Darwin Investment Strategies: An elegant reconceptualization of asset allocation using portfolio mathematics, insensitive to noise and regularly reconfigured to account for observed changes in volatility and correlations across the world's major markets and asset classes. No story, no forecasts, no biases; just maximum returns per unit of risk.
Eugene Eliot Narrett was born on December 27, 1948. He died on the night of December 6, 2013. Having just left an art gallery in Brattleboro, Vermont, where his paintings were on display, he crossed Union Street and was struck by a hit and run driver.
Professor Narrett was the first of five sons born to Dr. Sidney S. Narrett and Mrs. Beatrice Narrett.
Professor Narrett grew up in Passaic and Clifton, New Jersey. In 1963, at the age of fifteen, he won the Quality of Latin Certificate of Merit from the Philadelphia Classical Society. He attended Upper Montclair College High School and matriculated at Columbia University.
Professor Narrett graduated from Columbia in 1970 with a BA in Art History. He received his Masters degree with Honors in English and Comparative Literature in 1975 and his Ph.D in 1978 in these same disciplines all from Columbia University.
Professor Narrett’s dissertation on the Romantic poet, Percy Bysshe Shelley, The Comedic Vision of Shelley's Poetry, was written under the Columbia University scholar and professor, Karl Kroeber, who taught for nearly half a century in the English and comparative literature department. At the time his dissertation was completed, Professor Kroeber labelled Eugene Narrett as the greatest interpreter of Shelley extant.
Professor Narrett had a thirty plus year experience as a College teacher and was a published author in comparative literature, poetry, and art criticism. In 2010, Professor Narrett published in the English-American Association Journal, Identity, Theft, and Image Play in Coleridge. In 2010, Professor Narrett also authored a series of essays on Nietzsche and Schopenhauer and other western authors commenting on the nature of Western culture and how their views make use of or reflect on the relation of Judaism to the West.
In addition, Professor Narrett was an exhibiting artist (1977-92) and had gallery shows in New York City, Boston, Cambridge and Maynard Massachusetts and most recently and fatefully in Brattleboro, Vermont. He was also an accomplished self-taught flute player who once entertained strollers in the parks of Salzburg, Austria.
Professor Narrett taught, designed, created and directed many Liberal Arts courses and programs in fields including Art, Art History, History, Literature and Philosophy. His wide-ranging knowledge of history and his ability to integrate disciplines provided a comprehensive overview and rare insight into the most challenging conflicts and currents of our times. He published extensively on American politics and culture and on geopolitics and the Middle East. He is the author of three books: Gathered against Jerusalem: Essays on a False Peace; Israel Awakened: a Chronicle of the Oslo War; and Israel and the Endtimes: writings on the logic and surface turbulence of History (2006).
For much of his published work and radio guest appearances please see Israelendtimes.com as well as Amazon.com.
On language please see: http://www.webcommentary.com/php/ShowArticle.php?id=narrette&date=060924
As interpreter of Shakespeare please see: http://israelendtimes.com/blog/2010/08/28/thoughts-from-shakespeare.htm
Professor Narrett’s lifetime of scholarship and effort to find the essence in human behavior, as manifested in literature, art, and geo-politics came to a corporeal conclusion on a dark night in December but he always carried and forever will his soul carry the banner of learning and knowledge.
Professor Narrett was survived by his son, Gabriel Narrett and four younger brothers, David, Zachary, Seth and Matthew.
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business news summary, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It's designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including on mobile devices), and is published before 7:00 AM ET every market day.
Wall Street Breakfast readership of over 900,000 includes many from the investment-banking and fund-management industries.
Sign up here to receive the Wall Street Breakfast in your inbox every business day: http://seekingalpha.com/account/email_preferences
My formal training is as an Electrical Engineer, and I have worked in that field since 1992. My areas of expertise are analog circuit design - with a focus in phase lock loops and adaptive equalizers, primarily for Ethernet applications - and digital ASIC design for internet routers. I have always enjoyed innovation, and accumulated 18 patents over the years I have worked in the industry. More recently, I have been applying that same level of innovation to developing a strategy for successful investing.
