Seeking Alpha

Samurai_stockholder » Comments » Single Comment |

  • Crocs: Bloated Inventory Caused Stock Slide [View article]
    If you've ever been a brand manager for a large company, you'd know that it is impossible to forecast a mega-hit product.

    CROX has over 250 SKUs. If they were to build pre-launch inventory under the assumption that every new product would be a mega-hit, then they actually would have an inventory problem.

    In actuality, their inventory as a percentage of forecast sales is well within industry standards of around 16%.

    You and the analysts are simply wrong on this one.

    The reason CROX is down has nothing to do with growing inventory to meet phenomenal sales growth (+139% YOY) it is solely due to its 30% of float being short.

    Why didn't you mention that little fact?

    This will soon change when the hedge funds cover their short positions--probably the first week of March.

    After the short squeeze, see how concerned the market seems to be about an "inventory problem"....
    Mar 01 10:47 am |Rating: 0 0
All Comments by Samurai_stockholder »
Comments by Ticker
Samurai_stockholder's
Comments Stats
2 comments
Rating: 0 (0 - 0 )