Tier 1 Capital Ratios of Large U.S. Banks [View article]
Rather, allowing banks to report numbers which they know are false, and thus allowing the pillaging of the public purse.
On Jun 21 01:45 PM Fitz919 wrote:
> Who in their right mind would trust a bank to accurately report a > Tier 1 number? It's pure nonsense, it will never happen. Notice > how many are clustered around the 10% figure, it's a number they > want us all to believe. > > If a regulator didn't have a clue that 10.5% of IndyMac's loans were > producing no income, then a bank can hide anything they want to from > anyone they want to. It was months before B of A knew how bad things > really were at Merrill Lynch. > > What we have right now is the Government requiring banks to report > numbers which they know are false, in order to maintain confidence > in their badly broken system.
Accepting the Realpolitik That Killed the Bank Shorts [View article]
The whole notion of going short or long in a company that does not have accounting transparency is disconcerting.
But -- it does seem sometimes like absolute numbers are less helpful than relative numbers. Houses are less expensive. Gas is a little less expensive. And short term loan rates are tiny.
A good time to borrow and start a business. However, fortune favors the patient.
Very hard to believe that any significant anti trust activity will be coming out of DC. Interestingly enough, the Left doesn't have much contemporary interest in ant trust. I think it is just too difficult a subject for the American public.
Probably the only hope is that a coterie of irritable and intellectual Federal attorneys tackle it. There are truly some benefits to altruism, and being an anti trust attorney sure is altruistic.
One way to push the thing ahead is to open up the Federal courts to stronger civil law for bases for cases. That could probably be done to some extent administratively. Please give us an update at some point. Huzzah for your postings on this.
Five Impossible Thoughts After Breakfast [View article]
Thanks for the nice article. The real difficulty is that the banking and central banking issues are hard for the public to understand. The best public service anyone (any politician ) can provide is to gently and clearly explain the nature of the banking crisis.
As most Americans have at one time or another known or faced bankruptcy themselves, they will easily understand the concept of putting the banks in receivership.
As for the notion that the counter parties or not identified by the Fed and the Treasury, those are public facts that any Senator or Congressman could make available. It is the pervasive corruption of our legislatures that keeps this from happening.
I date it from 1981 (when the shining knight RR arrived to save us from ouselves) -- that makes it closer to 28 years in the making.
On Mar 03 02:28 PM fabien hug wrote:
> This was crisis took about 20 years to build-up and we are maybe > about 1/3 to 1/2 in the process of cleaning the mess. Now, if you > declare that the situation is going to be cleaned up within 3 months, > mayhem is guaranteed, since most of the banks could be facing Chapter > 11. I'd like to know, for instance, how would HSBC fare if the assets > it has deposited with; BoA, C, JPM would be potentially worth 0 in > 3 months. No place to hide. Only time will solve this crisis.
The hazard of being a PhD candidate is that you tend to make things too hard.
OK. Net the money put into any given institution (including deposit and debt guarantees) from current market capitalization. Anyone in the negative is already bust.
(Hint: Apple Computer and Google are not bust. Citibank and BAC are).
Let's see. Free money makes a corporation less healthy ? You are probably right. The companies getting the Fed and Treasury money are bad bets.
A free lunch is never very healthy for a business in the long run. Companies that get subsidies usually end up on the ropes. They become focused on getting more free lunches, rather than producing products anyone would want.
Kind of like the auto industry and the New York banks.
Trying to remember how the poor single mothers were supposed to get off welfare ?
I can easily imagine a large high school cafeteria full of the creditors of GM and BAC, sitting down, and getting day long seminars on how to get productive work, now that their investment free lunches are no longer panning out. My question is, will they have to bring their own lunches to the seminars ?
Why Bank Nationalization Will Never Happen [View article]
Please -- Barney Frank may be a corrupt idiot, but that doesn't mean he is the root of the problem.
You might do better to review the history of financial regulation beginning with Ronald Reagan. This is ultimately the return to roost of an ideology that the financial markets needs no regulation.
Ronald Reagan and his heirs paved the way for the whole range of financial re - engineering that made the current collapse possible.
Why Bank Nationalization Will Never Happen [View article]
Umm. Sorry Mr. Sage. Happy Days are not right around the corner. The money center banks and their various partners and creditors are doing everything possible to give the taxpayer the tab.
No level of transparency is going to occur prior to that, simply because it doesn't look good politically to transfer money from the ultra poor (the tax paying public) to the ultra rick (the bank owners and debtors).
In factor, I will be very surprised the day some basic accounting transparency regarding the money center banks occurs.
By the way, please don't use terms that have no meaning. "Nationalization" is a term of rhetoric, not economics. Do you mean purchase ? Or condemnation ? Or forced receivership ? Or expropriation ? I really like Seeking Alpha, but gosh, a whole lot of articles here appear to be written by 3rd graders.