Frugal Millionaire (a pseudonym) is a personal finance/investment blogger at 1stMillionAt33.com (http://www.1stmillionat33.com/). His profession is in engineering, and he works on the latest technologies in the fields of computation and communication. His personal investments focus on precious metals, energy, and commodity in general. He is a Stanford, Johns Hopkins, and University of Southern California alumnus, holding post-graduate degrees from the first two universities.
Denis Ouellet has been involved in the Financial sector since 1975. Now retired, he is a part-time blogger. Denis has been analyst and head of research for a brokerage company, equity manager for various investment organizations (pension, mutual and hedge funds), head of global equity investments at a major pension fund and chairman of the equity investment committee for a major pension and mutual fund investment organization.
Note: I post substantially more on my blog www.bearnobull.com than on SA.
My name is Hellasious (pseudonym), I was educated as a chemical engineer but spent almost my entire career in finance, particularly in money, FX and bond markets. The name stands for Hell-as-IOUs and the picture points to Quixotic endeavors.
Visit Hellasious's blog: Suddent Debt (http://suddendebt.blogspot.com//)
Note: Seeking Alpha editors have contact information for all contributors to enable ongoing communication regarding articles published.
Mark is the founder and president of New Horizons Financial Management. New Horizons is an independent investment advisory firm that provides personalized consulting services in investment and asset management. Mark has a degree in finance and has worked in investment management for the past 5 years. Mark has written a personal finance column for Baltimore and Washington metropolitan newspapers. Mark writes a financial blog at BuylikeBuffett.com (http://buylikebuffett.com/).
Marc Schober is the editor of Farmland Forecast (http://www.farmlandforecast.com/) and a Director at Colvin & Co. LLP. Mr. Schober researches the investment opportunities in farmland and agriculture and has been featured in many financial publications and conferences.
Graham Summers is Chief Market Strategist for Phoenix Capital Investment Research, an independent investment strategy firm based in Washington DC with clients in 56 countries around the world.
Scott Grannis was Chief Economist from 1989 to 2007 at Western Asset Management Company, a Pasadena-based manager of fixed-income funds for institutional investors around the globe. He was a member of Western's Investment Strategy Committee, was responsible for developing the firm's domestic and international outlook, and provided consultation and advice on investment and asset allocation strategies to CFOs, Treasurers, and pension fund managers. He specialized in analysis of Federal Reserve policy and interest rate forecasting, and spearheaded the firm's research into Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). Prior to joining Western Asset, he was Senior Economist at the Claremont Economics Institute, an economic forecasting and consulting service headed by John Rutledge, from 1980 to 1986. From 1986 to 1989, he was Principal at Leland O'Brien Rubinstein Associates, a financial services firm that specialized in sophisticated hedging strategies for institutional investors.
Visit his blog: Calafia Beach Pundit (http://scottgrannis.blogspot.com/)
Greg Feirman is the Founder & CEO of Top Gun Financial (www.topgunfp.com), a hedge fund like Registered Investment Advisor now based in the Bay Area, CA.
Dr. Stephen Leeb is a recognized authority on the stock market, macroeconomic trends and commodities, especially oil and precious metals.
Dr. Leeb is founder of the Leeb Group, which publishes a line of financial newsletters including The Complete Investor, Leeb Income Performance Letter, Leeb Income Millionaire, Brain Trust Profits, Leeb's Real World Investing and Leeb's Aggressive Trader. His total readership exceeds 100,000. The Complete Investor newsletter has earned two awards for Editorial Excellence, as has Leeb Income Performance.
Dr. Leeb is also Chairman and Chief Investment Officer of a New York-based registered investment advisory firm. Dr. Leeb has been managing large cap growth portfolios since 1999.
Dr. Leeb sits on various boards sharing his strategic perspectives on financial markets and natural resources. Since 2008, Dr. Leeb has been a Director of Plain Sight Systems, a technology holding company centered at Yale University. Plain Sight owns a world-class patent portfolio in areas such as information organization/search, computational analytics, electro-optics, and spectroscopy. These technologies are licensed to Fortune 500 companies and used as part of private buyouts and venture spin-offs.
As part of Plain Sight, Dr. Leeb also sits on the board of Water Intelligence plc, a publicly listed company in England, operating in the water management space and Deep Markets Corporation, a division of Plain Sight developing next generation risk management applications.
