lblaine

29 Comments

    • Credit Cruuuunch [view article]
      After the Olympic orgy, China is re-thinking its direction. They will focus on internal development. They will purchase energy, metals and other assets, at the source, that assure them a stable supply. They do not need the US and Europe. Sep 29 08:13 AM
    • Is This a Money Making Bailout? [view article]
      Gross is talking his own book, as usual. He wants to sell to the government at 65 cents to the dollar; then he buys it back cheaper. Sep 28 10:10 AM
    • 9 Reasons Why We Are Close to, If Not Past, the Bottom [view article]
      Yes, we are close to a short-term bottom, like 1000 DOW points away! Sep 28 08:58 AM
    • Looming Wave of Option Repricing? [view article]
      Slaughtered shareholders are stupid enough to approve options repricing? Aug 30 10:11 AM
    • Chart of the Day: Palin on InTrade [view article]
      Unless you have inside information, the action was all just gambling. Aug 30 09:56 AM
    • Real Disposable Income Up in Q2 [view article]
      Unemployment is increasing, including Wall Street. GS paid $30 billion in compensation in 2007, but less than $1 billion to shareholders as dividends. It is preferable to work on wall street, not invest in Wall Street. This disposable income has been distorted by the massive speculation on Wall Street, and payout of obscene bonuses, at the expense of shareholders. The day of reckoning is coming. Aug 30 09:46 AM
    • False Data Clobbers the Markets [view article]
      Good luck with your short of USO. Hope it isn't on margin. Aug 30 09:37 AM
    • Inflation or Deflation? [view article]
      We are in a deflationary spiral. The clearing out of the over-leveraged assets (houses, certain businesses, SIVs, etc.) requires a downward re-pricing of everything. Many more people will be bankrupt, as unemployment increases and home prices continue to fall. Businesses will not be able to make their bond payments and will re-negotiate with lenders or go under. Banks and hedge funds holdings highly leveraged CDOs will fail. If the government stops interfering, this washout could occur in a reasonable time frame.

      Gold will hold its purchasing power, but not necessarily its price.

      Oil and its derivatives will always be costly, because of dwindling supplies and manipulation of OPEC. Other supply-constrained resources, such as agricultural products and potable water, will continue to be costly.





       Aug 16 01:43 PM
    • We're Only Halfway Through the Credit Crisis [view article]
      Okay, lets say your $1 trillion is correct and "Markets will fall lower ... and investors should start contemplating the bottom, which ... will occur next year." Next year is eternity in this market, and it looks like shorts are in order. Aug 16 12:46 PM
    • Predicting the Bottom in Gold [view article]
      Gold is insurance, holds its buying power (but no necessarily price) and provides diversification.

      The US mint has stopped minting gold coins. You can buy "paper" gold at $800/oz, but not physical gold!       Aug 16 12:01 PM
    • Ten Notes on Credit Risk [view article]
      Nice article. No. 9 is the eight hundred pound gorilla! Aug 16 11:13 AM
    • Goldman Calls a Bottom in the Dollar [view article]
      The dollar will likely strengthen over the next several months. This is a normal retracing in a overall downward trend. The de-leveraging in the credit markets (CDOs, SIVs, etc. ) over the next year will precipitate the failure of many banks and hedge funds. There will be a flight to the "quality" of US Treasuries, creating high demand for the US$. Aug 16 10:55 AM
    • Time To Cover Those Housing Shorts [view article]
      It is hard to call a bottom in anything these days. I remember the beginning of the credit crisis sell-off a year ago, where anything that was highly liquid was sold off to cover illiquid, over-leveraged positions. Oil stocks went straight down, in the face of rising oil prices. Aug 16 10:41 AM
    • European Bank Downgrades To Accelerate - S&P [view article]
      Gabe:

      I agree with your assessment. Because of a declining US$, US assets will be so cheap that their prices will surge.       Jul 27 04:36 PM
    • Debt Ceiling Upped to $10.615tn, Just in Case [view article]
      To avoid a 1930s style depression, the government will do everything it can to stimulate the economy. Their approach is to print/spend as much money possible, so that the existing debts will be paid off with "cheaper" dollars. By September, the Japanese and Chinese will not be bidding for treasury bonds, and bond yields will skyrocket. When the US$1.8 buys one Euro, Foreigners will buy up US assets hand over fist. Jul 27 04:11 PM
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