moorele

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    • Thu Sep 18th 17:20 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
      Capitulation came today but not in the markets. In DC the politicians are ready to go into recess early. "We don't know what to do" Reid said..

      Maybe they should show some leadership skills, stay in secession and come up with some ideas.
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    • Thu Jul 31st 18:50 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Crunching the Numbers: It's Not a Recession
      The recession will officially begin on Jan 20, 2009 at 12:00.01
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    • Fri May 2nd 17:01 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Fed Pumps More Money Into the Economy
      You are right about the gas tax holiday idea going streight to the oil companies. If people pay $4 now they will still pay $4 then because there is no reason to lower prices. The gov won't get its revenue, the oil companies will keep the difference. The only way to make that idea work is to regulate gas prices.
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    • Tue Apr 29th 16:53 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Why the Fed Needs to Pause Today
      Actually, we do need more independent analysis. The Fed may have all the data but they, and all the other gov agencies, are not giving that data to us straight up. It comes to us massaged by their ideologues. Those intelligent, well trained people are shills for the current administration who has driven the USD and rates into the ground. Question everything they say and all data they release.
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    • Fri Apr 25th 11:47 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Thoughts on Inflation, or is that Deflation?
      Nice essay. Comparing today's inflation and unemployment numbers with those of the 1930s just doesn't work because different formulas have been used. Today's 5% unemployment maybe 12% if the older formula were used. And inflation? If we knew what the rate of M3 was then we might have a better understanding of the situation.

      But, you're right, each event is different. They can all be called systemic crises which is an egghead way of saying the economy is out of whack.
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    • Mon Mar 31st 11:29 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      A Far Cry from "Hooverville"
      Hoovervilles no; Bushburgs yes (subdivisions of empty homes).
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    • Sat Mar 29th 11:31 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Learning from George Soros' Books
      Two thoughts. First, Soros continues his ideas in his The Age of Fallibility (2006) although he takes aim at society at large. He does anticipate the mortgage/credit crisis and suggests outcomes. He argues that we are all a 'feel good' society and that we don't seem to have the same commitment to world well being as was held in the 1950s-1960s.

      Secondly, of course well are a feel good society. The great awakening of the 1960s and 1970 transformed America from a rationalist-led soceity into one led by Romanticism, from left brain thought and behaviour to right brain thought and behaviour. The Second Enlightenment (circa 1905-1985) is over and another Gilded Age is upon us. Our society is now behaving intuitively, nonlinear, cyclical, fractal, nonsystematic, and creatively. In other words, "irrational"... Understand romanticism not as an artistic movement but as a full blown cultural one and you better understand our current economic, financial, and political crisis.
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    • Fri Mar 28th 10:35 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Crises Averted, Not Crises Solved
      Years from now historians will certainly have reasonable explanations of what has happened this month. But for now the FED has taken us to the edge of the known world. I prefer some level of predictability and so would rather have a bear market and a recession. Another wild move by the FED will take us into the unknown where there is no predictability. Remember, Wall Street and Main Street don't like uncertainty.
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    • Wed Mar 26th 16:51 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      In the Wake of Bear: I-Bank Regulation Now in Fed's Hands
      The Fed's actions of late have taken us far from familiar waters. Another move like this one will put us into unchartered waters. Is this where we want to be?
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    • Fri Mar 14th 09:59 AM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Carlyle Capital: Collateral Damage
      Money and politics often go together. The Bush family has much of their net worth in Carlyle.

      agonist.org/numerian/2...
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    • Fri Feb 29th 12:19 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Ben Bernanke's Tightrope Act
      My favorite place to eat recently raised prices by 10%. Since I eat out too often I consider 10% to be the inflation rate.

      Today's market sell off is the end of this Bear market's phase I, the denial phase. After a pause, phase II will start and the blood letting will begin. I'm betting on DOW 10k by August.

      Cheers
      View article »
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