Jason Rines (iThinkBig)

A Dow Double in 10 years? Easy

seeking alpha management. If you want help to block this idiot ruining your site and wasting investors time then call me. 603 953 3388. I own a network and will return value for the years of wonderful and educational content.

As to my forecast I stick with the W shape event with 2nd leg down in 2011 which I have been stating here since summer of 2008.

Getting the signal yet from our creditors overseas? We're due for a pullback but don't believe it will be Dow 5000 nor this month or next.
The tbtf banks are floating on a sea of reserves. 2010 is an election year and one of importance for Senate Banking Oversight. The technicals are so unplugged from fundamentals your best watching Washington CSPAN.

Jason Rines


On Oct 07 08:09 PM myspacestocks wrote:

> this market always goes up. that's all it does, end of story.
>
> hat tip to: tinyurl.com/n854tt for the good articles

Gone Nowhere in 8 Years

One could simply sum it up that the producers of goods was not rewarded but the intermediaries were handsomely reward. That is the big imbalance that will be righted through inflation, global wage arbitrage means it will take longer this time for the US to regain sustainability.


On Sep 13 11:26 AM Laurence Hunt wrote:

> Reading some other comments more carefully, I might add that the
> current excesses of the market amount to shareholder exploitation
> by a combined troika of upper management (awarding themselves bonuses
> and raises in all circumstances), labour unions (sharing the carrion
> with managers), and governments (failing to regulate, promoting bubbles,
> and zeroing out shareholders). I think a case could be made for shareholder
> exploitation by almost everybody. This will kill the buy and hold
> investor, already a dying breed.

Stop the Week, We Want to Get Off

Government is not going bust, at least right now. By 2011 that will be a different story and my prediction is based on geopolitical events tied into oil and this failed leadership making more bad decisions until the US citizenship fully wakes up. What did you think the $25 B loan to the automakers was for? I'll be buying some GM at the end of this month. The GM Volt should be a big winner by 2011 when they begin to mass produce it. I'll hang onto it probably until 2013 or 2014. All my thinking about everything is 5 years out before the next Bull, but I have been saying this for several months here.

$120 Oil's Struggle with the Dow Industrials

Compliments Mr. Hansen. If you note my comments since March, you'll notice about every other comment me reminding investors about the market earthquake, tsunami effect.

I feel it is a responsibility to remind the investor community that after every market shock (March - Financial, June - Oil) That the real financial pain happens 3 or so years out. I remember 1987 and my food service teacher in high school showing me this. He was a retired Air Force base commander and a fine man.

The investor community has become more aware of bubble economics but historically the comparisons of now and then seem 1970's based on charts at this point and becoming the 1930's. I hate doom & gloom but love facts and research. The best money can be made in massive booms and massive busts. It seems you can become fabulously wealthy or fabulously poor and the research becomes very critical in which camp you find yourself in.

Your correct, regression models and other comparative research is not always perfect, but they are major indicators. This economy seems like it shed about half it's excess capacity from the March crash (shock, whatever you prefer) and the we saw a tipping point on consumer spending of more permanent demand destruction.

From here it seems it will be in a slow deflation over a three year period, cumulating to depressionary conditions and then based on Washington response, perhaps a recovery occuring in 2012 and Bull by 2013. Historically, global money problems create big military misadventure so my forecast may change based on such unpredictable geopolitical side effects/events. Thank you for taking your time to educate!

Dow 30 Performance Since 7/15

America has officially entered the 'Age of Insanity'.

Fed Notes Indicate Economy's Troubles Aren't Over

SeriousBull, your analysis is on. The $100 Trillion will be lost global investment and global contraction (especially the U.S. at some point). The taxpayers will bear most burden of the bailouts but it is the contraction of investment and subsequent job losses we see accelerating which will ultimately drastically lower the quality of life for most Americans. The solutions is to innovate now in energy and give the global consumer what it wants. This would continue to expand our global empire. If we don't, then we will contract into Depression, see a final global war (nukes would likely be used, YIKES). Do the American people have the collective will to push leadership into action and out of their Washington cacoon? That looks like a big negative to me, I see most Americans wanting bailouts, meaning a Socialist government until at least 2012 when the continued pain accumulates to creating necessary action.