan, Inco, Falconbridge etc. they can't refuse this time simply because the buyers are Chinese.
As a POT shareholder, I'm waiting for a better price either from BHP or from another suitor.
Potash: Should I Stay or Should I Go? [View article]
According to a recent article in the Globe and Mail: ''The consensus estimate for EBITDA at Potash Corp. over the coming two years averages about $3 billion. In the current lending environment, bankers say a lending syndicate could probably be talked into about 3.5 times that in long-term debt, or about $10.5 billion. If the money is coming from Chinese lenders, perhaps even more would be available''.
The hangup at the present time is political and not economic. The Canadian Federal govt. and the Saskatchewan govt. in particular, are apprehensive about letting this commodity fall into chinese hands.
However, since Canada has already allowed Alcan, Inco and Falconbridge to fall into foreign hands in the past, they will be hardpressed to refuse a chinese entity to purchase POT at a fair price.
Potash: Should I Stay or Should I Go? [View article]
Potash Corp. is capable of assessing the value of its shares better than anyone. Right now they are telling shareholders to wait for a higher bid. This higher bid could come from entities other than BHP. Obviously, if BHP is really interested in POT, they will have to raise their bid at least to the current price.
the 5 market leaders as of May 2010 are RIMM (41.7%) Apple (24.4%), Microsoft (MSFT) (13.2%), Google (13%) and Palm/HPQ (4.8%).
I love it when everyone in the US refers to RIMM 41% market share and still consider it a has been.
A little American bombast maybe? RIMM is only now penetrating foreign markets like China, India etc. This ids where the future lies my amarican friends and even if Generation Entitlement still prefers the Iphone for the silly Applications business people still love the security of RIMM.
For the sake of disclosure I don't own RIMM stock.
Commodities Week: Oil and Copper Focus on Upside Risks, Gold Unchanged Despite Investor Liquidation [View article]
If the vaults at GLD don't include as much physical as the contracts represent isn't that a positive for the price of Gold as they will need to purchase Gold in order to meet the redemptions?
Two Charts That Show How Apple Has Humiliated the Cellphone Industry [View article]
For all you Apple Fan's who have been dissing and shorting RIMM lately, here is a link with an in depth analysis that may make you think twice about writing a eulogy for Reasearch in motion, a stock that is making value investors drool lately. blogs.forbes.com/inves.../
How Bad Will This Market Get? [View article]
Ags Go Wild After Crop Report [View article]
Even if BHP withdraws its offer, the shareholders are better off staying put.
The Fed's Hail Mary [View article]
Thanks for the definition of stagflation. I was trying to express some generally accepted views regarding supply and demand issues for commodities and materials whose price should not go up in times of depression or recession because of lack of demand. I suppose that is the paradox of Stagflation
But I still can't understand the stagflation phenomenon. Why would the price of these things still go up if the demand from business activity is stagnant?
When did the price of these commodities come back down in the 70's. Surerely it couldn't have been when the economy picked up again.
What I mean is what brought an end to this stagflation and what was it follwed by a deflationary or an inflationary period?
Thanks for any explanation you can provide.
The Fed's Hail Mary [View article]
Why would the price of copper, steel, gold , silver , platimum etc. if the world economy is headed for armagedon?
Am I missing something here?
Is There a Lesson for Potash in NB Power Vote? [View article]
If no one raised an eyebrow when we sold Inco to VALE, Falconbrige to Xtrata and Alcan to RIO Tinto, why should it be any different today with POT?
Where were these protectionists when the precendent was set with the sale of these valuable Canadian assets in the recent past?
Potash And BHP Billiton: A Look at How Game Is Playing Out [View article]
Unless BHP comes up with a better offer thant the present $130.00 either a white knight will a la Sinochem will come to scoop POT or perhaps the three amigos will merge to prevent BHP from stealing POT.
The question is will the CDN and Saskatchewan provincial govts approve a buyout by the chinese.
Considering that Canada has already approved foreign buyout of some prize assets such as Alcan, Inco, Falconbridge etc. they can't refuse this time simply because the buyers are Chinese.
As a POT shareholder, I'm waiting for a better price either from BHP or from another suitor.
Potash: Should I Stay or Should I Go? [View article]
''The consensus estimate for EBITDA at Potash Corp. over the coming two years averages about $3 billion. In the current lending environment, bankers say a lending syndicate could probably be talked into about 3.5 times that in long-term debt, or about $10.5 billion. If the money is coming from Chinese lenders, perhaps even more would be available''.
The hangup at the present time is political and not economic.
The Canadian Federal govt. and the Saskatchewan govt. in particular, are apprehensive about letting this commodity fall into chinese hands.
However, since Canada has already allowed Alcan, Inco and Falconbridge to fall into foreign hands in the past, they will be hardpressed to refuse a chinese entity to purchase POT at a fair price.
Potash: Should I Stay or Should I Go? [View article]
Have Analysts Been Too Bullish on Potash Corp.? [View article]
What is Research in Motion Worth? [View article]
I love it when everyone in the US refers to RIMM 41% market share and still consider it a has been.
A little American bombast maybe? RIMM is only now penetrating foreign markets like China, India etc. This ids where the future lies my amarican friends and even if Generation Entitlement still prefers the Iphone for the silly Applications business people still love the security of RIMM.
For the sake of disclosure I don't own RIMM stock.
Research In Motion Gets Torched; Wall Street Hates Uncertainty [View article]
8 More Reasons Why a Double Dip Is Coming [View article]
Commodities Week: Oil and Copper Focus on Upside Risks, Gold Unchanged Despite Investor Liquidation [View article]
China, The Mother of All Grey Swans [View article]
Two Charts That Show How Apple Has Humiliated the Cellphone Industry [View article]
blogs.forbes.com/inves.../