Over simplification of the AIG / financial situation and touting agriculture and commodities spill. US Government, Fed's, etc. are not stupid, they probably have a clear picture of the situation. Hence, their actions and actions of all governments in trying to bailout their financial institutions.
Look at mess from LEH demise and magnitude by a few thousand times to get a scenario of AIG demise.
Become farmers - back to the dark ages. Forget about currency, international trade, etc. - just barter with your neighbor!
An Obama Speech to Light Wall Street on Fire [View article]
Another ranting article written by someone who wants their stocks to go back up.
Real value of the banks - how can you do that without market to market. Value base on purchase prices, face value, end value!? When the underlying is falling the assets are not worth what was paid for instead they worth the sale value which are probably less then 50cnt to the dollar. The rules can be changed but does reality change? The cat is out of the box. Liquidity can only address by open market auction. Buyers will want some return for the risk they are taking.
Your article is correct in that short term solutions are not going to hold water as in the case of AIG exemplifies.
Nationalization would be better since that is what is happening but without the control. $180 billion in AIG is not taking over the company? Shareholder dilution is sad but necessary part of the game. Shareholders should have got out long time ago. Looks like Uncle Sam and the whole system is in for shock if the stories of $60 billion losses are true.
What Do We Need In 2009? More Failure [View article]
Great article. More failures will occur in 2009 unfortunately it will be small guys/ companies. Similar to 2008, the big companies will get their bailouts and grow even bigger.
Could AIG Kill GM's Chances for a Bailout?
[View article]
Providing cash to the auto industry only prolongs the collapse. What has AIG done to change the situation since receiving the initial $80B - consume an additional $70B and now AIG is effectively nationalized/ privatized hence can not fail.
Impact of Lehman Failure on CDS Market Less Than Feared [View article]
LEH's missed bailout was the biggest mistake in handling this crisis, probably created more problems then solved. Too late to save the company now part of other organisations, but saving some of the bond and creditors would be worth doing.
shorts aren't the culprits, but taking advantage of the situation. a certain way shorts are wake up call otherwise the situation could have even snowballed bigger.
policy and policy banks is what caused the current crisis. Chinese banks used to run on policy and lend blindly to comply with policy hence massive looses.
Don't Worry, The Banking System is Sound [View article]
AIG "bailout" wouldn't cost the tax payers much. The 85 billion is essentially to ensure AIG can sell its good assets at a reasonable price to repay the 85 first since Fed owns 80%. The rest of proceeds, left overs, will be paid to out to creditors. Shareholders nil.
No 85, LEH situation would have existed, good assets being picked for pennies.
Oil and Financials Bring Stocks Down, Again [View article]
I'll start walking or biking when oil hits $200!
Tax man gets 55% in HK with $2 per litre!
I don't think the subprime mess is over and personal credit (credit cards, car loans, personal loans) have kicked in yet. Next BSC will probably be a major retail bank!
Let AIG Go Bankrupt, Not America [View article]
Look at mess from LEH demise and magnitude by a few thousand times to get a scenario of AIG demise.
Become farmers - back to the dark ages. Forget about currency, international trade, etc. - just barter with your neighbor!
An Obama Speech to Light Wall Street on Fire [View article]
Real value of the banks - how can you do that without market to market. Value base on purchase prices, face value, end value!? When the underlying is falling the assets are not worth what was paid for instead they worth the sale value which are probably less then 50cnt to the dollar. The rules can be changed but does reality change? The cat is out of the box. Liquidity can only address by open market auction. Buyers will want some return for the risk they are taking.
Your article is correct in that short term solutions are not going to hold water as in the case of AIG exemplifies.
Nationalization would be better since that is what is happening but without the control. $180 billion in AIG is not taking over the company? Shareholder dilution is sad but necessary part of the game. Shareholders should have got out long time ago. Looks like Uncle Sam and the whole system is in for shock if the stories of $60 billion losses are true.
What Do We Need In 2009? More Failure [View article]
Top Turkeys of 2008 [View article]
Could AIG Kill GM's Chances for a Bailout? [View article]
AIG Needs More of Your Grandkids' Money [View article]
the first attempt failed and only prolonged the issues, now with the USA picking up the tap and essentially nationalizing AIG, it can't fail.
Impact of Lehman Failure on CDS Market Less Than Feared [View article]
Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News [View article]
Paulson in a State of Panic [View article]
policy and policy banks is what caused the current crisis. Chinese banks used to run on policy and lend blindly to comply with policy hence massive looses.
Don't Worry, The Banking System is Sound [View article]
No 85, LEH situation would have existed, good assets being picked for pennies.
Oil and Financials Bring Stocks Down, Again [View article]
Tax man gets 55% in HK with $2 per litre!
I don't think the subprime mess is over and personal credit (credit cards, car loans, personal loans) have kicked in yet. Next BSC will probably be a major retail bank!
'The Worst Is Over for Financials' - Really? [View article]
More layoffs will be experienced by the financial companies.
Another BSC - one of the retail financial companies will falter given person credit hasn't really kicked in "yet".