DannyBoy29's Comments DannyBoy29's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/161127/comments Former Fed governor Frederic Mishkin says the central bank is unlikely to raise rates significantly for years: While we've dodged a bullet, "we're going to have a tremendous amount of slack in the economy for quite a number of years," he says. "If there's still a lot of slack there's no reason to raise rates. In fact, it would be a big mistake." http://seekingalpha.com/news/market_currents/post/34134?source=feed#comment-715249 715249 Wed, 14 Oct 2009 14:17:56 -0400 Why Is Obama Timid About AIG? http://seekingalpha.com/article/161692-why-is-obama-timid-about-aig?source=feed#comment-678903 678903

On Sep 16 08:57 AM rgc wrote:

> How much is the government's stake in AIG worth? With the stock value
> it is trading at, I would hope the taxpayers that bailed AIG out
> have made a killing.]]>
Wed, 16 Sep 2009 09:48:22 -0400

On Sep 16 08:57 AM rgc wrote:

> How much is the government's stake in AIG worth? With the stock value
> it is trading at, I would hope the taxpayers that bailed AIG out
> have made a killing.]]>
Annals of Research Transparency, JP Morgan / MBIA Edition http://seekingalpha.com/article/155445-annals-of-research-transparency-jp-morgan-mbia-edition?source=feed#comment-626458 626458 Wed, 12 Aug 2009 09:49:03 -0400 Housing Bottom? The $1.55 Trillion Effect http://seekingalpha.com/article/155603-housing-bottom-the-1-55-trillion-effect?source=feed#comment-626445 626445 Wed, 12 Aug 2009 09:42:50 -0400 WSJ MarketBeat says as new rules force banks to bring off-balance sheet assets back home, the effects - on capital ratios (and lending), and on the calculus of credit ratings - may be harder to predict than people seem to think. http://seekingalpha.com/news/market_currents/post/29215?source=feed#comment-607061 607061 Wed, 29 Jul 2009 15:29:13 -0400 Recession Might Be Over, But Recovery Not Yet Here http://seekingalpha.com/article/152182-recession-might-be-over-but-recovery-not-yet-here?source=feed#comment-606737 606737 Wed, 29 Jul 2009 12:21:46 -0400 Absurd Inverse and Leveraged ETF Product Whining (Updated) http://seekingalpha.com/article/145855-absurd-inverse-and-leveraged-etf-product-whining-updated?source=feed#comment-600860 600860 Fri, 24 Jul 2009 10:45:06 -0400 Moody's: Tarnished Reputation or Tarnished Stock? http://seekingalpha.com/article/150727-moody-s-tarnished-reputation-or-tarnished-stock?source=feed#comment-599238 599238 Thu, 23 Jul 2009 09:21:04 -0400 Bernanke's Conundrum http://seekingalpha.com/article/150440-bernanke-s-conundrum?source=feed#comment-598548 598548 Ben has done a good job in my opinion since September 08 and I hope political pressure will not influence him. ]]> Wed, 22 Jul 2009 17:08:34 -0400 Ben has done a good job in my opinion since September 08 and I hope political pressure will not influence him. ]]> CIT's Debt Issues Show Why the Economy Won't Be Picking Up Any Time Soon http://seekingalpha.com/article/148730-cit-s-debt-issues-show-why-the-economy-won-t-be-picking-up-any-time-soon?source=feed#comment-587895 587895 Tue, 14 Jul 2009 14:16:17 -0400 Credit Default Swaps: Why I've Changed Sides http://seekingalpha.com/article/140930-credit-default-swaps-why-i-ve-changed-sides?source=feed#comment-528617 528617 Tue, 02 Jun 2009 15:42:38 -0400 Don't Kick Yourself Later for Not Buying Gold and Silver Now http://seekingalpha.com/article/120862-don-t-kick-yourself-later-for-not-buying-gold-and-silver-now?source=feed#comment-393910 393910
I have been long gold via GLD and EGO for 3 weeks now and short the euro via DRR in a pairs trade. It's nice to finally have something work.


The way I see it if gold were to fall the dollar would have to strengthen so my DRR would hedge losses. If we keep seeing the dollar go up and gold rise as well then I am just going to sit back and make some cash. ]]>
Wed, 18 Feb 2009 14:38:39 -0500
I have been long gold via GLD and EGO for 3 weeks now and short the euro via DRR in a pairs trade. It's nice to finally have something work.


