Tidewater Libertarian

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    • Fri Jun 6th 23:27 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      Preparing for the Fall
      So the author argues that today's investors are generally amateurs and therefore the market is overpriced. Then he rolls into a few years over the last hundred where a "March fnancial crisis" occurs, followed by an "intervention&quo... I'm sorry but, anyone can find 'historical patterns' to support any market movement that want by cherry picking the years that work for their model. I do not subscribe to technical analysis. The author will have to show a fundamental reason for his prediction of a 20% or more correction if he wants to convince me. The author predicts the market will be 20% or below "in the coming months". Therefore, it is reasonable to assume he believes the S&P 500 will be at 1,100 or below "in the coming months". If it the market ever goes below 1,100, then I guess his prediction will have come true, but it doesn't sound like something of use to many investors.


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    • Sat Mar 8th 23:55 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      5 Reasons Why the U.S. Dollar Will Weaken Further
      Simple D - thanks for your comment. Interesting take on Monetary policy as it relates to the possibility of the "Amero" currency. This is an issue that needs to be kept on the radar screen for further scrutiny.
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    • Sat Mar 8th 23:49 PM | Rating: 0 0
      Commented on:
      5 Reasons Why the U.S. Dollar Will Weaken Further
      "The Fed’s doing a lot right now and they are being extremely aggressive and this would be especially true if they cut interest rates by another 50 to 75bp this month. Imagine the relief for US consumers and businesses if interest rates came back down towards 1.00 percent. " Lien

      Of course everything done by the Fed to print more more (i.e. rate cuts) results in greater inflation and hence a weaker dollar, all other things being equal. So, I don't necessarily see as much upward pressure on the dollar in second half. However Lien makes excellent points here that the Fed is stepping in here so agressively to avoid a US recession. Good points Lien, as this is not generally being reflected by the mainstream press.

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