JPMorgan Chase: Poisoned by Bear's 5,000 Counterparties [View article]
Wow. Very interesting observation on a member of the general public's experience with JPM as a service provider.
My general take (and I greatly appreciate Mr. Saxena's nice article), is that the problem is not only one of disclosure, but also one of the moral capacity to carry out fiduciary duty -- whether at the Fed, the Treasury, the FDIC, or the SEC.
Suspect when all is said and done we are looking at more of a systemic moral failure, rather than just a cyclical political economy problem.
On top of that, malfeasance, either in government or in the government sponsored private banks, seems to not only be endemic, but also as a general rule unpunished.
My continued reading of the core problem facing the economy today makes the US economy not dissimilar to that of the Russian Republic, or of communist China. The cycles of behavior of the wealthy and powerful appear to be more that of a corrupt plutocracy, rather than that of a republic.
Citigroup on the Brink, Despite Government Rescue [View article]
Uhh. I think the drunken monkey is the American moneyed class, which, in a short period of 8 years, has managed to have its nominee decision maker destroy not only our economy, but approaching destruction of the economy of our trading partners.
Just because the US government is attempting to cover up the levels of disaster wrought by Bush's money center friends, doesn't mean the abyss is not there. None of the money center institutions are revealing the actual nature of their off balance sheet assets.
It seems only reasonable to make an estimate. That our estimates are off, is not an indication of a poor estimation problem, but the depth of the hidden corruption our country faces in form of the economic remnants of the Bush years.
What Obama Needs to Know about Tim Geithner, the AIG Fiasco and Citigroup [View article]
Actually, a nice dialogue here, getting to the critical issue, which is US net indebtedness. It is US industrial weakness we are looking at. Thus the puzzle of the flight to US financial markets as savior, and yet the source of the crisis. In the long run, however, good credits will get financing, and bad credits will not. AIG is a bad credit. The US government may absorb its debts, but that only protects its debtors who made a bad bet in the first place. The US taxpayer is bailing out speculators. There is no way around that. Rich speculators are being paid off to go speculate another day. Which they will.
On Nov 26 10:04 AM Steve Pluvia wrote:
> You, lost me early in this overly-long soap-box stint. > > Are you *seriously* suggesting the U.S. let AIG blow-up? > > So let me see if I get your point... > > Let AIG fail; All foreign held debt insured by AIG blows up... > > -- US treasury and corporate debt immediately has zero credibility; > > -- US corporations and have zero borrowing power for short term trade > and expansion. > -- Trade grinds to a halt as foreign partners no longer honor purchase > orders from US corporations. > -- Run on all banks; > -- The dollar gets crushed; and, > -- The US have very little ability to jump start the US economy with > spending > > Oy freakin vey. Your idea is ridiculous. Clearly you don't understand > the implications of what you propose. >
Tier 1 Capital Ratios of Large U.S. Banks [View article]
On Jun 21 01:45 PM Fitz919 wrote:
> Who in their right mind would trust a bank to accurately report a
> Tier 1 number? It's pure nonsense, it will never happen. Notice
> how many are clustered around the 10% figure, it's a number they
> want us all to believe.
>
> If a regulator didn't have a clue that 10.5% of IndyMac's loans were
> producing no income, then a bank can hide anything they want to from
> anyone they want to. It was months before B of A knew how bad things
> really were at Merrill Lynch.
>
> What we have right now is the Government requiring banks to report
> numbers which they know are false, in order to maintain confidence
> in their badly broken system.
Accepting the Realpolitik That Killed the Bank Shorts [View article]
But -- it does seem sometimes like absolute numbers are less helpful than relative numbers. Houses are less expensive.
Gas is a little less expensive. And short term loan rates are tiny.
A good time to borrow and start a business. However, fortune favors the patient.
Antitrust for Banks? [View article]
Probably the only hope is that a coterie of irritable and intellectual Federal attorneys tackle it. There are truly some benefits to altruism, and being an anti trust attorney sure is altruistic.
One way to push the thing ahead is to open up the Federal courts to stronger civil law for bases for cases. That could probably be done to some extent administratively. Please give us an update at some point. Huzzah for your postings on this.
Time to Bury the Rotting Carcasses of Dead U.S. Banks [View article]
On Mar 15 10:26 AM starwonder wrote:
> What is this idiotic Web site?
> Is any monkey with a computer allowed to post on it?
> What a joke!!
Five Impossible Thoughts After Breakfast [View article]
As most Americans have at one time or another known or faced bankruptcy themselves, they will easily understand the concept of putting the banks in receivership.
As for the notion that the counter parties or not identified by the Fed and the Treasury, those are public facts that any Senator or Congressman could make available. It is the pervasive corruption of our legislatures that keeps this from happening.
