Prophet Bernanke Plans for Inflation [View article]
Marc Faber has been talking about inflation for a while. Here is what he said in June. Had you bought commodities in June, Prophet Faber would have led you to 30 - 80% losses, depending upon what commodity you bought. And if you bought Japanese stocks, his other recommendation, uh oh...
"By Patrick Rial and Lynn Thomasson
June 24 (Bloomberg) -- Japanese stocks, Asian real estate and commodities are investors' best bets as faster inflation erodes returns in the rest of the world's markets, said investor Marc Faber, author of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report.
``Demand for commodities and oil will not vanish.'' Faber said at a conference in Tokyo. ``The shift in demand that drove up commodity prices is not going to go away.''
Record prices for commodities have accelerated inflation around the world and lifted shares of raw material and energy producers. Oil more than doubled since the beginning of last year, while products including coal, rice and fertilizer also reached record highs in 2008.
Faber, who told investors to buy gold as the metal began a seven-year rally, predicted inflation may boost Japanese share prices and Asian property will benefit as more people gain access to mortgages.
Artificial U.S. Dollar Rally Is Coming to an End [View article]
kotika, The author is not comparing the Dollar to the Euro; in fact, if you read the article to the end, he admits the possibility that Europe will be worse of than the United States. He is advocating for Asian currencies, in the belief that global economic power is going to shift. That, in my opinion, is undeniable; even if the U.S. remains an economic superpower, as I believe it may (and hope it does), Asia, in relative terms, is undervalued compared to future potential. And some of their currencies (and I don't mean the Japanese Yen) are severely undervalued.
Is Jim Cramer Right? Is Apple Really a Market Barometer? [View article]
I think Cramer may have been speaking of Apple's predictive value. Simultaneous price correlation and the other tools you use would be useless to assess this metric. Instead, I would use a delay of one day and assess AAPL's price correlation with the SP, then 2 days and so on up to 5 days. Then I would do the same on a weekly chart. That is one way of measuring predictive value.
The Market's Disassociation with Reality [View article]
"Let's face it, there have been plenty of market crashes, where the stock indexes fell by more than 40%, and we aren't even close to that."
Really? Now that is really stretching the numbers.
Check your math, sir. From peak to trough - from October 2007 to October 10, 2008, the SP 500 fell from 1560 to 844. 40% off of 1560 is SP 936. We fell 46% from peak to the recent trough.
Why not just point out what's questionable about this article instead of making ad hominem attacks?
Real Disposable income obviously increased as a result of the stimulus payments. How is that news? It would be nice if you had some predictions on what would happen to Real Disposable Income (RDI) AFTER the stimulus payments are done.
Take a look at this graph from the Government BEA, people. It may be more helpful:
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Crude Reality: How Long Can Oil Stay Down? [View article]
Small Cap ETF Underperformance Signals Continuing Investor Fears [View article]
What Will Happen If America Returns to an Historical Savings Rate? [View article]
This is well thought out and carefully written. Thank you for sharing.
Prophet Bernanke Plans for Inflation [View article]
"By Patrick Rial and Lynn Thomasson
June 24 (Bloomberg) -- Japanese stocks, Asian real estate and commodities are investors' best bets as faster inflation erodes returns in the rest of the world's markets, said investor Marc Faber, author of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report.
``Demand for commodities and oil will not vanish.'' Faber said at a conference in Tokyo. ``The shift in demand that drove up commodity prices is not going to go away.''
Record prices for commodities have accelerated inflation around the world and lifted shares of raw material and energy producers. Oil more than doubled since the beginning of last year, while products including coal, rice and fertilizer also reached record highs in 2008.
Faber, who told investors to buy gold as the metal began a seven-year rally, predicted inflation may boost Japanese share prices and Asian property will benefit as more people gain access to mortgages.
Artificial U.S. Dollar Rally Is Coming to an End [View article]
The author is not comparing the Dollar to the Euro; in fact, if you read the article to the end, he admits the possibility that Europe will be worse of than the United States. He is advocating for Asian currencies, in the belief that global economic power is going to shift. That, in my opinion, is undeniable; even if the U.S. remains an economic superpower, as I believe it may (and hope it does), Asia, in relative terms, is undervalued compared to future potential. And some of their currencies (and I don't mean the Japanese Yen) are severely undervalued.
John Hussman: The Market Is Not in Uncharted Territory [View article]
Stock Market: Is the Rally 'Real?' [View article]
Is Jim Cramer Right? Is Apple Really a Market Barometer? [View article]
Buffett Likes to Be Early; Don't Rush to Follow [View article]
The Market's Disassociation with Reality [View article]
Really? Now that is really stretching the numbers.
Check your math, sir. From peak to trough - from October 2007 to October 10, 2008, the SP 500 fell from 1560 to 844. 40% off of 1560 is SP 936. We fell 46% from peak to the recent trough.
Rally Now, Wheels Come Off Later - Faber [View article]
Agree that the credit markets will present great opportunity. How do you invest in those -- as a small investor?
Alternative Buyers for Lehman (and Not Just the Usual Suspects) [View article]
Real Disposable Income Up in Q2 [View article]
Real Disposable income obviously increased as a result of the stimulus payments. How is that news? It would be nice if you had some predictions on what would happen to Real Disposable Income (RDI) AFTER the stimulus payments are done.
Take a look at this graph from the Government BEA, people. It may be more helpful:
www.bea.gov/briefrm/dp...
And, yes, Mr. Perry, I do wonder about your motives.
U.S. In Recession? Not So Fast! [View article]