TheRealBull

5 Reasons Why the $700B Bailout Could Translate to $250 Oil

Demand destruction at $200 a barrel oil here...sure...

But I would contend that any destruction here will be easily picked up by China, India, and other industrializing countries.

It is as simple as....

We are broke. They are not.

False Data Clobbers the Markets

And we will all continue living in the land of make believe.

You keep betting oil and commodities will fall and I'll continue profiting off your analysis.

A fool and their money are soon parted.

Oil and Commodities Pricing: Fundamentals, Bubble or Manipulation?

Sure we are in bubble territory with commodities.

That is why the US oil supply inventory is in decline, the dollar has lost 1/3 of its value in the past 8 years, food prices are going parabolic, and the economy is robust and expanding. In addition, there is no price pressures coming from China and India, their use of oil is contracting, their demand for food and the Western lifestyle is contracting.

We just don't get it. We long ago threw out any real fundamental knowledge of the markets. No wonder our financial system is collapsing. There is a true lack of vision and this is quite apparent with many of the arguments posted. Bottom line, America is so full of themselves that they don't even see the rug being pulled out beneath them.

Oil Manipulations Exposed

One last thing to think about. Sure we have moderate sized oil fields that we can still tap and bring online perhaps 10-15 years from now (what? Peak Oil is now?). This is especially true around the US. But, oil consumption is a world wide phenomena and sold on a world wide market! Each and everyday there are thousands of new energy consumers coming online from China, India, and especially the Middle East who have American dollars in their pockets burning a hole to live the good life...like we do in America! All this insatiable demand for oil will continue to outstrip supply by radical proportions. We have not found any significant sized oil fields in several decades meanwhile we are sucking dry the oil bank. And as much as you want to believe we have an endless gooey center in the Earth that produces oil continuously, well I have a bridge to sell to you.

Folks come back to Earth. You've been doped up on oil for way too long. If you really want to understand what is happening, I highly recommend you research the following term "EXPONENTIAL FUNCTION."

Meanwhile I think Chris Skrebowski, editor Petroleum Review sums it up our current situation quite well.

“The first peak that we’ve achieved. … [is] in light, low-sulphur crude. The next peak will be when the producer countries’ exports start falling because their [internal consumption] growth rates are much higher than those in the West….Finally we will get the peak where we simply cannot produce any more of any grade, any quality, anywhere. And that will give the final kick-up [in prices]…probably around 2011.”

Oil Manipulations Exposed

You can whine all you want. You can even prohibit futures speculation. I can guarantee you this, the oil age is ending as we know it. Oil will continue to rise in price no matter what we do to try and mitigate it. And this is just the beginning. Expect all your energy sources to sky rocket in price. As we start to realize that oil is not getting cheaper, we will start putting heavy transportation demands on natural coal and natural gas. Well guess what? Our energy grids run primarily off coal and natural gas! I recommend you watch this short CNN story about what your government is going to do soon to your energy bill.

money.cnn.com/video/#/...

All other alternatives are going to take several decades to ramp up to any significance meanwhile Peak Oil is now. You best come to terms with Peak Oil, or you will become road kill on the slope down.