Ishortyou

Some of the Mechanics of Mortgage Modification

well it looks like that its going to be long time for the oversupply in housing to equilibrate with demand.

China's Huge Property Bubble

so trying to house lets say 2 billiio chinese with current supply in housing...I doubt the bubble is ready to pop not at least for a long time.

Probable Price Ranges for SPY, FXI, UUP and TLT

probabilities do not predict but gives you a clue of how likely an event can happened based on 'counted observations or estimates', some events are happening as we speak but we are not able to observe them or count them but it does not mean they are not occurring or are not probable or possible to happen. Just look at the 'LEHMAN event', where in everyone's mind it would have been considered almost impossible to happen but guess what it did!!! its like saying that a snake can come from another galaxi, impossible you would say but is it really? Quantum theories could be apply in the market to explain these situations where the price of the stock is in all the possibilities till spotted by the observer at a given time and space, meaning you will have winners and loosers at the same time till you spot them.

Ambac's Earnings Disappoint Again

how about the comercial mortgage securities that are coming as the next wave?

Goldman Correlation Desk Profits from CIT CDS; Is Sallie Mae Up Next?

those CDS markets need to be regulated anyways, the problem is that nobody knows for sure how?...certainly many investors make bets on CDS that the company will go belly up or be in a dire situation at the same time that they short the stock, panic and fear will do the rest as their liability/equity ratio goes to the roof, this for banks or investment banks is a lethal blow but for lenders like Sallie Mae god knows how is gonna be...

More on Capital Ratios of U.S. Banks

I agree... dont forget the political aspect of it, politicians are more worry about keeping their seats in the government in the next elections, so the better the financial sector looks and the illution that the economy is getting better is of paramount importance for them right now...so they will do whatever it takes to put the financial sector on its feet..no more Lehman fall outs from now on...

Legg Mason: Earnings Good at First Glance, Ugly After That

I would probably be better of covering my short..

Precious Metals’ Gleam Is Not Tarnished: When Will They Finally Bottom?

Well I guess the housing market is the key and root to the current economy problem, unless this get better and those excessive inventories get corrected we are going to have a long recovery period.

Online Games Grow 22%, Gain Steam with Cost-Cutters

So where World of Warcraft and EVE-online categoreis fall? no idea on it?

Thanks to an Analyst Upgrade, Discover Finds Itself

Ha ha..well DFS seems to be in a good position.

Second Round of Massive Deleveraging About to Hit U.S. Banking System?

difficult to predict the future...but the housing market is the key to recovery and so far some data points out is heading at least to stabilization...house appreciation seems it will take a little longer to show up.

Big Banks in Trouble: Huge Mortgage Write-Downs Seem Inevitable

to mon and pop to live in their garage?

Regions Financial Says All the Right Things, the Market Does Not Agree

User 347945 so was Wells Fargo, you can speculate if they didnt go up for the last few years could mean that they didnt get into the dancing party like all the major banks, so it probably could be a good thing.

Bill Miller vs. Meredith Whitney - Why They're Both Right

it's kind of warrisome that the counties are still granting housing permits for new house starts when we still have a massive oversupply in house inventories that is prolonging the crisis. I guess those counties are not that smart to put a temporary moratorium on new hosue starts till the housing market gets better. The other thing is how in the world the banks are still lending for those new house starts?? am I missing something?

Will Financial Stocks Continue Rewarding?

the foundation for financials comeback lies on the correction of the oversupply in housing, these excess inventories need to be cleared up before the banks can be back on their feet, even if you have to torch houses down.