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Anasazi101

Anasazi101
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  • U.S. auto sales forecast to rise 2.6% in July [View news story]
    Yes I've considered moving some money into GM, just because of a similar idea or possible projections..
    Jul 28, 2015. 02:50 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford Motor beats by $0.10, beats on revenue [View news story]
    Regarded, that's kind of what I would hope for...?

    I've said right along in the past that if it hit $18 by end of year; I would be surprised, but it was my guess..
    Many here called for $22-24, and have now "backed off"...Over the last few months..
    Like others "I backed off some also hoping for back to 16.5 to 17..(again).

    According to "all the analyst' that I read, consensus was for .37 cents..
    So the .10 cent beat is big, but we all know that by now..
    And with upgrades, or more good news; We could probably hit that $18 by Christmas, ho, ho, ho...
    Who knows, we might get some other surprises..
    HooRaaay for Ford; Keep it up, because I still have more partials to sell..
    I may just move them out to $17.5-18.5, and get a couple more bucks.
    Jul 28, 2015. 02:33 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford Motor beats by $0.10, beats on revenue [View news story]
    YES...."The Plan"..

    Many investors just never understand it....Good job.!!
    Jul 28, 2015. 02:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford Motor beats by $0.10, beats on revenue [View news story]
    Excellent job Surfer...The early bird gets the worm..

    Yes, buy when "fear runs high"...If it's a "good company"..
    Hardly ever, a losing proposition...IMO
    Possibly the (past) forward guidance, wasn't very strong (haven't bothered checking, because I didn't care)..
    Analysts supplied the fear, keeping the stock price down.
    So when there is a "revenue or earnings" SURPRISE...;
    "everyone looks great"...

    And sell on "exuberance, euphoria and greed.."
    It "always pays to have a PLAN"...

    Now if it only worked 100% of the time, instead of 80-85%..
    Because we could all get rich...
    I'll take 80% success, in investing, because it still makes money...
    THE PLAN, it's ours..
    Jul 28, 2015. 02:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. auto sales forecast to rise 2.6% in July [View news story]
    Analysts are projecting .37 cents(earn'g) YOQ compared to .40 cents last year..
    If Ford hits that number or better, the stock should hold near to recent.
    If not, we may be in for a rough ride for a month or two; Pure conjecture.

    Sounds as if the "new" Limited Edition, (150) will have everything but the Kitchen sink on board...Sitting in your Living room, or Computer/Media area, attempting to drive a truck, that pretty much "tells you how to drive", cameras, sensors, etc.

    Not really sure why many Limited's, would be sold except for "status symbols"?
    And would think a "loaded" SUV model, would fit most purposes and be easier or more comfortable to drive..(towing or carrying small loads are not a problem).

    Think Ford is going to announce(Tue) the new F-250 (aluminum) going into production, and maybe being available this Winter, according to analysts..
    Jul 27, 2015. 11:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • ConocoPhillips Raises Dividend By A Penny. Now What? [View article]
    I know this is being over explained, but I just want to track comments..

    "Most" dividends are increased on a "quarterly basis" which in turn equates to a yearly increase of "4 times as much"..
    Exceptions to that rule:
    Are Companies that don't pay dividends on a "fiscal quarter" or any "special dividends"...OR
    Ie; Yearly, Biannually payouts, to monthly payouts.
    Ie; So a penny a quarter, or 2 cents a quarter is .04 or .08 cents a year.

    But, by raising a dividend during a quarter, they can "take it back" also in the next quarter or later; In case "times get tough". And they are not stuck paying the increase for a full year.

    A couple things that always amaze me are a quarterly increase always looks bigger than what it really is...
    A .08 cent dividend per year @ .02 per quarter; Gets a penny a quarter raise, which is a 50% increase, sounds huge, but is really only .04 cents more per year..

    Many companies if going to award raises in dividends, on a yearly basis;
    Usually happens about the "same quarter every year".
    Sept, maybe Dec. for instance.?
    Jul 27, 2015. 11:30 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • ConocoPhillips Q2 Earnings Preview [View article]
    Not really sure where this downtrend could stop...?
    It is "difficult at best" to pick bottoms, on such things as stocks or commodities.
    We have past histories and then projections to work from..
    Many have rode this pony or merry-go-round, before..
    Oil patch guys/gals, probably have a better handle on what the "truth is", either about their companies or what's happening in the real world..
    The rest of us have to go by what we hear or are told...IMO
    And then again, "the real world" comes into play also...All of it.

    Recently we have had some wells quit pumping on land we own or mineral rights we hold...
    They are old wells for the most part, and pretty sure "low cost" operations..
    But maybe not enough heavy production, to waste time hauling it out..??
    I guess there can be several reasons, even over-supply that just can't be brought to Markets or worth waiting in storage to only add more costs on bottom lines.
    So like everyone, we all wait and try and outguess what "our next best move" will be...?? And hope the choices we make, work out..
    Jul 26, 2015. 01:47 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. auto sales forecast to rise 2.6% in July [View news story]
    Interesting, but helps break up the day..Lol.
    I guess some of us have to stay up late to come up with these things..
    And I agree it could have effect on Ford (F) shares also, everything else has...I guess F being the fish, I'm not really sure about the analogy..??
    So in comparisons Ford is getting "eaten for lunch"..