Dr. Leeb is also Head of the Advisory Board of Leor Exploration & Production LLC (since 2006 - present) and a member of the advisory boards of Electrum USA Ltd. (since 2007) and Los Gatos. Each of these companies explore for natural resources, especially precious metals and energy.
Dr. Leeb is the author of eight books on investments and financial trends. His latest book, Red Alert: How China's Growing Prosperity Threatens the American Way of Life (Business Plus, 2012) predicts China's coming global domination.
An earlier book, The New York Times best seller, The Coming Economic Collapse: How You Can Thrive When Oil Costs $200 a Barrel (Warner Books, 2006), predicted that tightness in global energy supplies would cause the American economy to oscillate between periods of recession and high inflation this century.
Dr. Leeb’s best seller, The Oil Factor: Protect Yourself and Profit from the Coming Energy Crisis (Warner Books, 2004), outlined the relationship between oil prices and stock market performance and accurately predicted the subsequent surge in oil prices. The book was rated among the top investment books of the year by Stock Trader's Almanac 2005.
His earlier best seller, Defying the Market: Profiting in the Turbulent Post-Technology Market Boom (McGraw-Hill; 1999) predicted the collapse of technology stocks and the growing importance of oil, and other hard assets during the 21st century. The book was selected by Library Journal as one of the Best Business Books of 1999.
His first book Getting in on the Ground Floor (Putnam, 1986) predicted the secular bull market in financial assets and the fall in inflation. The book was a main selection of the Money Book Club.
Dr. Leeb earned his Bachelor's degree in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business. He then completed both a Master's degree in Mathematics and a Ph.D. in Psychology at the University of Illinois.
Jeff Nielson is from Canada and is a writer/editor for Bullion Bulls Canada (http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/#content). He has a personal background in law and economics. Bullion Bulls Canada provides general macro-economic and political commentary, since the precious metals markets are among the most complex (and misunderstood) in the world.
It also provides basic coverage of Canadian precious metals mining companies. Canada is the global leader in mining exploration, and Canadian-listed mining companies (on the Toronto Stock Exchange and Venture Exchange) are responsible for the majority of the world's most-promising discoveries.
A competent professional with nearly 7 years of experience in Market Research, Analytics and data mining in Online Trading in Energy, forex, metals and agro. The main roles involve
Conceiving / implementing short and long term plans for attainment of process objectives.
Supervising end-to-end activities connected with the processes to ensure optimal efficiency.
Analyzing market movements and price behavior of different commodities and formulating strategies over commodities trading in both domestic and international market.
Analyzing price sensitivity with macroeconomic variables.
Observing global price trends through international pricing reports.
Contribute to the daily, weekly, and periodical publications of the Commodities Research Team.
Preparation of commodity outlook for the weekly magazine of SMC Group “MONEY WISE BE WISE”.
Preparation of articles and speeches for the top managements for various key events.
Assisting in the development of new trade ideas and advice internal and external clients.
Tracking different exchanges and markets for the betterment of the Fundamental reports and Technical calls.
Building attitude & training field force regarding the activity plans for organizational commitment creating a healthy work culture for streamlining processes to ensure smooth functioning of operations.
Conducted training to Franchisees and Branches for Commodity Trade.
Participates in Investors Awareness Program and many seminars to spread the knowledge and view about the market.
Said N. Haidar is a graduate of Harvard College (AB in Economics) and Harvard University (AM in Economics). He went on to study in Ph.D. program at the University of Chicago where he completed all requirements other than a dissertation.
From 1986 to 1989, Mr. Haidar was a Vice President and Quantitative Research Manager in the Institutional Futures and Options Department at Drexel Burnham Lambert where he was responsible for quantitative analysis in listed products. From 1989 to 1994, Mr. Haidar was a Senior Vice President and Head of the Quantitative Strategies Group and later Head of the Derivative Strategies Group at Lehman Brothers. The Quantitative Strategies Group was responsible for relative value research in listed derivatives as well as risk management in OTC foreign exchange and commodity products. The Derivative Strategies Group was responsible for risk management, pricing of embedded options in structured products as well as relative value ideas in the Financial Products Group at Lehman.
