Couldn't the earlier lower spot price be caused by a different reason? Meaning, there is (or was) more spot supply or less spot demand, therefore the earlier lower prices?"
So maybe there was a slowdown or a preceived slowdown in this market. And it could be that the shippers were/are hedging the future price increases, but having less takers on the long or one and two year contracts, so possibly is there less demand?
This might be putting more capacity or ships in the spot market? Thus lowering price.
So wouldn't the fact that spot prices are still lower than long positions be a reason for caution. Or, do you see that chaning soon? Just posing the question, not attacking your position.
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So maybe there was a slowdown or a preceived slowdown in this market. And it could be that the shippers were/are hedging the future price increases, but having less takers on the long or one and two year contracts, so possibly is there less demand?
This might be putting more capacity or ships in the spot market? Thus lowering price.
So wouldn't the fact that spot prices are still lower than long positions be a reason for caution. Or, do you see that chaning soon? Just posing the question, not attacking your position.