Apple is amazing company. I"m not buying at current levels tho. Yes, it requires patience but i believe there will be a significant pullback in the market sometime in 2nd half of the year.
Yes, i'm doing the exact same thing you are doing. THanks for your comment.
On Jul 17 01:50 PM Whippet wrote:
> As for your positions, Paco, there is another quote by Lord Catamite > Keynes: "The markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain > solvent." It may be a bit early, and these are all timing trades > based upon the fact you're using leveraged vehicles. > > Do remember that in another equities crash, there will be another > flight to cash and Treasuries. The ten and thirty year rates will > collapse again, perhaps not as far as last time, but collapse nonetheless. > I'm a believer that we are experiencing, SIMULTANEOUSLY, Keynesian > deflation AND Austrian inflation. Prices and wages are dropping > AND the dollar is being devalued. This is evident in that dollar-denominated > exogenous commodities (oil, gold, cocoa) have appreciated dramatically > while retail prices, wages, and endogenous commodities (natural gas, > lumber) have cratered. It's not as simple as buying TBT and waiting > for Weimar. > > Right now, cash is king, although I hate the thought. Watch the > failed recovery bubbles pop, and buy hard assets and their producers. > It's tough to sit on the sidelines in cash when the markets pop, > but it feels nice when they go splat.
Couldn't agree more... i feel like this is something I have written... awesome article and common sense explanation of our monetary policy and economic strategy.
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Good article. However, I'm more bearish on the consumer/retail and commercial real estate as a result. SPG isn't going bankrupt, but I don't see much upside for them. Near term, i think there is some downside.
Is Apple Poised to Move into the Living Room? [View article]
Agreed. Apple is poised better than anyone to capitalize on the living room. Why would they not? They have the seamless ecosystem of products and content already in place, why not add another room?
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Good luck!
Kevin
20smoney.com
Short the U.S.A. [View article]
Yes, i'm doing the exact same thing you are doing. THanks for your comment.
On Jul 17 01:50 PM Whippet wrote:
> As for your positions, Paco, there is another quote by Lord Catamite
> Keynes: "The markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain
> solvent." It may be a bit early, and these are all timing trades
> based upon the fact you're using leveraged vehicles.
>
> Do remember that in another equities crash, there will be another
> flight to cash and Treasuries. The ten and thirty year rates will
> collapse again, perhaps not as far as last time, but collapse nonetheless.
> I'm a believer that we are experiencing, SIMULTANEOUSLY, Keynesian
> deflation AND Austrian inflation. Prices and wages are dropping
> AND the dollar is being devalued. This is evident in that dollar-denominated
> exogenous commodities (oil, gold, cocoa) have appreciated dramatically
> while retail prices, wages, and endogenous commodities (natural gas,
> lumber) have cratered. It's not as simple as buying TBT and waiting
> for Weimar.
>
> Right now, cash is king, although I hate the thought. Watch the
> failed recovery bubbles pop, and buy hard assets and their producers.
> It's tough to sit on the sidelines in cash when the markets pop,
> but it feels nice when they go splat.
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20smoney.com
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Meanwhile gold is spiking today!
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