From 1994 to 1997, Mr. Haidar worked at Credit Suisse First Boston as a Director and Head of Proprietary Trading Research. He helped create a multui-market fixed income proprietary trading desk, built risk and trading analytics as was involved in all aspects of managing the business. In 1997, he founded Haidar Capital Management, an alternative asset manager that specializes in global macro and quantitative investing. Clients of Haidar Capital Management LLC may have positions in securities or markets or utilize strategies that are discussed in this blog.
Mr. Haidar is a member of the American Economic Association, the American Finance Associtation, the Econometrica Society and the Financial Studies Association
. The ideas, views or opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author. Any actions you take as a result of any information, opinion, analysis or strategy discussed in this article are ultimately your responsibility
James Bibbings is the President and CEO of North America’s Best Regulatory Advisory Turnkey Trading Partners (TTP) as named by Hedgeweek in 2013. TTP supports CFTC and NFA regulated firms with all of their commodity, forex, and swap specific regulatory and business needs. Prior to founding TTP, Bibbings worked with the National Futures Association (NFA) as a supervising auditor. During his time with NFA he was involved in approximately 100 investigative audits and was able to gain a deep working knowledge of FDM, FCM, IB, CTA, and CPO operations. Since departing from NFA, Bibbings has owned and operated an independent introducing brokerage and participated in international forums on proposed CFTC regulatory requirements. He has also provided financial markets content for MSN, Yahoo, Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal’s Market Watch, FinAlternatives, NIBA, Forex Journal, FX Street, Forex Factory, and many other highly acclaimed investment publications. Two highly sought after informational pamphlets regarding futures, forex, and swap registration authored by Bibbings are currently available for free upon request through his company website. If you have any questions or comments for Bibbings he can be reached directly by email at firstname.lastname@example.org and would love to hear from you.
Raymond Micaletti is a partner and co-founder of Macrosignal, LLC, an asset management firm founded in 2010 that specializes in medium-frequency systematic macro strategies. Prior to Macrosignal, he had stints as a quantitative strategist at Barclays Capital, a portfolio manager at Fortress Investment Group's Drawbridge Global Macro Fund, a risk arbitrage analyst at Zimmer-Lucas Partners, and a quantitative risk analyst at JPMorgan Chase.
Edward Harrison is the founder of the blog Credit Writedowns (www.creditwritedowns.com) and is a finance specialist at Global Macro Advisors. Previously, Edward was a strategy and finance executive at Deutsche Bank, Bain, and Yahoo. He started his career as a diplomat and speaks German, Dutch, Swedish, Spanish and French. Edward holds an MBA from Columbia University and a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College. Follow him on Twitter at twitter.com/edwardnh. Contact him at edh at creditwritedowns dot com as that's the only mailbox he reads regularly.
Michael Murphy grew up in Newark, Delaware, which a sign at the city limits proclaimed: “The Educatoinal Center of the State.” After graduating from the public schools he earned an A.B. cum laude from Harvard College and began working as a COBOL mainframe programmer on an IBM 1401 in the mid-1960s. Lured to California by the Summer of Love and better music than American Bandstand in nearby Philadelphia, he became a systems analyst and programmer for American Express, assigned to help integrate their newly-acquired San Francisco investment operations with the parent company's systems in New York. As that project ended early in 1970, a fortuitous opportunity to make a career change to Security Analyst opened up, and he leaped at the chance. His first recommendation was to sell Memorex at $172 at the very bottom of the 1969-1970 bear market. During the subsequent two-year market rally, Memorex went to $2 a share, thus convincing him that it is indeed a market of stocks rather than a stock market.
He earned his Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation in 1975, the same year The Capital Group/American Funds acquired the American Express mutual fund group. He commuted to Capital in Los Angeles for over five years, getting on a first-name basis with many flight attendants. After the introduction of the IBM PC in April 1981, he left Capital to found the California Technology Stock Letter. In 1997 he also became the founding editor of Technology Investing, which acquired CTSL in 2003 and changed its name to New World Investor in 2007.
