DSX Lover

Under The Radar News - Monday

at 12 Billion Pounds, RBS is issuing stock at Book Value, unlike U.S. smaller regionals that issued stock way below their book values like WM and NCC. When this clears, it does not mean WM, NCC, and anyone selling below Book will be safe for management, they will actually easier takovers. If you look at NCC, they are issuing Stock and convertibles at $5, when you take into account all new shares, the overall shares will have a Book Value of $10, and stock is selling for less than 7. Any foreigner like HBC, BCS, or STD can offer $12-$15 and take it for themselves. Current shareholders would be loved that, after the horrible take under offered by current management, and an incompetent board of directors.

14 Bank and I-Bank Write-Downs

If you think the worst is yet to come, then give the disclosure of what you own, or short of. These article is not helping anyone make a better investment decision. 400,000 New houses in Inventory, 600K estimated 2008 sales, although I Don't believe any of those two(1.750 Million were sold in the peak year). 4 Million existing home sales on Inventory, 1 Million foreclosures last year, 1.3 estimated for these year. All the foreclosures don't add up to $1 Trillion in these estimates, and if they are repackaged at 50% discount, there's a maximum of $500 Billion in loses. I see $250 Billion in writedowns so far, so the worst is clearly over. Homebuilders inventory, has gone down considerable, and once Existing Home sales inventory drops, we can look forward. With Banks selling at 60-80 cents on Book, its the best time to go long NCC, RF, FITB, HBAN, because those Europeans monsters are full of cash, and looking to invest. Other midsize Regionals selling close to book are BBT, CMA without subprime crap.