    Some of us make the same worn out statements over and over after a while they sound like excuses why one Company is doing well, and others are floundering....Excuses.
    No matter how you slice and dice it, shake or bake and/or cook the dish;
    Numbers in the end are the telltale of a sign, of what is really happening.
    Such as the case at Ford..
    We aren't up to speed, blah, blah.
    We can't get to Market, yadda, yadda.
    Kansas or Detroit/Dearborn aren't doing their share, uh,huh..
    Dealers are up-stepping customers or selling old product, it doesn't work.
    We won't make big incentives deals..(but really we are some places)
    We thought we would be at $20 by years end, "maybe more"??
    Now most of us would be happy with $16-17 EOY. (we would).

    Eventually simple numbers and perceptions take hold, analysts, investors and the Marketplace set the prices, some of that plays a part, sometimes a "big part"...IMO.
    Being this is a financial site, many have the need to dwell on parts of the business or projections that for the most part "are already baked into the share price of an equity"...And we have read those statements and ideas a dozen times over, from several sources...If you are an investor.

    Such as GM, Ford, TM and others, the "simple numbers" just don't lie..
    Much like what Mr. Clark Shultz has reported or stated in above, about projections from manufactures...Or some of this below..vvv

    Ford: r/p, $14.39..52wk, $13.2-17.8..p/e, 18.4..eps, 0.78..d/y .15/4.2%
    ......2 year rough ride, 1 year downtrend with spikes..
    GM: r/p, $31.05...52wk, $28.8-39.0..p/e, 11.5..eps, 2.70..d/y .36/4.6%
    .....2 year ride spikey, 3-4 month downtrend..
    FCAU: r/p,$15.05..52wk, $8.55-17.0..p/e, 21.7..eps, 0.70..d/y na/na.
    .....2 year continuing downtrend..
    TM: r/p, $132.55..52wk,$108-145. p/e 12.0..eps,11.08..d/y 1.00/3.0%
    .....couldn't pull recent chart...But it can be found.

    Amounts are close estimates, certain numbers are TTMs and smaller cents or percentages rounded to closest digit.
    So in "simple terms" what couple stocks or equities would you probably do "further research" on, or maybe consider as an investment..??
    Anaz..( some days all the "talk on the street" is just that, noise) imo.
    Jul 26, 2015. 01:12 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. auto sales forecast to rise 2.6% in July [View news story]
    I'm curious Manx, did you mean "manufactures" instead of dealers ??
    Because that's what I assumed you meant.
    GM, F, FCAU, Toyota, etc..?
    Thanks..
    Jul 24, 2015. 07:41 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Kinder Morgan Stuck With More LNG? [View article]
    Actually when I said "they" I was not referring to Kinder Morgan..
    There are also other Companies buildings the LNG facilities...
    Singular or in Joint efforts..
    Jul 22, 2015. 08:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford unveils luxury F-150 for next year [View news story]
    NO, YOU KEEP TROLLING PEOPLE FOR AN ARGUEMENT, WHEN THERE IS NONE...
    READ SOME OF YOUR REPLIES, TO KEEP TRYING TO MAKE A POINT..

    WHEN YOU REALLY DON'T HAVE A POINT...!!
    THIS WAS ABOUT ADVERTISING F-150s WITH OVER $10K Discount..
    YOU made the argument about something else, "bait and switch" or "cause and deflect"

    You are "baiting and switching" again, I "unchecked" from something else not this article..
    And "my POINT" was agreeing with Megalo, as he is correct on the discounts....YOU ARE NOT !!!

    They may be Regional(?), but that "doesn't matter" Ford is "DISCOUNTING" the F150s, to start moving them, I'm assuming that part...
    Jul 22, 2015. 04:39 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford unveils luxury F-150 for next year [View news story]
    I have posted a reply above to this discussion...
    And I am absolutely sure of what I've seen advertised...Over 10K

    END of DISCUSSION for ME....
    this is getting some what laughable for a few of us...
    Jul 22, 2015. 02:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford unveils luxury F-150 for next year [View news story]
    Actually I don't believe National or Regional TV ads, can or would pull the wool over customer's eyes...
    Don't think that holds up well in the Shopping Arena..

    These were Ford Ads, and not "local dealers"...
    And the discount was over $10,000 on a F150...
    I'm not really sure why some of you guys are arguing about this..
    It makes you look a little foolish...
    But it was pretty obvious on the TV this A.M. (and there have been others).
    We/I have "no reason" to be lying to you about this.??

    Strangely, I don't pay much attention to them, because I just thought it was a new "Marketing Spiel" put out by Ford..?
    To spur interest in the "new 150"...?

    But I don't care, because I'm not buying a new $60K+ truck anyway.
    I don't want to get laughed or pointed at by my friends.
    And I have several that have $40,000 dollar trucks. Ford and Chevy..
    Jul 22, 2015. 02:17 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford unveils luxury F-150 for next year [View news story]
    tdot...Did you "revise or delete" one of your comments...?

    Something looks different...??
    Jul 22, 2015. 02:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Kinder Morgan Stuck With More LNG? [View article]
    Some days I get a little concerned about them "grabbing too much"..
    And possibly losing sight of other goals in the past.
    Jul 22, 2015. 10:26 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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