In the 1970s he invented and patented a stock value calculator, and in the 1980s he served as the CEO of two software companies. In 1997 he authored the business best-seller Every Investor's Guide to High-Tech Stocks and Mutual Funds, and he has a forthcoming book on investing in a hyperinflation. In addition to investing, his interests include a biodynamic, organic permaculture farm to raise rare-breed animals, heritage seed crops and children. For many years he held the Class I/E record for electric cars at the Bonneville Salt Flats, and in 2001 he narrowly missed the world record for electric hydroplanes. He expects to go back to Bonneville in 2019 to reclaim the electric car record with his then-16 year old daughter driving. You are all invited to watch or help out.
Bill Zielinski is the author of Mortgaged Future (http://mortgagedfuture.com/). The blog focuses on assessing our over leveraged world. Insights are offered on how to cope and prosper in a world of excess credit and leverage. Bill holds an MBA in finance and is a CPA, currently working in the financial services industry.
Debra Diamond is the President of The Peripatetic Investor. The Peripatetic Investor offers independent investigation, analysis and insight on global markets and trends. theperipateticinvestor.com newsletter and advisory service offers opinions for short term trading assets and mid to long term assets, including hard assets, such as art and precious metals and financial assets such as currency and ETF's As both a former Fund Manager and graduate of the Christie's Education Program, Ms. Diamond has dual skills in both art and tangibles as well as financial instruments. Our objective is to provide a new and uncommon perspective.
The Peripatetic Investor expects to challenge your assumptions, impact your long-held beliefs and provide provocative insight. Our goal is to optimize your investment returns and alert you of new trends and information that will impact your portfolio.
As President of TPI, Ms. Diamond routinely advises on developing an art collection, is a frequent speaker at conferences on art and investing and is a contributing columnist to a variety of investment publications. The Peripatetic Investor offers low-cost solutions for investors seeking diversification and long term returns. Ms. Diamond has more than 25 years experience as a research analyst, portfolio manager, advisor and investor. She has founded numerous private partnerships including equity, private equity and tangible asset with specific expertise in alternative investments. Ms. Diamond was employed as a Vice President by T. Rowe Price Associates, President of the T. Rowe Price New Frontiers Fund, Vice President of the New Horizons Fund, a member of the New Horizons Fund Investment Committee, Director of The New Frontiers Fund and Chairman of The New Frontiers Investment Committee. The New Frontiers Fund had the highest ranking in its category during such funds’ life and Ms. Diamond was asked by The Chairman of George Soro’s Quantum Fund to join its stable of managers.
Ms. Diamond has been profiled in Forbes, The Wall Street Journal, The San Francisco Chronicle, The Baltimore Sun and numerous national publications. She has been a Contributing Editor to investment newsletters, appeared as a commentator on CNBC and has hosted a weekly investment program for CNN Radio. Ms. Diamond has served as an Adjunct Professor in Portfolio Management at The Johns Hopkins University Graduate School of Professional Studies and as an Adjunct Professor for Investments at George Washington University Graduate School of Business.
Ms. Diamond earned a Bachelor in Business Administration and an MBA in Finance from George Washington University and has achieved the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and Chartered Investment Counselor (CIC) accreditations. She is an artist who has exhibited in the U.S. and abroad and an art collector. She served as the Chair of The Governors Art Biennial in 2006 with the Baltimore Museum of Art and has lectured on ‘Art and Investing’. Ms. Diamond has completed the Christie’s Education M/A Certificate Program and is Co-Director of Continuing Education for Christie’s Education Alumni Association.
The Peripatetic Investor offers low-cost solutions for investors seeking diversification and long term returns. Readers may contact email@example.com for additional information or a complimentary consultation.
Warren Buffett is the largest shareholder and chairman of Berkshire Hathaway. Buffett began purchasing shares of Berkshire Hathaway in 1962, and by 1969 focused all of his attention on running the company until it became one of the largest holding companies in the world. Buffett is known to buy 'wide moat' businesses with attractive and sustainable returns on capital and long term business predictability. He claims he invests only in companies that he understands and therefore has no exposure to technology stocks and is heavily invested in insurance companies. Buffett sees himself as a capital allocator within Berkshire Hathaway, whose primary responsibility is to allocate capital to opportunities with the highest returns. That has recently involved purchasing controlling stakes in companies and maintaining their management teams. Warren Buffett's writings are available in The Essays of Warren Buffett and (to a lesser degree) in Warren Buffett Speaks: Wit and Wisdom from the World's Greatest Investor. Numerous books about Warren Buffett have been published.