The way I see it if gold were to fall the dollar would have to strengthen so my DRR would hedge losses. If we keep seeing the dollar go up and gold rise as well then I am just going to sit back and make some cash. ]]>
Finally Time to Short U.S. Treasuries? http://seekingalpha.com/article/113427-finally-time-to-short-u-s-treasuries?source=feed#comment-347736 347736 Tue, 06 Jan 2009 14:39:08 -0500 Too Much Optimism for Gilead Sciences? http://seekingalpha.com/article/112607-too-much-optimism-for-gilead-sciences?source=feed#comment-341781 341781 Tue, 30 Dec 2008 16:18:46 -0500 Johnson & Johnson Steals Mentor Corp.: Who's Next? http://seekingalpha.com/article/109636-johnson-johnson-steals-mentor-corp-who-s-next?source=feed#comment-324087 324087 I think you have to include GILD in any conversation about big pharma buying a bio-tech. With their HIV/AIDS drugs and the fact Obama will likley try to help the Africa HIV problem I'm sure GILD is on their radar. ]]> Mon, 08 Dec 2008 15:46:03 -0500 I think you have to include GILD in any conversation about big pharma buying a bio-tech. With their HIV/AIDS drugs and the fact Obama will likley try to help the Africa HIV problem I'm sure GILD is on their radar. ]]> The Dollar vs. Treasuries Dichotomy http://seekingalpha.com/article/109352-the-dollar-vs-treasuries-dichotomy?source=feed#comment-322050 322050 Fri, 05 Dec 2008 16:17:47 -0500 Investment Ideas for an Inflationary Environment http://seekingalpha.com/article/108307-investment-ideas-for-an-inflationary-environment?source=feed#comment-318398 318398 I did nibble at some TBT based upon this premise and the fact that yields are pricing in a massive depression (I have some longer expiration puts on the US$ as well). My issue now is the fact the fed will start buying long term treasuries pushing TBT lower. The fed is trying to create inflation but I just don’t think it is going to work for at least another 9 months. As I type I am trying to decide if I should sell my TBT holding but when I see yields this low I think we have a bubble in treasuries. I do like LQD here as I think investment grade corporate yields will fall and just bought some today.

Anyway great article!
]]>
Mon, 01 Dec 2008 17:02:19 -0500 I did nibble at some TBT based upon this premise and the fact that yields are pricing in a massive depression (I have some longer expiration puts on the US$ as well). My issue now is the fact the fed will start buying long term treasuries pushing TBT lower. The fed is trying to create inflation but I just don’t think it is going to work for at least another 9 months. As I type I am trying to decide if I should sell my TBT holding but when I see yields this low I think we have a bubble in treasuries. I do like LQD here as I think investment grade corporate yields will fall and just bought some today.

Anyway great article!
]]>
Will Berkshire Lose Its Triple-A? http://seekingalpha.com/article/106869-will-berkshire-lose-its-triple-a?source=feed#comment-310258 310258 If you read this and the GE article poosted here and on minvanville you see that the largest risk to Berkshire and GE are a loss of their AAA rating.
I'm not invested long or short in GE or Berkshire but how could we let S&P and Moody's (well I guess not Moody's in Berkshire's case since Buffett owns some Moody's) have so much power after the job they have done? Scary stuff to think about.........]]>
Wed, 19 Nov 2008 16:46:14 -0500 If you read this and the GE article poosted here and on minvanville you see that the largest risk to Berkshire and GE are a loss of their AAA rating.
I'm not invested long or short in GE or Berkshire but how could we let S&P and Moody's (well I guess not Moody's in Berkshire's case since Buffett owns some Moody's) have so much power after the job they have done? Scary stuff to think about.........]]>
Eyeing a Ferocious Snap Back in Small Caps http://seekingalpha.com/article/106772-eyeing-a-ferocious-snap-back-in-small-caps?source=feed#comment-310145 310145 Wed, 19 Nov 2008 15:03:32 -0500 Citigroup Is Heading into the Single Digits http://seekingalpha.com/article/104420-citigroup-is-heading-into-the-single-digits?source=feed#comment-300653 300653 You rely on the analist targets to invest? Just an FYI before AIG failed they had no sell ratings on them.......

TimothyC.
While I would normally agree with you on this the one clear thing is no stocks are trading on fundemintals right now. There is a perception the C has no idea what is on the balance sheet and right now perception is reality. ]]>
Sat, 08 Nov 2008 08:31:18 -0500 You rely on the analist targets to invest? Just an FYI before AIG failed they had no sell ratings on them.......

TimothyC.
While I would normally agree with you on this the one clear thing is no stocks are trading on fundemintals right now. There is a perception the C has no idea what is on the balance sheet and right now perception is reality. ]]>