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cariqunyil
5 Comments
Endless Winter for New Home Sales
Criminy, I can think of at least one very obvious reason this country is headed down the tubes, and it is mostly due to the individuals who make crazy insinuations and seem to blame everyone but themselves for voting in what amounts to the most incompetent administration in history...twice.
Greenspan: Bubbles Are a Necessary Part of Innovation
What is your idea of capitalism? Privatizing profits and socializing risk?
CNNMoney’s ‘Depression Comparisons Misguided’ Shows It’s Imminent
Deflation is occuring in wages, housing, and in the stock market, with the exception of commodities. I agree that there is inflation in fungible financial assets (foodstuffs, energy, most precious metals, etc.), as well as items of inelastic demand (ie health care and transportation) but the only reason is from deficit spending causing a false inflation of the money supply. At some point, the Fed lending window will dry up in the face of massive losses in liquidity and that will lead to a period of general deflation as lending starts to completely dry up.
One thing that will also drive deflation will be that asset classes that are highly fungible with money have an elastic demand. Cutbacks in energy use, food costs, and luxuries will contribute to a recession and increased unemployment. Divestment of dollar-valued assets and investments by foreign entities will also result in a contraction of the money supply.
These are longer term scenarios. So to summarize, we will see inflation for a period of at most 1 to 2 years as various markets correct, then a prolonged "Japanese-style&q... deflation as jobs and tax revenues become scare, decreasing the pressure on wage inflation necessary to feed long term inflation.
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Foreclosure-Proof Homeowners