Why Nationalizing Banks Is Wrong [View article]
On Mar 03 02:28 PM fabien hug wrote:
> This was crisis took about 20 years to build-up and we are maybe
> about 1/3 to 1/2 in the process of cleaning the mess. Now, if you
> declare that the situation is going to be cleaned up within 3 months,
> mayhem is guaranteed, since most of the banks could be facing Chapter
> 11. I'd like to know, for instance, how would HSBC fare if the assets
> it has deposited with; BoA, C, JPM would be potentially worth 0 in
> 3 months. No place to hide. Only time will solve this crisis.
Why Nationalizing Banks Is Wrong [View article]
OK. Net the money put into any given institution (including deposit and debt guarantees) from current market capitalization. Anyone in the negative is already bust.
(Hint: Apple Computer and Google are not bust. Citibank and BAC are).
TARP Equals Toxic Money [View article]
A free lunch is never very healthy for a business in the long run. Companies that get subsidies usually end up on the ropes. They become focused on getting more free lunches, rather than producing products anyone would want.
Kind of like the auto industry and the New York banks.
Trying to remember how the poor single mothers were supposed to get off welfare ?
I can easily imagine a large high school cafeteria full of the creditors of GM and BAC, sitting down, and getting day long seminars on how to get productive work, now that their investment free lunches are no longer panning out. My question is, will they have to bring their own lunches to the seminars ?
Citigroup's Decline - Not a Good Sign for the Market [View article]
Although it is a cool term, and maybe you are just taking an advantage of opportunity to use it, albeit obscurely.
On Mar 01 01:20 PM Patriot Ted wrote:
> You got that right Timster. "They" are flipping insane. The greedy
> bar-sinisters should be hanged.
Why Bank Nationalization Will Never Happen [View article]
You might do better to review the history of financial regulation beginning with Ronald Reagan. This is ultimately the return to roost of an ideology that the financial markets needs no regulation.
Ronald Reagan and his heirs paved the way for the whole range of financial re - engineering that made the current collapse possible.
Why Bank Nationalization Will Never Happen [View article]
No level of transparency is going to occur prior to that, simply because it doesn't look good politically to transfer money from the ultra poor (the tax paying public) to the ultra rick (the bank owners and debtors).
In factor, I will be very surprised the day some basic accounting transparency regarding the money center banks occurs.
By the way, please don't use terms that have no meaning. "Nationalization" is a term of rhetoric, not economics. Do you mean purchase ? Or condemnation ? Or forced receivership ? Or expropriation ? I really like Seeking Alpha, but gosh, a whole lot of articles here appear to be written by 3rd graders.
(sorry, just my opinion)
JPMorgan Chase: Poisoned by Bear's 5,000 Counterparties [View article]
My general take (and I greatly appreciate Mr. Saxena's nice article), is that the problem is not only one of disclosure, but also one of the moral capacity to carry out fiduciary duty -- whether at the Fed, the Treasury, the FDIC, or the SEC.
Suspect when all is said and done we are looking at more of a systemic moral failure, rather than just a cyclical political economy problem.
On top of that, malfeasance, either in government or in the government sponsored private banks, seems to not only be endemic, but also as a general rule unpunished.
My continued reading of the core problem facing the economy today makes the US economy not dissimilar to that of the Russian Republic, or of communist China. The cycles of behavior of the wealthy and powerful appear to be more that of a corrupt plutocracy, rather than that of a republic.
Citigroup on the Brink, Despite Government Rescue [View article]
Just because the US government is attempting to cover up the levels of disaster wrought by Bush's money center friends, doesn't mean the abyss is not there. None of the money center institutions are revealing the actual nature of their off balance sheet assets.
It seems only reasonable to make an estimate. That our estimates are off, is not an indication of a poor estimation problem, but the depth of the hidden corruption our country faces in form of the economic remnants of the Bush years.
What Obama Needs to Know about Tim Geithner, the AIG Fiasco and Citigroup [View article]
What Obama Needs to Know about Tim Geithner, the AIG Fiasco and Citigroup [View article]
On Nov 26 10:04 AM Steve Pluvia wrote:
> You, lost me early in this overly-long soap-box stint.
>
> Are you *seriously* suggesting the U.S. let AIG blow-up?
>
> So let me see if I get your point...
>
> Let AIG fail; All foreign held debt insured by AIG blows up...
>
> -- US treasury and corporate debt immediately has zero credibility;
>
> -- US corporations and have zero borrowing power for short term trade
> and expansion.
> -- Trade grinds to a halt as foreign partners no longer honor purchase
> orders from US corporations.
> -- Run on all banks;
> -- The dollar gets crushed; and,
> -- The US have very little ability to jump start the US economy with
> spending
>
> Oy freakin vey. Your idea is ridiculous. Clearly you don't understand
> the implications of what you propose.
>